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Week in Review, 10 December 2011

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December 10, 2011
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by Trefis Staff

Below is a summary of the activity on Trefis during the past week that we thought you would find interesting.  Trefis is a financial community structuredtrefis-citigrouparound trends, forecasts and insights related to some of the most popular stocks in the US.  It provides the unique feature of allowing the user to model future valuation based upon projected changes in components of each business.  It also provides communication capabilities among members, including concensus of member analysis compared to Trefis staff analysis and blogging opportunities for members.

Click on graphic for larger image and go to Trefis for interactive page.

Insights from the Week Technology, Media & Telecom

  • Nokia’s Stock Looks Cheap as Lumia Could Light up Demand December 9

If Nokia can find success in the U.S., it could boost its stock and if DigiTimes’ report is a good indication of potential demand, this launch could be another catalyst for its stock …

  • BeKnowns’ Free Jobs Tab Helps Monster Broaden Social Media Push December 9

The Jobs Tab is essentially an add-on tool, which automatically distributes relevant company (employer) updates and job listings to a company’s Facebook page at no additional cost to the employer …

  • Symantec Corp: The Virus of Mismanagement December 9

For a company that generates such strong cash flows, the company’s addiction to acquisitions has led it to lever up an astonishing amount over the last five years …

  • Nvidia Updates: Slips In Mobile Market, Likely To Win Apple’s Contract December 9

Research from Strategy Analytics indicates that Nvidia has slipped in the mobile application processor market and lost its earlier 5th position to Broadcom …

  • Adobe Update: Efficient Frontier Acquisition to Help Digital Marketing Efforts December 9

The acquisition will add multi-channel ad campaign forecasting, execution and optimization capabilities to Adobe’s existing digital marketing offering …

  • NFL Demands Fee Increase, DirecTV’s Subscribers Could Feel The Pain December 9

To stay on the conservative side, we assume the gross margins for NFL Sunday Ticket to be around 30%, an annual costs of $1 billion and gross margins of 30% imply total annual NFL Sunday Ticket revenues of about $1.43 billion …

  • Oracle Updates: Competition in the Cloud Intensifies December 9

Oracle faced a minor defeat against Google in its patent infringement lawsuit related to the use of Java in Android. One of its key patents has been rejected …

  • Microsoft Upgrades Office 365; Adds Sharing Features & Mobile Support December 9

It has also enabled one-click sharing with SkyDrive, its cloud storage offering, for Office and added support for social networks like Facebook and LinkedIn to it …

  • Cisco Notes: Expands WLAN Market Share, Announces Tablets & Private Cloud Initiatives December 9

Cisco in the past year has focused on positioning Cius as a key component of its collaboration strategy, a $42 billion opportunity according to the company …

  • Travelzoo (TZOO) Coverage Launch: $30.38 Trefis Price Estimate December 9

Travelzoo is differentiating itself from group-buying sites like Groupon, Living Social and AOL’s Wow.com by leveraging its existing hotel relationships and offering higher-end deals …

  • China Mobile Primed for $58 on Burgeoning Smartphone User Base December 9

We believe that this huge subscriber base is what puts China Mobile in a better position to tap the growing smartphone demand than its rivals in the wireless market …

  • AT&T Surfs the 4S Wave to Record Smartphone Sales This Year December 9

The company acknowledged that the huge surge in demand was mostly due to the iPhone 4S, 1 million of which it had managed to activate in the first five days of its debut itself in October this year …

  • Nokia Plays it Safe with Windows Phone Launch Planned for Next Week December 9

Its decision to go with a smaller carrier first is also in sync with its risk-free plans as it doesn’t want to cause much of a concern to its well-placed rivals right away …

  • SAP Plays Cloud Catch Up with SuccessFactors Acquisition December 9

While Oracle and Salesforce.com have been on an acquisition spree lately, SAP has tried the organic growth route – developing new applications and solutions in-house …

  • Apple Sales Smokes Samsung, HTC for Second Consecutive Month December 9

Checks performed by analysts at Canaccord showed that the iPhone 4S was the best-selling smartphone for November at all the three top U.S. carriers, AT&T, Verizon and Sprint …

  • Salesforce.com’s Enterprise App Store Goes Mobile December 9

AppExchange will now also host mobile apps for the iOS and Android platforms. It will showcase both HTML 5 mobile apps, as well as native apps for iOS and Android …

  • Symantec Launches New Enterprise Mobile Security Offering December 9

It can be used by customers to refine their security strategies related to mobile device management, data loss prevention, encryption, authentication and mobile anti-virus software …

  • RIM Could Sell Playbooks With Lower Prices this Holiday December 9

RIM had announced a $300 discount across all models of the Playbook to reduce inventory stockpiling and drive sell-through to customers this holiday weekend …

  • Google Wallet Faces Hurdles in Gaining Mobile Carriers Support December 9

In a smartphone market dominated by contract buying, mobile operators could continue to have a strong say, especially since they have their own mobile payment platform to promote …

  • AMD’s CEO Outlines New Strategy, Execution Gets Stock to $8.50 December 9

With its sharpened focus on the tablet and smartphones as well as other connected devices, AMD should also keep its focus on the server business …

  • Comcast Embraces the iPad & Streaming Trend December 8

The content among many players is more or less similar and the user interface and convenience as well as the ability to extend the experience beyond current live shows will matter the most …

  • Microsoft Unveils Windows 8 App Store; Its Next Billion Dollar Business? December 8

Windows 8 is expected to be Microsoft’s biggest launch in years, and one of its most crucial ones, as Windows accounts for nearly 25% of Microsoft’s Trefis price estimate …

  • Retailers Fume Over Amazon’s Price Check App December 8

Amazon is also using a disruptive price strategy for promoting the Price Check, offering up to $15 in discounts to customers who download and enable the app on 10th December …

  • Android Making Rapid Strides in Apps Business, Monetization Elusive December 8

According to a report, Apple owns about 85 to 90% of total mobile app spending. This is likely to be still more than 70% of mobile app revenue share for the next three or four years …

  • Verizon Updates: New Web Offering & Google Wallet Noise December 8

Verizon plans to roll out Isis in a few markets next year, and hence it might be tempted to try and put a few speed bumps in front of Google by blocking Wallet service …

  • Salesforce.com Update: New Products Drive Stock Higher on Improved Outlook December 8

The stock has jumped nearly 10% in the last two weeks, buoyed by a rise in the broader market as well as a series of new product launches which should impact its revenues positively in the coming years …

  • Yahoo Updates: Board Not Yet Satisfied With Bids, Sued Over Bidding Restrictions December 8

While Yahoo’s leadership has been in question for a while, the recent lawsuit points to the more serious question of whether the board (including Jerry Yang) is placing its self-interest before that of shareholders …

  • SAP Update: Raises its Profile in the Cloud and Mobile Markets December 8

SuccessFactors will give SAP significant headway in the cloud computing software market, which every major enterprise software giant is trying to crack …

  • Shutterfly Update: Stock Hammered by Macro Concerns, Competition & Margin Pressures December 8

We expect it to post strong numbers in Q4, but its stock has taken a massive hit in the past month, shedding nearly a third of its value …

  • IBM to Acquire DemandTec for $440 Million; Taking Smarter Commerce to the Cloud December 8

DemandTec has approximately 450 customers worldwide in retail, consumer products and other industries. It also has a portfolio of 31 patents in the areas of pricing, response analysis, and promotion analysis …

  • Pandora Updates: Competitive & Profitability Concerns Remain December 8

It appears that there is a general concern among investors and analysts about rising competition and the ability of the company to be profitable …

  • Groupon Launches Scheduler Feature as Competition Heats Up December 8

The new product aims to further close the gap between merchants and consumers by enabling the former to better manage their schedules …

  • Cisco’s Worth $21 as Margins Hold Up Despite Choppy Markets December 8

It seems like Cisco is finally able to bring about the desired operational efficiency as a benefit of its months long overhaul to save $1 billion through layoffs and asset sales are now beginning to show up in its results …

  • ‘Tis the Season for eBay: Upside to $37 Fair Value Warranted December 8

It got to where it is by sticking to the formula of providing individuals and companies with a forum for buying and selling items ranging from cars to collectibles …

  • NetApp’s Slump Could Reverse to $46 on Disk Storage Business, Acquisitions December 8

NetApp, the third largest player in the external disk storage systems market, saw its share increase to 12% in the quarter, up from 11.5% in third quarter last year …

  • Can Netflix Have a Positive Impact On Time Warner Cable? December 8

Assuming that a tiered pricing is implemented and brings in more revenue per broadband subscriber, the company’s results could improve …

  • ADP Offers Higher Credit Rating and Yield Than the Federal Government December 8

Based on the implications of its credit rating, ADP actually provides a higher dividend yield than the U.S government as well. With a market price just over $50 a share, ADP’s dividend is close to 3% …

  • Lexmark Look Like a Dud, Except for its Imaging Solutions Business December 8

While its software and enterprise focused portion of the business seems to be improving some, the vast majority of revenue still comes from low margin hardware …

  • Microsoft Office for the iPad Could Put Pricing Pressure on Windows 8 December 7

Launching Office on the iPad could lead to a potential decline in the sales of Windows 8 tablets as consumers flock to the iPad, which already has more than 100,000 tablet-specific apps and games …

  • Analysis Confirms Sirius XM On Track to Meet or Exceed Subscriber Guidance December 7

All signs continue to point to Sirius XM meeting or beating the 442,000 net subscriber additions it will need to attain to meet its guidance …

  • At mid $30s, NetApp Looks Oversold December 7

With disk drives prices expected to rise in December and January as output from factories in Thailand to decline, NetApp’s revenue and/or margins are expected to take a hit …

  • Qualcomm Lowers Price on Chips to Penetrate China, Emerging Markets December 7

We believe this is a sensible move by Qualcomm as it strives to capture the growth opportunity in emerging markets where telecom operators have started to adopt the 3G technology …

  • Apple Looks to Fatten Supply Chain to Avoid Disruptions December 7

We believe the Sharp deal is Apple’s move to diversify its supply-chain as it looks to avoid a possible repeat of these issues next year. It will help Apple maintain its impressive iPad sales growth looking forward …

  • Paychex Launches Online Mobile App for iPad as Small Business Hiring Picks Up December 7

As small business hiring picks up, the new iPad app puts Paychex’ payroll offering on equal footing with that of ADP’s, especially for customers looking for increased ease of use and anytime, anywhere …

  • Avaya Elbows into Ethernet Switch Market to Challenge Cisco December 7

Cisco had once enjoyed near monopoly in a number of market segments where it no longer is the leader, so it’s going to be an interesting battle for market share between the two players …

  • Verizon’s Spectrum Purchase Has Mixed Impact on Clearwire, Sprint December 7

The ailing wireless provider has only $700 million in cash and short-term investments, which is barely enough for the company to meet its operational costs for the next year …

  • Time Warner Cable Updates: TV Bills To Rise, Enters Spectrum Deal With Verizon December 7

The company further mentioned that half customers will not see a pricing change in the bills, implying that the rate increases will be applicable to certain programming packages …

  • Disney Updates: Increases Dividend, Youtube Gets Movies December 7

Disney announced that it will be increasing its annual cash dividend by 50%, up from 40 cents per share to 60 cents per share to be paid in early 2012 …

  • Looking at Sirius XM’s Ad Business Prospects December 6

In a survey by The Media Audit a couple of months back, Sirius XM’s listener time increased by 19% in the past three years as a sizable number of satellite radio listeners are tuned in to news, sports, and public radio …

  • Apple’s Legal Efforts to Halt Samsung Galaxy Sales Falls Short December 6

The legal battle between Apple and Samsung continues to intensify as both are looking to gain market share in the highly competitive mobile market …

  • TI launches New Cortex Microprocessors Aimed at Industrial Automation Market December 6

The low-power ARM Cortex-A8 processor platform (275 MHz to 720 MHz) is scalable and hence suited for many different industrial automation applications, enabling extensive reuse and compatibility …

  • NYT Gets More Social With New Comment System December 6

Considering the high quality of journalism New York Times is known for, it is somewhat justified that the company would not be willing to tolerate strong (or even erroneous) language in any forum …

  • Microsoft’s Dilemma: Take a Shot at Google with Firefox-Bing Deal or Back Internet Explorer December 6

Given Chrome’s popularity, there is speculation that Google may not enter into an agreement with Mozilla to be the default search engine provider in Firefox, at least not at the price they paid last year …

  • IBM Acquires Dublin-based Cúram Software to Boost Smarter Cities December 6

Curum Software is used by health and human services, workforce services and social security organizations around the world to deliver welfare, social insurance and both individual and employer based social programs …

  • YouTube Gets a Makeover as Google Strives for Higher Monetization December 6

The new look is reminiscent of a “news feed” typical of social networks where users can easily personalize & customize the channels they have subscribed to and get the latest developments on their subscribed channels …

  • HP Makes Its Move: Adds Box’s Cloud Collaboration to PCs December 6

The move, surprisingly, comes in tandem with a survey from PCWorld on ‘Desktop PC Reliability and Satisfaction’, in which HP’s business and home PCs performed poorly on parameters like durability and product support …

  • Baidu’s Mobile OS “Yi” Will Have to Battle Android for China Market Share December 6

The Biadu-enabled phone (powered by Dell) would be available at around 3,000 RmB, which is a competitive price compared to other high-end smartphone players in China …

  • Unlike AT&T, Verizon Will Avoid Major Regulatory Hurdles Obtaining New Spectrum December 6

The AWS spectrum purchase will make the largest national wireless carrier even larger and make it even tougher for smaller wireless providers to compete effectively …

  • Google Wallet is an Amazon Like Service With Low Margins December 6

Given the spate of new initiatives at Google, we believe Wallet will be a little more difficult to tackle and question whether or not Google has the stomach to be in a business that could be very difficult given Amazon’s experience in this arena …

  • RIM Bets the House on QNX, 40% Upside if They’re Right December 6

RIM is however not giving up on the Playbook as it is the only device in the market that runs on the QNX platform, which the company is betting its future on …

  • Verizon Scores Huge Win in $3.6 Billion Spectrum Deal December 6

AT&T’s desperation to secure its T-Mobile purchase exemplifies the dire need for spectrum that wireless carriers face and if its deal receives regulatory approval, Verizon will have scored a huge win …

  • Cisco Gains Market Share in the Carrier Router and Switch Market December 6

In the IP edge segment (edge routers and carrier Ethernet switches), which makes up 79% of the carrier router and switch market, Cisco expanded its share to 36.2% in the third quarter …

  • Legal Troubles May Haunt Groupon in the U.K. December 6

Groupon might need to overhaul the terms and conditions provisioned for its merchants and customers, although it’s too early to speculate the exact impact of the OFT investigation …

  • Microsoft Gains on Xbox & Kinect Sales During Holiday December 6

We expect Xbox 360 to have around 19% share in the gaming console market in 2011, and expect the share expand to more than 26% by the end of our forecast period …

  • Salesforce.com Launches Radian6 Social Marketing Cloud December 5

It has now unveiled the new Radian6 Social Marketing Cloud, which enables companies to monitor their social network presence and leverage social media to interact and engage with their customers …

  • Adobe Acquires Efficient Frontier, Aims to Become a Leader in Digital Marketing December 5

With its recent moves, and acquisitions like Efficient Frontier and Auditude, Adobe hopes to become one of the dominant players in digital marketing and analytics …

  • Microsoft Working on Kinect 2 with Advanced Features, TV Integration December 5

It will offer improved motion sensing and voice recognition capabilities, and will also pack in enough processing power to lip read and gauge emotions of players based on their pitch, volume and facial characteristics …

  • Amazon Heads to $230: Kindle Fire Rapidly Takes #2 Position in Tablet Market December 5

The report suggests that iPad will continue to dominate the tablet market with a market share of 66% while Kindle’s market share will increase to around 14% …

  • Microsoft Rolls Out Lync Enterprise Chat Apps for Mobile Users on All OS Platforms December 5

The next versions of Microsoft’s Windows and Office will be compatible with tablets. Microsoft has already launched a cloud based version of Office – Office 365, to take on Google Docs …

  • Microsoft Trying to Expand Enterprise Reach on Other Mobile Platforms December 5

Microsoft has signed a protocol licensing agreement with AgreeYa Mobility, which should increase the usage of Microsoft’s enterprise offerings on other non-Microsoft platforms …

  • Netflix Updates: Analysts Too Negative on Stock, U.K. Competitors Ready to Spar December 5

Getting content for international expansion even though it will lead to losses may be the right move as it will position Netflix for long-term gains …

  • DirecTV Updates: CEO Braces for 2012 Slowdown, Still Worth $53.25 December 5

DirecTV is taking a conservative approach to guidance and doing the right thing by warning beforehand that it may see a slowdown in growth due to Europe debt crisis and U.S. Presidential elections …

  • iPhone 4S Beats iPhone 4 in Customer Survey, Augurs Well for Holiday Sales December 5

We believe that iPhone 4S could surprise analysts when Apple announces its quarterly results in January next year. Apple suppliers gives a good indication of how Apple products are faring in the market …

  • YouTube Looks to Crash Netflix Comeback with Rentals, Original Content December 5

It seems that as Google Search has no near competitors, the company is increasingly shifting focus toward expanding its media offerings …

  • Adobe Expands Digital Marketing Offering to Support Search Marketing Campaigns December 5

The integrated offering will support both organic and paid search campaigns, and allow users to analyze their paid and organic campaigns using engagement and conversion metrics in a single detailed report …

  • Google’s AdMeld Acquisition Might Finally Go Through December 5

The prime concern with the AdMeld deal was that Google might be making the online advertising environment unfavorable for competition by building a big enough moat of resources to deter other companies …

  • With ESPN and the NBA Season Back, Disney Could Hit $46 December 5

Disney’s most valuable asset is ESPN which contributes 28% to the company’s stock price and is greatly benefited by the NBA during the winter and spring each year …

  • Microsoft Working on Kinect Hardware for Windows 8 December 5

Windows 8, the next version of Windows, is expected to be Microsoft’s biggest release yet, bigger than even Windows 7 which sold nearly 500 million copies to date …

 

(Trefis Pro Exclusive) Consumer, Retail, & Automotive

Daimler Rationalizes, Shuts Maybach to Focus on Mercedes December 9

    We believe this can provide further upside to our price estimate not only as it cuts a decade of losses on Maybach but also as it boosts sales with concerted marketing efforts for the Mercedes brand …

    • Target Looks to Smaller Formats, Canadian Expansion and Designer Labels to Boost Sales December 9

    Target has a wide presence in the U.S. and risks self-cannibalization if it decides to continue expanding at the current rate, and hence it’s critical that the company focuses on diversifying its revenues …

    • Wal-Mart Furthers its Social Media Focus with Shopycat December 9

    Shopycat uses social data to recommend items from Walmart.com, Walmart stores and other sites including RedEnvelope, Barnes & Noble and ThinkGeek …

    • Express Scripts Spat Weighs on Walgreen’s November Sales December 9

    The dispute with pharmacy benefits manager (PBM) Express Scripts continued to weigh on the company’s sales as Express Scripts’ customers have already started looking at other drugstores to fill their prescriptions …

    • Ford’s Emerging Markets Strategy Lifts Outlook December 9

    Ford has outlined its focus upon emerging markets and Asia-Pacific region to drive its growth over the next ten years given the economic slowdown in developed markets …

    • Heinz Shifts to Smaller Sizes for Smaller Budgets December 8

    This move is in line with the string of measures taken by companies around the world as uncertainty looms over the health of the global economy …

    • Chevrolet Electric Vehicles: GM Scrambles on Saftey Concerns, Stock Still Worth $26 December 8

    The company has now deployed a senior engineering team to develop changes for troubleshooting potential post-crash electrical fires and has established a Volt owner satisfaction program …

    • Luxury Stocks are Safer Bets in the Holiday Season December 8

    As the highly promotional nature of apparel market continues, a value customer is in the lookout for best promotional deals without caring much about the brand …

    • Kraft’s Split Could Improve Focus, Unlock Value December 8

    The yet-to-be-named Snacks portion of the business, which will include the chocolate, candy, and gum brands, currently comprises more than approximately 45% of the company’s stock price according to Trefis analysis …

    • Perfect World New Coverage: $21 Trefis Price Estimate December 8

    The shrinking user base could also be explained by the rising popularity of casual social games, which are luring gamers away from traditional MMORPGs …

    • Rite Aid: Upbeat November Sales Support $1.38 Fair Value December 8

    Pharmacy same store sales grew 3% with 1% more prescriptions filled by each Rite Aid store, despite a 160 bps negative impact from new lower-priced generic introductions …

    • Unilever Weekly Update: Completes Sale of Culver Specialty Brands to B&G Foods December 7

    The company is likely to offload more of its food businesses like savory, dressings and spreads that provide it limited growth prospects to instead divert its resources to expand its fast-growing personal care business …

    • Lowe’s Update: Self-Improvement Taking Hold, Goldman Sachs Upgrades to Buy December 7

    The upgrade was in response to management’s continued efforts to reinvent its strategies from a new national re-branding campaign, to store upgrades and roll out of powerful online tools like ‘MyLowes’ to engage customers …

    • Altria’s Lawsuit Fines Fail to Deter Sanguine Investors December 7

    The charges failed to deter the enthusiasm of the investors who see this stock rising in the long term despite the ever increasing taxes and a stringent regulatory environment …

    • Daimler Updates: Germany Auto Sales Drag on Global Strength, Maybach Shelved December 7

    While Mercedes made impressive gains in the U.S. and China, the brand foundered in Germany which has traditionally been its largest market …

    • Mulally Replacement Uncertainty Will Keep Investors Nervous on Future December 7

    Mulally, credited for Ford’s turnaround over the last 5 years, could be retiring from Ford within two years, leaving big shoes for the incoming CEO to fill …

    • P&G Partners with ShopStyle for Women’s Focused Website December 7

    By engaging this target market online P&G is showing that it is thinking ahead on how to engage in target customers as well as promote another sales channel online …

    • Kraft Eyes Growth in Snacks with MilkBite: One of its Big Bets for 2012 December 7

    This is certainly a good time for Kraft Foods to launch new products. In a recent survey, Kraft was ranked as having the second most innovative equity with consumers …

    • Home Depot & Lowe’s Jump as Home Improvement Spending Climbs December 7

    The latest Bureau of Economic Analysis data for July-September shows a 3% y-o-y increase in annual private residential fixed investment and expects Americans to spend about $340 billion on their houses next quarter …

    • Estée Lauder: Tapping the Fast Growing Global Anti-Age Creme Category December 7

    Half of the company’s skin-care business comes from anti-aging products, of which global anti-aging has emerged as the largest, most dynamic and fastest growing sub-segment …

    • P&G Update: Tapping Further Into Latin American Laundry Market December 6

    P&G opened a new detergent production plant in Peru last week, which will more than triple Peru’s production capacity and help deepen P&G’s market share in Latin American laundry market …

    • Should P&G Reconsider its Pringles Sale to Diamond Foods? December 6

    P&G may consider a fresh search for buyers or revise its terms of agreement in light of the recent developments and plunging Diamond stock, that has lost 60% value last month …

    • McDonald’s Rolls the Dice on Installing TVs at Restaurants December 6

    The in-store TV channel, known as McTV, is part of $2.9 billion that the company aims to spend in 2012 as part of its capital expenditure …

    • Kimberly Clark Update: Hails Latest Patent Reforms for New Product Launches December 5

    The latest patent law shift from “first-to-invent” to “first-to-file” system will surely benefit Kimberly-Clark that relies on its product patents and strong product innovation pipeline to maintain its market share …

    • Coca Cola Sharpens Focus on Green Initiatives, $75 Fair Value December 5

    Coca Cola Singapore is making efforts to reduce the weight of soda cans so that it uses less raw materials. Currently, all of its bottles and cans are recyclable …

    • Costco Updates: Black Friday and Nov. Sales Data Lift Stock Outlook December 5

    Higher customer traffic and strong domestic and international sales helped Costco to post better-than-expected same store sales in November surpassing 6.5% as predicted by the analysts polled by Thomson Reuters …

    • Unilever Update: Shifting Focus From Food Businesses To Personal Care December 5

    Unilever may look to divest its regional food businesses and use the proceeds from the sale to fund acquisitions in the personal care segment …

    • Kraft Betting on New Products: Caffeinated Energy Drink, Breakfast Bars December 5

    The U.S. energy drinks sector represents about $6 billion in annual sales, so a slight market share might still generate significant revenues …

    • Avon’s Sinking Stock Worth $18 December 5

    The fact that the company is under investigation by the SEC accused with possible violations of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act has added to further complications in business recovery …  

     

    (Trefis Pro Exclusive) Financial Services

    • AIG Update: Raising Property & Casualty Insurance Rates to Offset Tough Year December 9

    The company increased overall commercial rates by 4.6% in the U.S., with property-insurance prices rising by 8.8% and is also passing along more risk to reinsurers in the U.S. …

    • AmEx Readies for the Holidays with Online Initiatives December 8

    As the holiday season is off to a good start, these arrangements hope to better serve customers while motivating them to shop more using their AmEx cards as opposed to cash …

    • Deutsche Bank Slapped with Margin Call Suit by Disgruntled Counterparty December 8

    This lawsuit was filed by the Monaco-based investment firm in retaliation to the one filed by Deutsche Bank in early 2009, alleging that Sebastian Holdings owes the bank $245 million over a failed margin call …

    • MetLife’s 2012 Results Lifted by Int’l Operations December 8

    For 2012, the company expects operating earnings to be between $5.1 billion and $5.6 billion, again about 7% increase over the 2011 adjusted results …

    • BATS to Start Listing Stocks to Lure Cost Conscious Firms December 7

    Apart from this push, BATS also plans to distinguish itself with lower fees and size requirements than the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq stock markets …

    • BlackRock Reorganizing, Cuts Job as ETF Growth Slows Amid Volatility December 7

    Assets under Blackrock’s iShares and State Street’s SSgA declined by less than 5% this month compared to October 2011 while Vanguard and Schwab saw around 1-2% increase in their assets …

    • Travelers Engages Customers with Insurance Education as Premiums Set to Rise December 7

