Written by Steven Hansen
The U.S. new daily coronavirus death count declined over 1,900 to 1,856 (which is less than half of yesterday’s deaths) whilst the number of new confirmed coronavirus cases today is nearly 40 % of the new worldwide cases. Following is a set of interactive graphs and tables for the world and individual states – as well as today’s headlines on coronavirus.
Coronavirus Economic News
According to CNN, 507 coronavirus deaths in New York state in the last 24 hours. Per Gov. Andrew Cuomo.
The worst news for us to live with every day, and an everyday tragedy, we lost another 507 New Yorkers. Those are not just very large numbers we see. That’s every number is a face and a family and a brother and a sister and mother and a father and people who are in pain today and will be in pain for a long period of time. So we remember them in our thoughts and prayers.
When will a second wave of the coronavirus hit and what will it look like? This post provides good food for thought:
Even before the first horrific phase of the COVID-19 pandemic has run its course, scientists are worried about the second wave of the disease.
It could crash worse than the first, killing tens of thousands of people who did such a good job of sheltering in place they remain virgin ground for the virus. Or it could be a mere swell, with so many people having been infected without symptoms that levels of immunity are higher than realized.
There is no crystal ball to look to, as so many crucial pieces of information remain missing.
Are people who’ve had COVID-19 immune? How long does immunity last? Will the virus play out like influenza and the common cold, peaking during cooler months and falling during warmer ones? Is its deadly path undeterred whatever the weather?
Until there’s a vaccine “it’s unfortunately not unlikely that we may see a second wave or even a third wave,” said Peter Marks, director of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, which oversee vaccines.
The World Health Organization has warned that there is no evidence that antibody tests – which indicate whether a person has had the coronavirus – can show whether a person has developed an immunity preventing reinfection.
Since 04 April 2020, the daily new confirmed coronavirus cases in the U.S. have mostly stayed in a tight range between 30,000 and 35,000. Today’s count is roughly in the middle of this range. Therefore the curve has flattened for the last 2 weeks but as yet is showing no signs of slowing.
| U.S. Only | Global | U.S Percentage of Total | ||||
| Today | Cumulative | Today | Cumulative | Today | Cumulative | |
| New Cases | 32,922 | 735,086 | 84,121 | 2,280,000 | 39.1% | 32.2% |
| Deaths | 1,856 | 38,910 | 6,421 | 159,511 | 28.9% | 24.4% |
Analyst Opinion of Coronavirus Data
There are several takeaways that need to be understood when viewing coronavirus statistical data.
- The global counts are suspect for a variety of reasons including political. Even the U.S. count has issues as it is possible that as much as half the population has had coronavirus and was asymptomatic. It would be a far better metric using a random sampling of the population weekly. In short, we do not understand the size of the error in the tracking numbers.
- From an industrial engineering point of view, one can argue that it is best to flatten the curve only to the point that the health care system is barely able to cope. The quicker a country progresses towards “herd immunity” – the quicker it can reopen. However, this point is only valid IF immunity is developed when one has had the coronavirus which the great minds think is so. So flattening the curve too much is not an optimal situation. We will only know which countries handled the coronavirus better in hindsight years from now provided if their recordkeeping is up to par.
- Older population countries will have a higher death rate.
- Each publication uses different cutoff times for its coronavirus statistics. Our data uses 11:00 am London time. Also, there is unexplained variation in the total numbers both globally and in the U.S.
Today’s Economic Releases Impacted By The Pandemic With Hyperlinks
none today
Coronavirus INTERACTIVE Charts
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