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26 July 2021 Coronavirus And Recovery News: CDC Abandoning The COVID PCR Test At End Of Year. New Unemployment Claims Down In States Cutting Federal Unemployment Bonus.

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Written by Steven Hansen

The U.S. new cases 7-day rolling average are 63.6 % HIGHER than the 7-day rolling average one week ago and U.S. deaths due to coronavirus are now 1.5 % LOWER than the rolling average one week ago. Today’s posts include:

  • U.S. Coronavirus New Cases are 14,637
  • U.S. Coronavirus deaths are at 49
  • White House Sees YouTube, Facebook as ‘Judge, Jury & Executioner’ on Vaccine Misinformation
  • Second COVID-19 mRNA vaccine dose found safe following allergic reactions to the first dose
  • Study compares mRNA and adenovirus-based SARS-CoV-2 vaccines against variants of concern
  • Central Florida Hospitals Near All-Time High In COVID Patients
  • Advice about thinking through breakthrough infections – A matter of perspective
  • HIV Independently Tied to More Severe COVID-19
  • Separate Unvaccinated Healthcare Staff From Unvaccinated Patients, Researchers Advise
  • Media Gets Lower Scores for COVID-19 Coverage
  • More long covid cases seen in kids
  • As coronavirus surges, GOP lawmakers are moving to limit public health powers
  • Fauci says the US headed in ‘wrong direction’ on coronavirus
  • U.S. Population Growth, an Economic Driver, Grinds to a Halt
  • Plus many more headlines …

​

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Hospitalizations Are The Only Accurate Gauge

Hospitalizations historically appear to be little affected by weekends or holidays. The hospitalization growth rate trend continues to improve.

source: https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/covidnet/COVID19_3.html

Historically, hospitalization growth follows new case growth by one to two weeks.

As an analyst, I use the rate of growth to determine the trend. But, the size of the pandemic is growing in terms of real numbers – and if the rate of growth does not become negative – the pandemic will overwhelm all resources.

The graph below shows the rate of growth relative to the growth a week earlier updated through today [note that negative numbers mean the rolling averages are LOWER than the rolling averages one week ago]. As one can see, the rate of growth for new cases peaked in early December 2020 for Thanksgiving, and early January 2021 for end-of-year holidays – and it now shows that the coronavirus effect is improving.

In the scheme of things, new cases decline first, followed by hospitalizations, and then deaths. The potential fourth wave did not materialize likely due to immunizations.


Coronavirus and Recovery News You May Have Missed

Study compares mRNA and adenovirus-based SARS-CoV-2 vaccines against variants of concern – News-Medical

In a research paper recently uploaded to the preprint server bioRxiv* by Tada et al. (July 19th, 2021) the neutralizing capacity of antibodies generated by either messenger RNA (mRNA) or adenoviral vector-based vaccines against Beta, Delta, Delta plus, and Lambda variants are investigated, among others, highlighting the importance of continued SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance.

Sera collected from individuals having received either of the mRNA vaccines was notably more effective two weeks post-administration against the D614G strain than convalescent sera, with a subsequent and modest 2.5-4.0-fold drop in antibody titer observed towards the SARS-CoV variants of concern in comparison with D614G.

Resistance towards antibodies observed in beta, delta, and lambda variants were attributed to E484K, L452R, and L452Q and F490S mutations, respective to the strain.

Upon further investigation, the group identified the L452R/Q mutation of the lambda variant as a key factor in reduced neutralizing antibody potency, seeing a two-fold increase in viral infectivity in immunized hosts and a three-fold increase in relative affinity towards the ACE2 receptor.

Alternatively, sera collected from individuals having received the adenovirus vector-based vaccine was seen to experience an even greater drop in efficacy against the variants of concern compared to the mRNA vaccines, around 5-7 fold against the delta plus or beta variants compared to D614G. REGN10933 and REGN10987 monoclonal antibodies were also exposed to the multiple SARS-CoV-2 lineages, showing reduced activity towards the beta and delta plus variants compared with D614G, attributed to K417N and E484K mutations.

This work has demonstrated that the SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern show a degree of resistance towards convalescent or vaccine-induced antibodies. However, that the mRNA vaccines, in particular, are still likely to generate a sufficient response against any lineage three months post-administration.

The adenovirus vector-based vaccine demonstrated a more notable loss in efficacy towards the newly emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants, being able to generate a less robust antibody response. However, the authors note that while other studies have observed a slight drop in the generated antibody response by the J&J vaccine against the latter variants, the results have not been as stark as reported here, which could be a factor of demographics or some other unaccounted influence.

Advice about thinking through breakthrough infections – A matter of perspective – New York Times

Breakthrough infections — in which vaccinated people nonetheless get the Covid-19 virus — are one of those vexing topics that can be difficult to put in perspective.

On the one hand, breakthrough infections are obviously occurring. They’ve happened to the New York Yankees and to White House officials, as well at summer gatherings in Massachusetts, Oklahoma and elsewhere. My colleague Liam Stack recently got sick with a breakthrough infection (and I’ll tell you his story below).

On the other hand, the scale of breakthrough infections remains unclear. Are they a significant reason that cases are now surging in the U.S. — and a reason for vaccinated people to be concerned? Or are breakthrough infections rare exceptions that receive outsize attention?

Those are two very different scenarios. If breakthrough infections are an important source of Covid spread, it would suggest that vaccinated people should resume some of their previous precautions, like avoiding crowded places. If Covid is instead spreading overwhelmingly among the unvaccinated, it would suggest that the behavior of the vaccinated doesn’t matter very much; the only reliable way to reduce caseloads would involve more vaccinations.

I’m going to warn you up front that I don’t have a definitive answer for you. “There’s a lot of uncertainty right now,” as Natalie Dean, a biostatistician at Emory University, told me. But there is some evidence that can help you think through the situation while scientists collect more data.

What we know

Let’s start with a few facts that are clear:

  • Vaccinated people are nearly guaranteed not to be hospitalized or killed by Covid.
  • Among children under 12, who remain ineligible for the vaccine, serious forms of Covid are also extremely rare. Children face bigger risks when they ride in a car.
  • The Delta variant does not appear to change either of those facts.
  • Millions of unvaccinated American adults are vulnerable to hospitalization or death from Covid

What we don’t know

How common, then, are breakthrough infections?

One reason for optimism is the recent trend among the most vaccinated segments of society: older people. About 80 percent of Americans over age 65 have been fully vaccinated. This chart looks at the U.S. since late June, when cases began rising:

This chart looks at England — where more than 90 percent of older people are vaccinated — since late May, when cases began rising there:

As you can see, new cases have risen only modestly among people over 65, suggesting that breakthrough infections are rare. “I think people who are vaccinated are not, on a population level, major contributors to the transmission of the disease,” Dr. David Dowdy, a Johns Hopkins University epidemiologist, told me.

Fauci says US headed in ‘wrong direction’ on coronavirus – AP

The United States is in an “unnecessary predicament” of soaring COVID-19 cases fueled by unvaccinated Americans and the virulent delta variant, the nation’s top infectious diseases expert said Sunday.

“We’re going in the wrong direction,” said Dr. Anthony Fauci, describing himself as “very frustrated.”

He said recommending that the vaccinated wear masks is “under active consideration” by the government’s leading public health officials. Also, booster shots may be suggested for people with suppressed immune systems who have been vaccinated, Fauci said.

Fauci, who also serves as President Joe Biden’s chief medical adviser, told CNN’s “State of the Union” that he has taken part in conversations about altering the mask guidelines.

He noted that some local jurisdictions where infection rates are surging, such as Los Angeles County, are already calling on individuals to wear masks in indoor public spaces regardless of vaccination status. Fauci said those local rules are compatible with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommendation that the vaccinated do not need to wear masks in public.

