Written by Steven Hansen
ECRI’s WLI Growth Index which forecasts economic growth six months forward improved and returned to expansion this week.
Analyst Opinion of the trends of the weekly leading indices
In essence, there is little growth forecast six months from today.
Here is this week’s update on ECRI’s Weekly Leading Index (note – a positive number indicates growth):
Weekly Leading Index Increases
Click here to download ECRI WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate. On mobile, click here to go to ECRI’s
Reports & Indexes page, then click “Full Site.”
__________________________________________ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) rose to 148.1 and its growth rate increased to 0.2%.
ECRI has long determined business cycle and growth rate cycle chronologies for 21 countries that can be freely accessed here.
The WLI is just one of many ECRI U.S. leading indexes, including some with longer leads over cyclical turning points in economic growth.
Please see links below for public statements ECRI has made about our cyclical outlook:
– Real Vision Interview with ECRI’s Achuthan “Full RV Interview: ECRI Slowdown Call, Process & Current Outlook“
– Read “GDP Data Tells You Nothing About Recession Risk“
– CNBC TV Interview with ECRI’s Achuthan “The Canary in the Semiconductor-chip Fab“
For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below.
Click here to review ECRI’s recent real-time track record.
For information on ECRI professional services please contact us.
Follow @businesscycle on Twitter.
U.S. Coincident Index:
ECRI produces a monthly coincident index. The February economy’s rate of growth (released in March) showed the rate of growth marginally declined.
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge:
ECRI produces a monthly future inflation index which leads U.S. inflation cycle turning points. The March index (released in April) shows no inflation pressure (positive numbers show inflation pressure).
z ecri_infl.PNG
U.S. Lagging Index:
ECRI produces a monthly Lagging index. The February economy’s rate of growth (released in March) showed the rate of growth insignificantly declined.
z ecri_lag.PNG
source: ECRI
include(“/home/aleta/public_html/files/ad_openx.htm”); ?>
