Market Commentary: Averages Remain Elevated, Now Trading Sideways On Anemic Volume

March 31st, 2014
in Gary's blogging, midday post

Written by

Midday Market Commentary For 03-31-2014

The averages have traded more or less sideways throughout the morning session. The small caps are still trading above one percent while the large caps have lost a bit of their morning luster as the volume continues to fall.

Strange how the volume can drop off, yet the prices continue to rise - maybe the HFT algo computers at work?


Follow up:


Live World Indices are powered by Investing.com

MarketWatch reported, "Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen said [today] that the recovery still feels like a recession to many Americans, which is why the central bank will keep its "extraordinary" support for the economy for "some time to come."

In a speech to a Chicago community reinvestment conference, Yellen also provided evidence why there's still slack in the jobs market, and weighed in on the hot issue of why the participation rate is so low.

The speech may come as a bit newsier than the market expected. Yellen expanded on the reasons she believes there are significant more people willing and capable to filling a job than there are jobs for them.

Yellen also provided three real-life examples of people impacted by the jobs crisis, and emphasized that "although we work through financial markets, our goal is to help Main Street, not Wall Street."

Read More . . .

Yellen signals that job market will need Fed's continued low-rate policies 'for some time'

WASHINGTON (AP) - Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen made clear Monday that she thinks the still-subpar U.S. job market will continue to need the help of low interest rates "for some time."

Yellen's remarks signaled that even after the Fed phases out its monthly bond purchases later this year, it has no plans to raise a key short-term rate anytime soon.

The bond purchases have been intended to keep long-term loan rates low. Her remarks sent a reassuring message to investors, many of whom had grown anxious that the Fed might raise short-term rates by mid-2015.

Their concerns were stirred last month when Yellen suggested that the Fed could start raising short-term rates six months after it halts its bond purchases, which most economists expect by year's end.

A short-term rate increase would elevate borrowing costs and could hurt stock prices.

Leading Stock Quotes powered by Investing.com

The short term indicators are leaning towards the hold side at the midday. The all important signs of reversal, up or down, have not been observed so we are mostly, at best, neutral and conservatively holding. The 50DMA, volume and a host of other studies have not turned, only a 6% correction (and recovery) and that is not enough for me to start shorting. The MACD has turned down slightly, but remains above zero. I would advise caution in taking any position during this volatile transition period although Barchart.com shows a 72 % sell.

If you would like to get advanced buy/sell tweets, sign-up in the column to the right of this post by clicking on the 'Follow' button. Write me with suggestions and I promise not to bite.

The DOW at 12:00 is at 16439 up 118 or 0.73%.

The SP500 is at 1872 up 14 or 0.77%.

SPY is at 186.95 up 1.46 or 0.79%.

The $RUT is at 1169 up 18 or 1.53%.

NASDAQ is at 4198 up 51 or 1.23%.

NASDAQ 100 is at 3610 up 39 or 1.09%.

$VIX 'Fear Index' is at 13.88 down 0.53 or -3.68%. Bullish Movement

The longer trend is up, the past months trend is positive, the past 5 sessions have been sideways and the current bias is sideways bit elevated.

How Oil Really Gets Priced

WTI oil is trading between 100.89 and 101.85 today. The session bias is mixed and volatile and is currently trading up at 101.60.

Brent Crude is trading between 107.06 and 108.32 today. The session bias is mixed and volatile and is currently trading up at 107.78.

Gold fell from 1299.09 earlier to 1287.37 and is currently trading up at 1289.30. The current intra-session trend is negative.

Analysts forecast a corrosive year for copper prices

Dr. Copper is at 3.027 falling from 3.049 earlier.


Commodities are powered by Investing.com

The US dollar is trading between 80.50 and 80.12 and is currently trading up at 80.23, the bias is currently negative.

The Forex Quotes are powered by Investing.com.

To contact me with questions, comments or constructive criticism is always encouraged and appreciated:

gary@econintersect.com

 

Written by Gary

 









Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted.  As the internet is a "war zone" of trolls, hackers and spammers - Econintersect must balance its defences against ease of commenting.  We have joined with Livefyre to manage our comment streams.

To comment, just click the "Sign In" button at the top-left corner of the comment box below. You can create a commenting account using your favorite social network such as Twitter, Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn or Open ID - or open a Livefyre account using your email address.















 navigate econintersect.com

Blogs

Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day
Weather

Newspapers

Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government
     

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed
Google+
Facebook
Twitter
Digg

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution

Contact

About

  Top Economics Site

Investing.com Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2016 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved