ECRI’s WLI Growth Index declined , and has trespassed marginally into negative territory declining each week for the last 6 weeks – and continues forecasting statistically no growth over the next six months. The growth index is at the lowest level seen since July 2012.
Current ECRI WLI Level and Growth Index
Here is this weeks update on ECRI’s Weekly Leading Index (note – a positive number indicates growth):
Weekly Leading Index Growth Declines
Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity has marginally entered negative territory – statistically forecasting no growth over the next six months.
According to the Economic Cycle Research Institute, its weekly leading index declined from -0.1% (originally published as -0.1%) to -1.2% – and, the level of the index declined from 131.8 (originally released last week as 131.9) to 131.7.
ECRI produces a monthly issued Coincident index. The October update for September shows the rate of economic growth remaining in a narrow range for the last four months:
U.S. Coincident Index
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ECRI produces a monthly inflation index – a positive number shows increasing inflation pressure.
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge
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U.S. FIG Ticks Down
U.S. inflationary pressures were lower in September, as the U.S. future inflation gauge fell to 105.0 from a downwardly revised August 105.9 reading, according to data released Friday morning by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.
ECRI produces a monthly Lagging index. The September’s economy’s rate of growth (released in October) very marginally declined but shows moderate growth.
U.S. Lagging Index
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source: ECRI