FEWER PEOPLE FILE FOR UNEMPLOYMENT IN STATES CUTTING FEDERAL BONUS, DATA SHOWS – LBN

States that withdrew from the federal pandemic unemployment bonus in June saw improving jobs numbers and fewer individuals filing for benefits compared to other states, according the Daily Caller News Foundation’s analysis of federal data. The states, most of which are Republican-led, that stopped offering residents the federal benefit in early June experienced a 33% drop in new jobless claims filed compared to the roughly 4% decline seen in states that didn’t withdraw from the program, Department of Labor data analyzed by the DCNF showed. Governors pulled out of the Federal Pandemic Unemployment Compensation (FPUC) program, a weekly $300 bonus given to out-of-work Americans on top of state benefits, due to stagnating job growth and a worsening nationwide labor shortage. “I continued to see increases in the number of unemployed and, in some weeks, increases in the new regular claims that were coming in,” Republican Mississippi Gov. Tate Reeves told the DCNF in an interview. “So I felt we had to make a decision because if we wanted to experience a full economic recovery, we had to get our people back to work.”

On May 10, following an underwhelming April jobs report, Reeves became one of the first governors to announce that his state would no longer participate in FPUC beginning June 12, citing the high number of job vacancies. His decision was influenced by conversations with Mississippi small business owners and workers who were severely understaffed and overworked as business activity picked up, he told the DCNF. In addition to Mississippi, Alaska, Iowa and Missouri were the first to officially stop offering the bonus on June 12.

As coronavirus surges, GOP lawmakers are moving to limit public health powers – The Washington Post

Across the country, GOP lawmakers are rallying around the cause of individual freedom to counter community-based disease mitigation methods, moves experts say leave the country ill-equipped to counter the resurgent coronavirus and a future, unknown outbreak.

In some states, anger at perceived overreach by health officials has prompted legislative attempts to limit their authority, including new state laws that prevent the closure of businesses or allow lawmakers to rescind mask mandates. Some state courts have reined in the emergency and regulatory powers governors have wielded against the virus. And in its recent rulings and analysis, the U.S. Supreme Court has signaled its willingness to limit disease mitigation in the name of religious freedom.

“The legal framework has evolved in ways that will complicate and perhaps undermine efforts to deal with the next public health crisis or even routine health threats,” said Wendy Parmet, director of the Northeastern University Center for Health Policy and Law, who also said she has been a “long critic of emergency laws and their potential for abuse.”

A key issue, Parmet and others say, is that the legislative backlash is based on partisan assumptions about this pandemic, limiting states’ options in the face of a new threat.

“Whatever your feelings are about what health officials did in March of 2020, I can talk to you about a future threat that might be different, that would disproportionately affect a different population, that you would feel differently about,” said Lindsay F. Wiley, director of the Health Law and Policy Program at American University and an expert on emergency reform. “Please don’t constrain authority as a reaction in a way that will tie officials to the mast for a future crisis.”

At least 15 state legislatures have passed or are considering measures to limit the legal authority of public health agencies, according to the Network for Public Health Law, which partnered with the National Association of County and City Health Officials to document the legislative counterpunches. Lawmakers in at least 46 states have introduced hundreds of bills relating to legislative oversight of gubernatorial or executive actions during coronavirus or other emergencies, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures.

[editor’s note: I consider this article slanted but is food for thought. My general problem is that health officials should only be able to issue mandates which affect the economy if they are willing to compensate for loss of rents and income.]

Why Is The CDC Quietly Abandoning The PCR Test For COVID? – ZeroHedge

We have detailed (most recently here and here) the controversy surrounding America’s COVID “casedemic” and the misleading results of the PCR test and its amplification procedure in great detail over the past few months.

As a reminder, “cycle thresholds” (Ct) are the level at which widely used polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test can detect a sample of the COVID-19 virus. The higher the number of cycles, the lower the amount of viral load in the sample; the lower the cycles, the more prevalent the virus was in the original sample.

Numerous epidemiological experts have argued that cycle thresholds are an important metric by which patients, the public, and policymakers can make more informed decisions about how infectious and/or sick an individual with a positive COVID-19 test might be. However, as JustTheNews reports, health departments across the country are failing to collect that data.

Audience: Individuals Performing COVID-19 Testing

Level: Laboratory Alert

After December 31, 2021, CDC will withdraw the request to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) of the CDC 2019-Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Real-Time RT-PCR Diagnostic Panel, the assay first introduced in February 2020 for detection of SARS-CoV-2 only. CDC is providing this advance notice for clinical laboratories to have adequate time to select and implement one of the many FDA-authorized alternatives.

