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17Jun2021 Market Close: B Of A New Inflation Meter Shows Transitory Hyperinflation, DOW Closes Down 210 Points, Nasdaq Up Sharply +0.9%, US Dollar Rises 91.94, Bitcoin Slides 37800

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9월 6, 2021
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Written by Gary

May 2021 Leading Economic Index Increased Again (SPY -0.03%). Tropical storm likely to hit US this week as hurricane season gets off to an active start.

The Market in Perspective

Here are the headlines moving the markets.

Big Oil Used Instagram And Gen Z Lost It

To say that Big Oil has had some reputation management problems would be the understatement of the decade. Pressure from environmentalist organizations, regulatorsand most recently, investorshas combined to make life quite difficult for the industry that is being singled out as virtually the only culprit behind anthropogenic climate change. But now its fighting back. A recent article published in Gizmodo details the Instagram foray of Shell and Phillips 66 as sponsors of influencers on the social network. Some of these

Musk: Tesla May Accept Bitcoin As Payment If Crypto Goes Green

Elon Musk has long been Bitcoins most high-profile advocate. His avid support for the crypto-currency has gone a long way toward shifting public perception in favor of Bitcoin and has boosted the assets legitimacy in global marketplaces. Bitcoin owes much to Musk for its recent boom and soaring prices as the cryptocurrency enters the mainstream in no small part thanks to the Tesla CEOs decision to buy $1.5 billion worth of bitcoin through the electric car company and begin accepting the currency as a valid method of payment.

Bottleneck At Crucial Chinese Port Could Cause Trouble For Oil Shipping

A major bottleneck at a Chinese port is creating additional disruption to supply chains and global trade, two months after the Suez Canal blockage disrupted global shipping, including oil cargo routes. The current situation at the Chinese port of Yantian Port is a worrying trend, the worlds largest container shipping company, Denmark-based A.P. Moller Maersk, said on Thursday. The ports operations were disrupted several weeks ago because of a COVID-19 outbreak, creating considerable congestion of container ships

Can Ecuadors Oil Industry Finally Begin To Recover?

Former banker Guillermo Lassos surprise victory over favored candidate leftist Andres Arauz in Ecuadors presidential election last month established a more optimistic outlook for Ecuadors beaten-down petroleum industry. President Lasso is Ecuadors first center-right president in almost two decades with the Andean countrys top office being dominated by left leaning administrations.Lasso is considered a business-friendly alternative to Arauz, the protg of former leftist President Rafael Correa who

Oilfield Services Receive A Major Boost As Oil Prices Rally

The steady and substantial climb in oil prices has led to more business for oilfield service providers and higher prices, Reuters has reported, citing data from the industry. We are already beginning to see a positive increase in activity and an upturn in service pricing will hopefully be reflected in the coming months, the report quoted Packers Plus Energy Services chief executive Stuart Wilson as saying. The revival of the oilfield service industry comes despite continuing financial discipline on the part of exploration and

Biden, Putin Did Not Discuss Oil Prices Or OPEC+ Deal

The leaders of the United States and Russia did not discuss oil prices or the OPEC+ deal at their summit in Geneva on Wednesday, Vladimir Putins Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov said on Thursday. Putin and U.S. President Joe Biden did not discuss Venezuela, the OPEC member under U.S. sanctions exempted from the OPEC+ alliances cuts, either, Peskov told Russian reporters in Moscow on Thursday, as carried by the TASS news agency. The two leaders, however, did discuss Iran and the ongoing talks about the U.S. and the Islamic Republic returning

5 things L Brands is doing to try to accelerate Victoria’s Secret’s turnaround

Big changes are happening at Victoria’s Secret to reshape its image as its parent company L Brands prepares to separate it from Bath and Body Works.

Travel app offers skittish vacationers 60-day freeze on hotel rates

Hopper rolled out its “Price Freeze for Hotels” feature. The app now lets users lock in the best rate at a specific hotel for up to 60 days.

FAA defends SpaceX in front of Congress despite unauthorized Starship launch

The leader of the FAA’s space office defended Elon Musk’s SpaceX in front of Congress on Wednesday, despite an unauthorized Starship launch in December.

Covid outbreak forces lockdown at U.S. Embassy in Kabul as cases surge in Afghanistan

The U.S. Embassy in Kabul was placed on lockdown Thursday as Covid cases surge in Afghanistan.

U.S. officials keep pushing for Covid vaccinations as more transmissible delta variant gains ground

Federal health officials keep pushing for more Americans to get vaccinated as the delta variant accounts for a bigger share of new cases in the United States.

Tropical storm likely to hit U.S. this week as hurricane season gets off to an active start

The first tropical system of the Atlantic hurricane season is forecast to make landfall in the U.S. this week, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Biden is on track to fall short of vaccinating 70% of American adults by the Fourth of July

About 65% of U.S. adults are at least partially vaccinated. Roughly 13.6 million would have to get their first shot over the next 18 days to meet Biden’s goal.

Biden administration to spend $3.2 billion on antiviral pills for Covid

The U.S. is investing $3.2 billion to advance the development of antiviral pills to treat Covid-19 and other viruses that have pandemic potential.

Genetic testing company 23andMe rises in first trade after Richard Branson SPAC merger

23andMe, a genetic testing start-up that pioneered personalized medicine as a consumer business, trades under ticker “ME” in a deal with Richard Branson’s SPAC.

‘Luca’ is ‘sweet’ and joyful, even if it doesn’t quite live up to Pixar’s greatest hits, critics say

Pixar’s “Luca” arrives on Disney+ on Friday. Here’s what critics had to say about the animation studio’s latest film.

How we chose America’s Top States for Business in 2021

To rank America’s Top States for Business, an annual CNBC report in its 14th year, we score all 50 states on 82 metrics across 10 categories of competitiveness.

Christian Eriksen: Denmark midfielder to be fitted with heart-starting device following cardiac arrest

The 29-year-old was given CPR on the pitch at the Parken Stadium in Copenhagen after collapsing during the first half of his side’s 1-0 Group B defeat by Finland on Saturday evening.

Sen. Warren presses major pharma trade group on efforts to block Covid vaccine patent waivers

Sen. Elizabeth Warren pressed a major pharma trade group on its lobbying efforts against a proposal to waive intellectual property rights for Covid vaccines.

Market Mayhem As ‘Gamma Hammer’ Sparks Post-Powell-Puke

Market Mayhem As ‘Gamma Hammer’ Sparks Post-Powell-Puke

We warned earlier in the week that Friday’s $2 trillion gamma expiration would spark chaos…

According to an update from McElligott, a massive ~35% of SPX options Gamma will drop-off tomorrow, 52% of QQQ, 61% of IWM and 54% of EEM.

These are staggering numbers and explains why we had a market-wide gamma meltup this morning, which however is set to end with a bang tomorrow when it all reverses.

…the poster-child in this latest iteration of the Equities ‘Short Vol’ movement – the ‘Gamma Hammer’ – was back both before-and-after the Fed and selling even more short-dated SPX strangles, which in-turn, back-filled the Street with more œGamma and created Equities to BUY into any pullback…

INSERT NASDAQ INTRA CHART WITH ARROWS

Yet while massive gamma selling explains today’s meltup, tomorrow it’s an entire different ballgame, and as our friends at spotgamma note, once most of the gamma gravity is gone (when it expires tomorrow), the gamma goes into reverse, and as SpotGamma’s EquityHub view shows, we are looking a substantial downside risks… which is what it looks like was front-run today.

…and combined with Powell’s panic-inducing statement/comments/walkback…

BofA’s New Inflation Meter Shows Transitory Hyperinflation

BofA’s New Inflation Meter Shows Transitory Hyperinflation

A little over a month ago, BofA spooked even the most dovish elements on Wall Street and in the Marriner Eccles building, when the bank said that judging by the explosion of references to surging prices in Q1 earnings calls, the bank concluded that this “pointing to at the very least, œtransitory hyper-inflation ahead.” Yes… really:

Fast forward to today when BofA’s economist Alex Lin quantified what his bank qualified to so many shocked gasps one month ago. As Lin writes, with core CPI inflation at 3.8% yoy in May, “we must assess how much of the acceleration in inflation is due to transitory factors, and how much will be sustained over the medium term”, a task which virtually everyone is obsessing over (and which can be resolved rather simply).

