by Mike Ber, Forex Alerts
(This article was originally published by Zentrader.ca)
The following is a special weekend report from ForexAlerts.ca recapping the major pairs they cover, how they traded them this past week, and what they look forward next week. They recently launched their service and are offering a 50% discount for a limited time. To learn more about currencies and take advantage of this offer click here.
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Levels to watch at the beginning of the week:
Upside: 99.788
Range: 95.408 – 99.978
Downside: 95.408
Commentary:
USD/JPY is trading within the 95.408 – 99.978 range. The range is wide because our 98.944 level was taken our recently.
No changes in our outlook. The bias is Bullish-Neutral. The pair has very strong daily and weekly charts, but future outlook remains unclear, due to important upside barrier.
In our last week update we wrote about the expected pullback, but USD/JPY didn’t retrace to acceptable levels for to enter long positions. We have to give the benefit of the doubt to the bulls at the moment, because they have momentum going. USD/JPY is probably will be testing our upper band 99.978 in near future.
We want to make our strategy clear: USD/JPY will need to break 99.978 with conviction. That would mean to actually break the level of 100. For now, the only way for us to enter the trade, is for the pair not only to break 100, but also hold the gains. After that we will be looking to enter long position on a pullback.
Our USD/JPY trades:
Click HERE for the list of our trades in April
No positions
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Levels to watch at the beginning of the week:
Upside: 1.32486
Range: 1.28655-1.32486
Downside: 1.28655
Commentary:
EUR/USD is trading within a new 1.28655-1.32486 range. The 1.3201 level was taken out recently.
We notified our members on Twitter on Thursday that we closed our short position, in order to get back in at a better price. We wrote:
“We recommend selling entire EUR/USD position now. It’s trading at $1.3065. We’re not bullish, but it will likely rebound and we can establish a new position at higher prices for next leg down. EUR/USD: We are looking to get short again somewhere between 1.3109 and 1.3123.”
We opened a new short position @ 1.3120. Our stop is 1.3248.
Our EUR/USD trades:
Click HERE for the list of our trades in April
April 25th, 2013 – Entered short position @ 1.3049 – 1/3(targeting 1.28655)
May 1st, 2013 – Added to short position @ 1.3209 – 1/3 ( total position 2/3 – 1.3129 average)
May 2nd, 2013 – Exited short position @ 1.3065 – PL: +64 pips profit
May 2nd, 2013 – Opened new short position @ 1.3120 – ( position size = 2/3)
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Levels to watch at the beginning of the week:
Upside: 1.01663
Range: 1.00136–1.01663
Downside: 1.01663
Commentary:
We changed our Bias to Bearish – Neutral from Neutral. The pair is trading within the 1.00136–1.01663 range.
If you are short 1.00136 support is probably a good level to take profits. The pair is not rallying up enough to give us a good short entry. We mentioned to our members that we wanted to start shorting @1.01406, and add @1.01663. Unfortunately USD/CAD only climbed up to 1.0131, and we didn’t initiate positions.
We want to see how the pair reacts @1.00604 level of support. If the pair bounces off this level again, this could be an important support that will lead to a rebound in a coming week.
Our USD/CAD trades:
Click HERE for the list of our trades in April
No positions
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Levels to watch at the beginning of the week:
Upside: 1.56703
Range: 1.54643 – 1.56703
Downside: 1.53615
Commentary:
No change in bias or outlook. The bias is still Bearish – Neutral.
The pair is trading within the 1.54643-1.56703 range.
From our last week report:
“The pair may continue upside movement to 1.5595 level; if the short trade is crowded, there might be a squeeze to this level. We are not over leveraged, and even though we hold a losing position at the moment we prefer the pair to climb to 1.5595 area of resistance, where we will add 2/3 to our short position that we took off previously. Our view didn’t change, the charts are still bearish. We believe that this is one of the cases where big explosive move doesn’t change the overall outlook. The development provides a better entry point.”
We added to our short position @1.5590. The close above 1.5605 level may invalidate our bearish outlook, and we will consider closing our position at loss.
Our GBP/USD trades:
Click HERE for the list of our trades in April
Still hold a small position (short @ 1.5250)
May 1st, 2013 – Added to short position @1.5590 (Total Position size = 2/3, 1.5505 average)
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Levels to watch at the beginning of the week:
Upside: 130.90
Range: 126.955 – 130.90
Downside: 125.015
Commentary:
EUR/JPY is trading within the 126.955–130.90 range.
Our bias is Neutral. We are waiting on the sidelines until the next trend develops.
It’s obvious that EUR/JPY is waiting for the resolution on USD/JPY’s ability to challenge the barrier of 100. At this point support @ 125.015 provides a good buying opportunity.
The pair is trading in a wedge pattern, and we are looking for a break one way or another.
Our EUR/JPY trades:
Click HERE for the list of our trades in April
No positions