Visit the FDA website for a list of authorized COVID-19 diagnostic methods. For a summary of the performance of FDA-authorized molecular methods with an FDA reference panel, visit this page.

In preparation for this change, CDC recommends clinical laboratories and testing sites that have been using the CDC 2019-nCoV RT-PCR assay select and begin their transition to another FDA-authorized COVID-19 test. CDC encourages laboratories to consider adoption of a multiplexed method that can facilitate detection and differentiation of SARS-CoV-2 and influenza viruses. Such assays can facilitate continued testing for both influenza and SARS-CoV-2 and can save both time and resources as we head into influenza season. Laboratories and testing sites should validate and verify their selected assay within their facility before beginning clinical testing.

Media Gets Lower Scores for COVID-19 Coverage – Rasmussen

Only 42% of Americans rate the media’s coverage of the COVID-19 pandemic excellent or good, and many have concerns about the accuracy of reporting on vaccine safety.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that just 14% of American Adults rate media coverage of the ongoing coronavirus crisis excellent, and another 28% rate the media’s COVID-19 coverage good. That’s a decline in approval from December, when 50% rated the media’s coverage of the pandemic excellent or good. The number who say the media is doing a poor job remained the same at 29%.

U.S. Population Growth, an Economic Driver, Grinds to a Halt – Wall Street Journal

America’s weak population growth, already held back by a decadelong fertility slump, is dropping closer to zero because of the Covid-19 pandemic.

In half of all states last year, more people died than were born, up from five states in 2019. Early estimates show the total U.S. population grew 0.35% for the year ended July 1, 2020, the lowest ever documented, and growth is expected to remain near flat this year.

Some demographers cite an outside chance the population could shrink for the first time on record. Population growth is an important influence on the size of the labor market and a country’s fiscal and economic strength.

One bad year doesn’t automatically spell trouble for future U.S. demographic health. What concerns demographers is that in the past, when a weak economy drove down births, it was often a temporary phenomenon that reversed once the economy bounced back.

HIV Independently Tied to More Severe COVID-19 – MedPage

HIV was independently associated with a higher risk for severe or critical COVID-19, according to a World Health Organization (WHO) analysis.

In a study of people living with HIV in Asia, Europe, Africa, and South America who also were hospitalized for COVID-19, HIV infection was linked with an increased risk of severe or critical COVID-19 presentation (OR 1.13, 95% CI 1.09-1.17), after adjusting for age, sex and comorbidity burden, reported Silvia Bertagnolio, MD, of WHO in Geneva, Switzerland.

In addition, HIV infection was tied to a higher risk of inhospital mortality (adjusted HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.24-1.36), she said during a press conference at the International AIDS Society (IAS) virtual meeting.

“This 30% increase risk of dying in the hospital among persons living with HIV is independent of age, gender, severity of disease at admission, and of comorbidity,” Bertagnolio explained.

IAS President Adeeba Kamarulzaman, MBBS, the press conference moderator, called the inhospital mortality rate “astonishing…this study underscores the importance of countries including all people living with HIV in the list of priority populations for national COVID-19 vaccine programs.”

“It is also critical that health systems maintain HIV services during the COVID-19 pandemic, particularly in countries with high HIV prevalence,” stressed Kamarulzaman, who is a member of the WHO Science Council. “Unfortunately, as we know, countries in sub-Saharan Africa with the highest burden of HIV are not currently receiving much COVID-19 vaccine coverage, and this needs to change.”

More long covid cases seen in kids – News-Medical

The vast majority of the pandemic’s 4.1 million covid infections in children have been mild. However, doctors are concerned about a growing number of long-haul covid cases and a rare but dangerous inflammatory disease, particularly among Black and Latino children. KHN correspondent Sarah Varney, in collaboration with PBS NewsHour, reports on the phenomena. This story aired on July 23, 2021.

