Written by Steven Hansen
The U.S. new cases 7-day rolling average is 7.5 % HIGHER than the 7-day rolling average one week ago. U.S. deaths due to coronavirus are now 3.1 % LOWER than the rolling average one week ago. At the end of this post is a set of interactive graphs and tables for the world and individual States – as well as today’s headlines which include;
- Global coronavirus deaths now exceed 1,000,000
- Florida schools reopened en masse, but a surge in coronavirus didn’t follow
- Many COVID-19 Clinical Trials May Exclude Older Adults
- More Than 600,000 Child Cases Of COVID-19 Reported In U.S., But Severe Illness ‘Rare’
- Three Instances In Which An Blood Antibody Test For Coronavirus Would Be Warranted
- Restaurants brace for long COVID-19 winter
- Americans over 30 have been drinking more during the coronavirus pandemic
- New York bankruptcies reportedly surge 40% during pandemic
- Meatpackers deny workers benefits for COVID-19 deaths, illnesses
- EU adds four more countries to “red list”
The recent worsening of the trendlines for new cases should be attributed to going back to school – especially at college/university level.
My continuing advice is to continue to wash your hands, wear masks, and maintain social distancing. No handwashing, mask, or social distancing will guarantee you do not get infected – but it sure as hell lowers the risk in all situations – and evidence to-date shows a lower severity of COVID-19. In addition, certain activities are believed to carry higher risk – like being inside in air conditioning and removing your mask (such as restaurants, around your children/grandchildren, bars, and gyms). It is all about viral load – and outdoor activities are generally very safe.
The daily number of new cases in the U.S. is remaining stubbornly and embarrassedly high.
The following graphs show the 7-day rolling average for new coronavirus cases and deaths have been updated through 29 September 2020:
Coronavirus Statistics For 29 September 2020
|U.S. Only||Global||U.S Percentage of Total|
|New Confirmed Cases||41,439||7,150,000||289,994||33,420,000||14.3%||21.4%|
total COVID-19 Tests per 1,000 people
* as of 25 Sep 2020
** evidently several States included “probable” deaths today in the number
*** red color indicates record number
Coronavirus News You May Have Missed
Survival chances were bleak among COVID-19 patients who sustained in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA), U.S. data showed.
After a median 8 minutes of CPR on 54 such patients, 53.7% had return of spontaneous circulation, according to Corey Mayer, DO, MBA, of William Beaumont Hospital in Royal Oak, Michigan, and colleagues reporting online in JAMA Internal Medicine.
Roughly half of those patients had their code status changed to “do not resuscitate”; the other half were re-coded but died nonetheless after additional CPR.
Ultimately, none of the 54 COVID-19 patients survived to discharge after IHCA.
“The high mortality following CPR is likely multifactorial,” according to Mayer’s group.
- Bankruptcies in the New York City region have surged 40% during the pandemic, according to Bloomberg.
- The news outlet reported that 610 businesses filed for bankruptcy in the Southern and Eastern Districts of New York from March 16 to Sept. 27.
- Another flurry of bankruptcies and permanent closures is expected as cold weather arrives.
COVID-19 serology tests are widely available but evidence of their usefulness is limited, the Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA) said as it unveiled new guidelines in the journal Clinical Infectious Diseases.
Antibodies to the novel coronavirus do not show up in the blood for quite a while after someone becomes infected, so serology tests are unreliable for diagnosing COVID-19 unless a patient has been sick for weeks, according to the guidelines.
The panel of authors, led by Dr. Kimberly Hanson of the University of Utah, listed three instances in which a test for antibodies to the coronavirus would be warranted.
The first is when doctors strongly suspect a patient has COVID-19 but gold-standard diagnostic PCR molecular tests that look for genetic components of the virus have been negative and at least two weeks have passed since the onset of symptoms.
The second is when a child has signs and symptoms of multisystem inflammatory syndrome, a life-threatening condition that has been linked with previous coronavirus infection.
The third is when public health officials conduct serosurveillance studies to track the proportion of the population that has been exposed to the virus.
In a survey of data published on the health department websites of 49 states, New York City, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico and Guam, a total of 624,890 child cases of COVID-19 were reported from the start of the pandemic through Sept. 24, or 10.5% of all cases in states reporting infections according to age.
A smaller subset of states reported hospitalizations and mortality by age. The data from those states indicate “COVID-19-associated hospitalization and death is uncommon in children,” according to the survey.
The survey was compiled by the American Academy of Pediatrics and the Children’s Hospital Association. In announcing the survey, published Tuesday, the organizations said state-level reports are “the best publicly available data on child COVID-19 cases in the United States.”
“At this time, it appears that severe illness due to COVID-19 is rare among children,” the survey’s authors conclude.
Restaurants brace for long COVID-19 winter – The Hill
Restaurant groups are scrambling to secure funds to help an already hard-hit industry make the transition from summer to winter, when outdoor seating that helped many owners stay afloat during the pandemic will become much harder if not impossible to continue offering.
Many cities have become accommodating by making more sidewalk and street space available for bars and restaurants during the warmer months, but that may not be enough to attract customers as temperatures drop.
One in six restaurants have closed since the coronavirus took hold, and many fear that the next six months will be too much for small-business owners in colder climates.
Seventy-seven percent of full-service restaurant operators said they would likely take advantage of incentives, like a tax credit, to help them purchase tents and patio heaters, among other equipment, to extend the outdoor dining season, according to the National Restaurant Association.
