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Final Intermediate-Term Weather Forecast October 15, 2019

admin by admin
9월 6, 2021
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Written by Sig Silber

We are always striving to find ways to better communicate our content to readers. We think we have found that way and started the new format last night and since I usually post an article on Monday Night I am taking this opportunity to thank everyone who has been reading my articles and explain the change that we have just initiated.

October 14, 2019

 


Please share this article – Go to the very top of the page, right-hand side for social media buttons. Also, feel free to send this email to anyone you feel will benefit from it.


For the last few months we have been experimenting with a “LIVE” Severe Weather Article: “LIVE” meaning the article is continually updated…not in real-time but once or twice a day and that is in addition to the fact that most of the graphics in the article auto-update whenever the particular NOAA Agency updates the graphic…it updates in our article.

We have thought about adding a parallel general weather forecasting article that did not focus on Severe Weather.

We have not done that because it might be confusing to have two somewhat related articles running at the same time plus it increases the amount to time it takes to update them.

We also realized that there is a lot of overlap with the article I publish on Monday nights.

Taking all the factors into consideration, we decided to merge the Monday Article into the “LIVE” article and broaden the scope of the “LIVE” article to include both Severe Weather and just plain weather information.

We have moved much of what I normally publish on Monday into this “LIVE ALL WEEK” article. And to keep the size of the article relatively small, we are showing a subset of the information in the article proper i.e. that is what will download when you click on the Title and some of the information which may not be of interest to everyone is in an Addendum/Supplement that is reached by clicking on a link from the main article. That link is found about halfway into the article right after the array of forecast maps showing temperature and precipitation for the Intermediate-Term which can be from 22 days to 28 days depending on what day of the week you view the article. Here is what that opportunity to access the full set of graphics looks like.


Intermediate-Term Forecast

And shifting to the Alaska and CONUS Intermediate-Term Weather Forecast showing from left to right, Days 1- 5, 6 – 10, 8 – 14 and Weeks 3 – 4 You can click on these maps to have them enlarge, there are larger versions in the Addendum (More Weather the link is shown at the end of this section, and there are larger versions of these maps in the Addendum. Also, the discussions that go with these forecast maps can be found here (first two weeks) and here (Weeks 3 and 4).

First Temperature

Day 3 Max Temperature

6 - 10 Day Forecast Temperature

8 - 14 Day Temperature

3 - 4 Week Temperature

And then Precipitation

Five day QPF

6 - 10 Day Forecast Precipitation

8 - 14 Day Precipitation

3 - 4 Week Precipitation

 

For those interested in more detail, there are additional weather maps and information in the MORE WEATHER Addendum. The link to the Addendum is here. If for some reason, the link has not been updated, do not despair just click on the Directory and click on the version of MORE WEATHER that is closest to the top of the stack. Every weather article we have ever published is in the Directory.


We are assuming that the Addendum/Supplement may be of interest to 20% of or readers so the other 80% will now have shorter load times and not be overwhelmed by the larger number of graphics. BTW the part of the article following what is shown above, includes the NOAA maps which which are continously updated to show areas where NWS warmngs have been issued and when clicked on proivde the detailed warnings for severe wheather.

If you want to take a look at the new format, you need to click on the title below.

posted on 14 October 2019

LIVE ALL WEEK: Weather 14 Oct Through 20 Oct 2019

Written by Sig Silber

This change means the line up of our weather articles will now be:

A. LIVE ALL WEEK that I will update at least once every day hopefully twice as NOAA issues a general forecast early in the morning and again in the afternoon. The bullet points from that forecast are shown in the “Lede” paragraph in the article. So for some, you may only want to look at that but please stay on the site for at least 30 seconds or Google will not report your visit. We use the Google Analytics reports to help us decide which articles to keep and which not and how to improve.

B. A weekly weather economics article. It has been focused on drought and crop impacts but it may get expanded a bit.

C. Monthly Articles

1. NOAA Update which we publish soon after NOAA does their release on the Third Thursday of each month

2. NOAA/JAMSTEC COMPARISON which usually is published two days after we publish the NOAA Seasonal Outlook Update

3. NOAA End of month update for the subsequent month. NOAA published an early look for the next month with their Seasonal Outlook Update and then updates the forecast for the next month on the last day of the month benefiting from having more information by that time.

4. ENSO Update based on the ENSO Update that NOAA releases on the second Thursday of every month.

I might be writing other weather-related articles including occasionally on Monday when a topic requires more information than what fits well in our new format and I write on other topics besides weather including water issues and other natural resource issues. I will also be writing on Western Water Law which is a very interesting topic and becoming more interesting.

I am always open to suggestions on how to make my articles more useful so if you have suggestions, please post them in the comments section below every GEI article and those comments will be forwarded to me. It is usually best to use the second comment box namely the DISQUS comment box. My Editor alerts me to comments that are posted.

.

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