So to contribute to the …

The Damage Done By Probability Blindness

The Damage Done By Probability Blindness

Authored by Ron Ross via AmericanThinker.com,

As Bishop Joseph Butler said in 1736, “probability is the very guide of life.”

The coronavirus has generated more blind fear than perhaps any other event in recorded history.  That fear is blind because it ignores easily calculated probabilities.

The reported coronavirus deaths in the U.S. now stand at six hundred thousand.  The population of the U.S. is approximately 330 million.  When you divide deaths by the population, the number is less than two tenths of one percent.  As catastrophes go, that is a relatively small number.

There is a wide disparity of coronavirus deaths among age groups. Â

That fact has been deliberately ignored by the authorities and the media.

Eighty percent of all deaths have occurred in the over 65 population even though that age group const …

Like “Maria All Over Again” – Major Power Outages Strikes Puerto Rico

Like “Maria All Over Again” – Major Power Outages Strikes Puerto Rico

Puerto Rico’s troubled power utility is attempting to overhaul its grid and is already off to a terrible start.Â

More than 337,000 customers were plunged into darkness across the Caribbean island and unincorporated U.S. territory late Wednesday. Infuriating many customers after a cyberattack and major fire resulted in a massive outage last week.Â

According to AP News, Luma Energy, a private company that is now managing the island’s power transmission and distribution system, had “three units were knocked offline for reasons not immediately known.”Â

Perhaps local news NotiCentro’s “V. Torres Montalvo” has uncovered the source of the power outage:Â

“Unit 6 of Costa Sur, which went out of service more than an hour ago, spewing smoke. For this reason there are approximately 150 thousand customers without electricity.”Â

[VÃDEO] La Unidad 6 de Costa Sur, que salió de servicio hace más de una hora, botando humo. Por esta razón hay aprox 150 mil clientes sin luz.

Vídeo vía el compañero @riverasaniel. pic.twitter.com/JlAaaCdTAp

” V. Torres Montalvo 🧼 (@Motinsitepegas) June 17, 2021

Meat sector warns of Brexit production squeeze

UK faces shortage of home-reared chickens as EU workers stay away, says trade group.

Brewdog boss sorry for staff ‘pain’ as pledges review

James Watt has promised an independent review of the beer company after fierce criticism from ex-staff.

Victoria’s Secret hires footballer Megan Rapinoe in rebrand

Lingerie firm hopes partnerships with the likes of football star Megan Rapinoe will revamp the brand.

Fed is about to shift gears, but this time it may be different

Getting two rate hikes in by the end of 2023, as the forecasts showed on Tuesday, would substantially shorten the runway for the handoff from the taper to a rates liftoff, and the rate increases also are projected to come more quickly.

Gold futures plummet, hover near Rs 47,000/10 gm; silver slides below Rs 68,000/kg. Time to take positions now?

The August 5 contract of the yellow metal on MCX fell as much as 3.38 per cent or Rs 1,639 to Rs 46,867 during the evening session.

DMart, Info Edge in the running for Nifty inclusion, says Edelweiss

Edelweiss said supermarket chain operator Avenue Supermarts meets most of the criteria for inclusion, the absent factor being that it is not a part of the derivatives segment.

May 2021 Leading Economic Index Increased Again

Written by Steven Hansen

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S increased by 1.3 percent in May to 114.5 (2016 = 100), following a 1.3 percent increase in April and a 1.4 percent increase in March – and the authors say “After another large improvement in May, the U.S. LEI now stands above its previous peak reached in January 2020 (112.0), suggesting that strong economic growth will continue in the near term”.

Capitol Report: When does the Juneteenth holiday go into effect? Right now

As Washington policymakers establish June 19, known as Juneteenth, most federal employees will get Friday off, said the U.S. Office of Personnel Management, the government agency in charge of such matters.

Key Words: Stock market ‘still fine for now,’ says billionaire David Tepper after Fed’s hawkish shift

Hedge-fund titan David Tepper says the stock market œis still fine for now after the Federal Reserve struck a more hawkish tone at its June policy meeting.

: Barclays moves up expectations for Fed tapering after FOMC meeting

Barclays economists are anticipating the Federal Reserve will begin tapering its asset purchases as soon as this year, moving up their previous forecast after the Federal Open Market Committee meeting concluded Wednesday.

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