    The virtual tool will be available on its website and will present a customized list of coverage and information specific to insurance at different stages of life …

    • MasterCard Betting Big on Mobile Payments with mFoundry December 7

    The collaboration of mFoundry with MasterCard will enable more banks and credit unions to give their customers the option to pay for items using their mobile phones …

    • Goldman Has Top-Level Departures at Inopportune Time December 7

    This shake-up is definitely not what Goldman needs now; it is already under immense pressure from investors to bounce back from its rare loss in the third quarter …

    • BNY Mellon Revised to $27: Punished Despite Limited Euro Exposure December 6

    The current share prices hardly do justice to the value of the bank, which holds the distinction of being the largest custodian bank in the world …

    • Financial Stocks Hold On to Gains Despite S&P EU Warning December 6

    As markets across the globe cheered the developments in Europe with significant rallies to the various reference indexes, S&P warned that it may cut the credit ratings of 15 nations in the region …

    • Banks Continue Rally as Italy Keeps Hope Alive December 5

    The plan includes steep budget cuts and a delay in the retirement of workers to rope in expenses, while introducing various taxes to help fill government coffers …   (Trefis Pro Exclusive) Energy & Natural Resources

    • US Solar: Blistering Demand v Expiry of 1603 Treasury Program December 9

    For the US market alone total installations in 2011 are expected to come in at 1.9 GW. However, the issue for the outlook for the US solar sector continues to be uncertainties regarding the policy environment …

    • Chesapeake’s Shale Leaseholds Support $35 Stock Value December 9

    Chesapeake recently sold $750 million worth of shares in its Utica Shale Holdings to a group of private investors to fund the project development of the shale oil and natural gas deposit …

    • Anadarko May Look to Monetize Some Mozambique Assets December 9

    Anadarko may look to sell part of its holdings in the offshore Mozambique gas fields, which are estimated to hold between 15 to 30 Trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of natural gas …

    • LDK Taps China Bond Market, More Government Involvement Suspected December 9

    The fact that the company was able to so easily complete a debt offering has raised questions regarding the Chinese government’s involvement …

    • Suntech, Trina May be Hit As U.S. Trade Panel Looks Into Import Tariffs December 8

    The ITC voted unanimously on a petition from German player SolarWorld that calls for tariffs to be placed on Chinese solar imports because the companies benefited from unfair government subsidies …

    • BP Mulls Plans to Resume Exploration in Libya December 8

    The company has been asked by the new government to return to the country to continue its drilling plans that were part of a 2007 agreement with the prior regime …

    • Exxon, Other Majors Play a Larger Role in the Middle East December 7

    As its easy-to-extract resources are growing more scarce, the Middle East is looking to oil majors for help in developing its remaining resources …

    • Chesapeake Sells $750 Million Stake in Utica Subsidiary December 7

    The company continues with its strategy of acquiring land and then re-selling it to third party buyers or investors for development of the projects …

    • Chevron Criticized For ‘Medieval Techniques’, Production May Take a Hit December 7

    The move comes in reaction to the leak, which took place 70 KM offshore from the Brazilian coast and resulted in 3,000 barrels of oil leaking into the ocean …

    • Duke Settles For Lower Rate Hikes in Carolinas, $21 Fair Value December 7

    Duke has faced a lot of criticism in the past few weeks for its plan to pass on the incremental costs of development of the coal gasification unit at its Edwardsport plant to its customers …

    • First Solar Could Get Boost if U.S. Imposes Tariffs on Chinese Firms December 7

    The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) launched a full-fledged investigation into a number of Chinese firms accused of benefiting unfairly from government subsidies …

    • BP Sells Canadian Gas, Looking to Defend $55 Fair Value December 6

    The move is also seen as the company’s latest attempt to focus on the high returns upstream exploration business by selling off downstream assets …

    • Suntech Recovers on Volumes, Margins Stabilize December 6

    Suntech cautioned investors that the tough industry conditions would continue for the next couple of quarters as the industry continues to battle with overcapacity …

    • ConocoPhillips May Face Cost Overruns in Australia December 5

    ConocoPhillips may see costs from its multi-billion dollar Australian LNG project escalate in the future as players compete for materials to complete $180 billion worth of projects by 2017 …

    • Anadarko Updates: Announces Gulf of Mexico Discovery, Gassed Up for $88 December 4

    The company plans to start an extensive exploration program in the region next year if it can win the required U.S. government permits to do so …

     