Second COVID-19 mRNA vaccine dose found safe following allergic reactions to first dose – EurekAlert

In a multi-hospital analysis of individuals who experienced an allergic reaction to their first mRNA COVID-19 vaccine dose, all patients who went on to receive a second dose tolerated it without complications. The research, which was led by allergists at Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) and is published in JAMA Internal Medicine, indicates that a first dose reaction to COVID-19 vaccination should not keep people from getting a second dose.

Allergic reactions after mRNA COVID-19 vaccinations have been reported to be as high as 2%, with anaphylaxis–a life-threatening whole-body allergic reaction–occurring in up to 2.5 per 10,000 people. To examine whether it’s safe to proceed with a second mRNA COVID-19 vaccine dose after a dose one reaction, investigators from MGH, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center and Yale School of Medicine combined data from patients who sought allergy specialist care at their hospitals after a reaction to their first mRNA COVID-19 vaccine dose. “These reactions could include symptoms such as itching or hives or flushing. The patients included were all advised by allergy specialists after their dose one reaction,” explains co-lead author Matthew S. Krantz, MD, of Vanderbilt University Medical Center.

Among 189 patients, 32 (17%) experienced anaphylaxis after their first dose of mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. A total of 159 patients (84%) went on to receive a second dose. All 159 patients, including 19 individuals who had experienced anaphylaxis following the first dose, tolerated the second dose. Thirty-two patients (20%) reported immediate and potentially allergic symptoms associated with the second dose that were self-limited, mild, and/or resolved with antihistamines alone.

“One important point from this study is that these immediate onset mRNA vaccine reactions may not be mechanistically caused by classic allergy, called immediate hypersensitivity or Ig-E-mediated hypersensitivity. For classic allergy, re-exposure to the allergen causes the same or even worse symptoms,” says co-senior author Kimberly G. Blumenthal, MD, MSc, co-director of the Clinical Epidemiology Program within MGH’s Division of Rheumatology, Allergy and Immunology.

White House Sees YouTube, Facebook as ‘Judge, Jury & Executioner’ on Vaccine Misinformation – Medscape

The White House has YouTube, not just Facebook, on its list of social media platforms officials say are responsible for an alarming spread of misinformation about COVID vaccines and are not doing enough to stop it, sources familiar with the administration’s thinking said.

The criticism comes just a week after President Joe Biden called Facebook and other social media companies “killers” for failing to slow the spread of misinformation about vaccines (https://reut.rs/3kP3lD4). He has since softened his tone.

A senior administration official said one of the key problems is “inconsistent enforcement.” YouTube – a unit of Alphabet Inc’s Google – and Facebook get to decide what qualifies as misinformation on their platforms. But the results have left the White House unhappy.

“Facebook and YouTube… are the judge, the jury and the executioner when it comes to what is going on in their platforms,” an administration official said, describing their approach to COVID misinformation. “They get to grade their own homework.”

Separate Unvaccinated Healthcare Staff From Unvaccinated Patients, Researchers Advise – Reuters

With COVID-19 vaccination coverage incomplete among residents and staff at long-term care facilities, researchers have come up with a way to limit transmission in those settings: keep unvaccinated staff away from unvaccinated patients.

In a report posted on medRxiv ahead of peer review, they advise based on their computer models that unvaccinated healthcare workers be assigned to work with vaccinated patients. In that scenario, if a healthcare worker becomes infected but does not realize it and shows up to work, “then the chance of onward spread is significantly reduced … leading to lower rates in the facility as a whole,” said study co-author Joshua Weitz of the Georgia Institute of Technology.

Likewise, it is preferable to assign vaccinated healthcare workers to care for unvaccinated patients, his team found. “Unvaccinated residents are at a higher risk of infection, and in the event that a resident becomes infected … there is a far lower risk of onward transmission” if the people caring for them are vaccinated, Weitz said.

“These facilities have a responsibility to aim to reduce infection rates amidst a public health emergency,” Weitz added. “Our analysis reveals that cohorting could help facilities do more to prevent infection control even in the event of partially vaccinated populations.”

FL Hospital Moves to ‘Red Zone’ Due to Delta Variant – Newsweek

Central Florida’s largest hospital chain is moving into the “red zone” due to a surge in coronavirus cases caused by the highly transmissible Delta variant.