“Congress is about to leave town and not come back until mid-November. The stakes are really high. Every week or two, every restaurant that was considered too revered to fail is announcing they are closing their doors. That was while things were good; that was while outdoor dining was a vital option for them,” said Sean Kennedy, the association’s executive vice president of public affairs.
Nearly one quarter of clinical trials for COVID-19 treatments and vaccines may have exclusion criteria that specify an age-cut-off for enrollment, a new study suggests.
Researchers examined data on 847 studies registered in the clinicaltrials.gov database between October 1, 2019 and June 1, 2020 involving vaccines and treatments for COVID-19 to see how often people aged 55 and older, and particularly adults 65 to 80 who are most affected by the virus, are excluded from enrollment. Overall, 195 trials (23%) had an age cut-off for enrollment.
When researchers added in other exclusion criteria that indirectly created a high risk of excluding older adults from eligibility, they found that 53% of all trials in the analysis – including every vaccine trial – involved age-related direct or indirect exclusions.
“The important take-home message for clinicians, older adults, and global societies, is that older adults who are the target population of COVID-19, need to be included in any clinical trials of treatments or vaccines,” said senior study author Dr. Sharon Inouye, director of the Aging Brain Center at HebrewSeniorLife and Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Boston, and a professor at Harvard Medical School.
“This is essential to develop and test treatments that work in this population, and to assure their safety,” Dr. Inouye said by email. “We hope that physicians will encourage their older adult patients to enroll in trials, that they will advocate for their inclusion with trialists and policymakers, and that they will observe the results of the trials in planning their treatment approaches.”
Many teachers and families feared a spike in COVID-19 cases when Florida made the controversial push to reopen schools in August with in-person instruction.
A USA TODAY analysis shows the state’s positive case count among kids ages 5 to 17 declined through late September after a peak in July. Among the counties seeing surges in overall cases, it’s college-age adults – not schoolchildren – driving the trend, the analysis found.
The early results in Florida show the success of rigorous mask wearing, social distancing, isolating contacts and quick contact tracing when necessary, health experts said.
“Many of the schools that have been able to successfully open have also been implementing control measures that are an important part of managing spread in these schools,” said Dr. Nathaniel Beers, who serves on the American Academy of Pediatrics’ Council on School Health.
- Some 63% of small and midsized businesses said they are likely to lose at least a quarter of their revenue this year.
- However, 78% overall said they feel at least somewhat confident they can handle another surge in Covid-19 cases in the fall and winter.
- The sentiment is expressed in a survey done by Comcast Business that comes as global deaths associated with Covid-19 reach 1 million.
Saul Sanchez died in April, one of six workers with fatal COVID-19 infections at meatpacker JBS USA’s [JBS.UL] slaughterhouse in Greeley, Colorado, the site of one of the earliest and deadliest coronavirus outbreaks at a U.S. meatpacking plant.
… JBS, the world’s largest meatpacker, denied the family’s application for workers’ compensation benefits, along with those filed by the families of two other Greeley workers who died of COVID-19, said lawyers handling the three claims. Families of the three other Greeley workers who died also sought compensation, a union representative said, but Reuters could not determine the status of their claims.
JBS has said the employees’ COVID-19 infections were not work-related in denying the claims, according to responses the company gave to employees, which were reviewed by Reuters.
… The meatpacking industry has suffered severe coronavirus outbreaks, in part because production-line workers often work side-by-side for long shifts. Companies including JBS, Tyson Foods Inc TSN.N and WH Group Ltd’s 0288.HK Smithfield Foods closed about 20 plants this spring after outbreaks, prompting President Donald Trump in April to order the plants to stay open to ensure the nation’s meat supply. [nL2N2CG14E] The White House declined to comment on the industry’s rejections of workers’ claims. The U.S. Department of Labor did not respond to a request for comment.
Tyson has also denied workers’ compensation claims stemming from a big outbreak in Iowa, workers’ attorneys told Reuters. Smithfield workers at a plant in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, also hit by a major outbreak, have generally not filed claims, a union official said, in part because the company has paid infected workers’ wages and medical bills.
Americans over 30 have been drinking more during the coronavirus pandemic compared to this time last year, and there could be consequences to their physical and mental health, researchers reported Tuesday.
Overall frequency of alcohol consumption increased by about 14% from 2019, the researchers reported in the journal JAMA Network Open. That increase averages out to about one additional drinking day per month by 75% of adults.
RAND Corporation sociologist Michael Pollard and colleagues analyzed a nationally representative sample of 1,540 people ages 30 to 80. The participants completed a survey about their drinking habits between April 29 and June 9 of 2019 and then again between May 28 and June 16 of 2020.
The volunteers reported they drank alcohol on more days every week. They also reported increases in the number of drinks they had; the number of heavy drinking days; and the number of alcohol related problems over the last 30 days between 2019 and 2020.
EU adds four more countries to “red list” – Zoro News
The full list of “red” countries, with more than 120 cases per 100,000 people:
[editor’s note: per the CDC, the U.S. cumulative rate per 100,000 is 174.8]
- Spain (320)
- Czech Republic (267)
- France (235)
- Luxembourg (189)
- Belgium (171)
- The Netherlands (171)
- Iceland (128)
- Denmark (128)
- Hungary (127)
The following are foreign headlines with hyperlinks to the posts
The following are additional national and state headlines with hyperlinks to the posts
Today’s Posts On Econintersect Showing Impact Of The Pandemic With Hyperlinks
Coronavirus INTERACTIVE Charts