    (Trefis Pro Exclusive) Basic Materials

    • Anti-Dumping Regulations Could Help U.S. Steel Stock Bounce Back December 9

    U.S.Steel has been having a rough time of late, battling a decline in demand from European customers as well as a potential decline in domestic sales …

    • Applied Materials New Coverage: $11.50 Trefis Price Estimate December 7

    In 2010, it recorded revenues of over $10 billion and a gross profit of around $4.7 billion and had market share of over 14% in the global $40 billion semiconductor equipment manufacturing industry …

    • Alpha’s Settlement in Massey Accident Clears Overhang, Stock Good for $33 December 6

    In a recent update, the company has agreed to pay $200 million as penalties and other liabilities to resolve several criminal and civil charges related to the Upper Big Branch accident …

    • Freeport McMoran Updates: Peru Miners End Strike, Wage Dispute Continues December 6

    Although the workers and the company were unable to reach a resolution on the wage hike demand, the workers were given assurance by the regional government of Arequipa …

    • ArcelorMittal’s ATIC Acquisition Approved, Stock Primed for $22 December 6

    The move further strengthens the company’s strategy of backward integration, with an aim to optimize profitability and brace for potential price fluctuations …

    • Rio Tinto Developing Copper Nickel Mine in Michigan’s Upper Peninsula December 6

    Once a center of North America’s copper operations in the 19th century, Michigan’s Upper Peninsula region has caught the attention of the mining giant Rio Tinto …

    • Rio Tinto Updates: Canadian Expansion Faces Headwinds, Divests Some US Coal Assets December 6

    Now the company has only two options here that either there is an amendment in the law or it finds a Canadian partner to operate the mine with …

    • Vale’s 6 bln Expansion of Mozambique Coal Mine Helps Diversify Iron Ore Dependence December 6

    Vale plans to invest $6 billion in the expansion of its Moatize coal project in Mozambique in a bid to increase the output to 22 million tons from the initially planned 11 million tons …  

     

    (Trefis Pro Exclusive) Industrials & Transportation

    • Southwest Updates: New Routes And Traffic Gains, IATA Earnings Downgrade Weighs December 9

    November traffic gains barely aided recovery and the industry earnings forecast downgrade by International Air Transport Association (IATA) further weighed on the sentiment of airline stocks during the week …

    • Delta Weekly Notes: GOL Deal Expands LatAm Routes, November Traffic Declines December 9

    Delta is entering into a long-term exclusive commercial alliance with GOL to leverage its vast network in Brazil, an increasingly popular travel destination from the U.S and touted to be the leading engine for economic growth in Latin America …

    • Halliburton Stock Slides as it Defends Itself Against BP Allegations December 8

    Halliburton spokesperson Beverly Stafford said that BP was trying to pull attention away from its own engineering mistakes that had led to the disaster, and that BP had withheld data that was needed to design the cement slurry …

    • Railroads Chug Along This Holiday Season as Risk of Strike Eases December 7

    The settlement brings relief as a day’s strike during the on-going holiday shopping period would have been critical to the retailers and could have cost the economy billions of dollars …

    • Schlumberger Says Fracking in Europe Will Cost A Lot More December 7

    Some of these issues include the higher population density in European nations impeding the use of land and less available water, which is necessary for the hydraulic fracturing (or fracking) process …

    • Halliburton Stock Looks More Vulnerable to BP Claims on Spill December 6

    In the latest salvo against Halliburton, BP has accused the company of deliberately destroying and suppressing evidence to eliminate the risk of it being used against the company …

    • What if US Airways and American Airlines Merged? December 6

    By teaming up with carefully selected rivals, airlines can tap into competitors’ route networks while also pooling resources for everything from ticketing to labor …

    • Caterpillar’s $86 Fair Value: EM Demand Will Lift Machinery Market Share December 5

    Caterpillar hopes to continue this trend going ahead into 2012 supported by strong demand for mining and machinery equipment from emerging markets such as India and China with expanding urbanization …

    • Baker Hughes Price Estimate Revised to $72, Solid Outlook Remains December 5

    The company’s performance fell short of our estimates which were based on the assumption that it would effectively exploit the synergies in operations from its acquisition of BJ Services last year …

    • UPS Primed for $83, Restores Asian Capacity on Supply Chain Optimism December 5

    UPS has increased capacity on flights between Asia and North America after determining that a Q3 slowdown in volumes was an isolated occurrence …

    • Pressure Mounts on US Airways to End Pilot Dispute December 5

    Though less worrisome than the pay row which felled American Airlines, the dispute has already undermined operations and risks derailing future merger bids …

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