On Monday, AdventHealth announced its ICU was moving to red status, just four days after it elevated its status to “yellow.”

According to the latest update, 862 COVID-19 patients are hospitalized across the Central Florida division, which indicates that inpatient totals are nearing January’s record of 900 patients.

[editor’s note: also read Texas, Florida Lead U.S. in COVID Cases]

The following are foreign headlines with hyperlinks to the posts

Thousands protest in Sydney, across Australia as lockdowns tighten amid delta’s spread

Caseloads are falling in Britain — as happened in India — suggesting the Delta variant may fade more quickly than initially feared.

Pandemic leaves Indians mired in massive medical debts

India’s Cost of COVID ICU Treatment Equal to 16 Months of Pay for Laborers

Protesters Rage Across Europe As Lockdown, Vaccination Mandates Begin

Protestors Against COVID Restrictions Labelled ‘Anarchists’ by NSW Police Chief

COVID-19 cases hit new highs in Southeast Asia

Majority of French Support Vaccine Mandate as ‘Health Pass’ Bill Approved

U.K. COVID Cases Fall as Restrictions Ease, Giving Hope to Rest of World. The U.K. saw a fall in the amount of COVID cases for five days in a row for the first time since February, despite recently lifting restrictions.

Swedish researchers are paying unvaccinated people $23 to have their Covid shot

Americans are ‘mixing and matching’ Covid vaccines as delta variant cases surge [editor’s note: Cruise lines are not classifying guests as vaccinated if they mix-and-match]

The following additional national and state headlines with hyperlinks to the posts

DOJ declines to investigate Cuomo’s handling of covid-19 in nursing homes

Rising EU imports are placing growing pressure on the regional supply chain, but European businesses fear the COVID-19 Delta variant poses “a major risk” to the regional economic outlook.

Dr. Anthony Fauci wants to start developing vaccines against viruses that could cause the next pandemic.

Some French health workers resent, resist mandatory vaccines

Sparked by pandemic fallout, homeschooling surges across US

Fauci: CDC Looking at Changing Mask Guidelines for Vaccinated People

CNN continued its wall to wall broadcasts calling for unvaccinated people to be punished, with analysts again calling for those who haven’t gotten the COVID shots to be segregated from society…

“It Looks Like A Bazaar In Istanbul”: Without Police On The Street, Illegal Vendors And Gamblers Are Taking Over The Bronx

J&J RECALLS AVEENO, NEUTROGENA SUNSCREENS OVER CANCER-CAUSING CHEMICAL

Biden Administration Spending $3 Million a Day to Suspend Border Wall Construction: Senate Report

Biden officials closely monitor delta variant in U.K. as their anxieties mount over impact to U.S. economy

Officials urge residents to flee as Dixie Fire, California’s biggest blaze this year, continues to grow

Frito-Lay workers end 20-day strike in Kansas with contract that guarantees one day off per week

Why Did China Buy An Airstrip In Texas?

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies surge on Amazon payments rumours

13% of Americans traded crypto in the past year, survey finds

The American Medical Association, American Nurses Association, and 55 other groups are calling for COVID vaccination mandates for healthcare and long-term care workers.

County health officials in St. Louis re-implemented an indoor mask mandate for anyone 5 and older in public spaces and on public transportation; the state’s attorney general said he plans to challenge the policy.

The Biden administration just bought 200 million more coronavirus vaccine doses from Pfizer, which may be used as booster shots or, if the FDA authorizes it, for children under 12.

Critics of an ad campaign for Biogen’s controversial Alzheimer’s drug, aducanumab (Aduhelm), say it will “overly medicalize” normal age-related memory loss.

A 10-year-old boy in Colorado “died from causes associated with plague” found in animals and fleas in six Colorado counties.

Case Mounts for COVID Vaccine Boosters in Kidney Transplant Recipients

How SARS-CoV-2 vaccination symptoms differ from early COVID-19 symptoms

In a research paper recently uploaded to the preprint server bioRxiv* by Bell et al. (July 19th, 2021), the potential of rosin soap as a virucide is investigated, finding a ten-thousand-fold drop in infectivity against enveloped viruses such as influenza and SARS-CoV-2 in particular.

VA to mandate COVID-19 vaccine for its health workers

US to maintain travel restrictions due to delta variant

Biden admin says ‘long COVID-19’ could qualify as a disability

Mask Mandate Issued in County Where 9 in 10 Are Vaccinated Amid Delta Surge. Residents of San Mateo County have mostly backed the reintroduction of a mask policy as the area sees a “troublesome” rise of COVID cases.

Louisiana GOP Rep. Clay Higgins Says He Has COVID-19 for the Second Time

California is requiring proof of Covid vaccination for state employees

BioNTech says it plans to develop an mRNA vaccine to prevent malaria

Unvaccinated people should not eat at restaurants, expert says

Today’s Posts On Econintersect Showing Impact Of The Pandemic and Recovery With Hyperlinks

July 2021 Texas Manufacturing Index Marginally Improves

June 2021 Headline New Home Sales Confirms Significant Slowing

Two-Thirds Of Indians Have Been Exposed To Covid-19

As Scientists Have Long Predicted, Warming Is Making Heatwaves More Deadly

Is Climate Change To Blame For The Recent Weather Disasters? 2 Things You Need To Understand

Pandemic Has Teens Feeling Worried, Unmotivated And Disconnected From School

Warning to Readers

The amount of politically biased articles on the internet continues. And studies and opinions of the experts continue to contradict other studies and expert opinions. Honestly, it is difficult to believe anything anymore.

I assemble this update daily – sifting through the posts on the internet. I try to avoid politically slanted posts. This daily blog is not an echo chamber for any party line – and will publish controversial topics unless there are clear reasons why the topic is false. And I usually publish conflicting topics. It is my job to provide information so that you have the facts necessary – and then it is up to readers to draw conclusions. It is not my job to sell any point of view.

Analyst Opinion of Coronavirus Data

There are several takeaways that need to be understood when viewing coronavirus statistical data:

  • The global counts are suspect for a variety of reasons including political. Even the U.S. count has issues as it is possible that as much as half the population has had coronavirus and was asymptomatic. It would be a far better metric using a random sampling of the population weekly. In short, we do not understand the size of the error in the tracking numbers.
  • Just because some of the methodology used in aggregating the data in the U.S. is flawed – as long as the flaw is uniformly applied – you establish a baseline. This is why it is dangerous to compare two countries as they likely use different methodologies to determine who has (and who died) from coronavirus.
  • Older population countries will have a significantly higher death rate as there is relatively few hospitalizations and deaths in younger age groups..

What we do or do not know about the coronavirus [actually there is little scientifically proven information]. Most of our knowledge is anecdotal, from studies with limited subjects, or from studies without peer review.

  • How many people have been infected as many do not show symptoms?
  • Masks do work. Unfortunately, early in the pandemic, many health experts — in the U.S. and around the world — decided that the public could not be trusted to hear the truth about masks. Instead, the experts spread a misleading message, discouraging the use of masks.
  • Current thinking is that we develop at least 12 months of immunity from further COVID infection.
  • The Moderna and Pfizer vaccines have an effectiveness rate of about 95 percent after two doses. That is on par with the vaccines for chickenpox and measles. The 95 percent number understates the effectiveness as it counts anyone who came down with a mild case of Covid-19 as a failure.
  • To what degree do people who never develop symptoms contribute to transmission? Research early in the pandemic suggested that the rate of asymptomatic infections could be as high as 81%. But a meta-analysis, which included 13 studies involving 21,708 people, calculated the rate of asymptomatic presentation to be 17%.
  • The accuracy of rapid testing is questioned – and the more accurate test results are not being given in a timely manner.
  • Can children widely spread coronavirus? [current thinking remains that they are a minor source of the pandemic spread]
  • Why have some places avoided big coronavirus outbreaks – and others hit hard?
  • Air conditioning contributes to the pandemic spread.
  • It appears that there is increased risk of infection and mortality for those living in larger occupancy households.

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Final August 2021 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Shows A Stunning Loss Of Confidence

Final August 2021 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Shows A Stunning Loss Of Confidence

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