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Rail Week Ending 07 September 2013: Rail Continues Coming on Strong

admin by admin
9월 12, 2013
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Econintersect: Week 36 of 2013 ending 07 September shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) improved according to data released by the Association of American Railroads (AAR). Railcar count is up, and intermodal count is up.

  • Weekly overall data is up, and but down slightly ignoring coal and grain;

  • Four week rolling average rate of growth (compared with the average one year ago) is accelerating, and better than the 4 week rolling average one year ago;
  • 13 week rolling average rate of growth (compared with the average one year ago) is accelerating, and better than the 13 week rolling average one year ago;
  • 52 week rolling average rate of growth (compared with the average one year ago) is accelerating, and better than the 52 week rolling average one year ago.

This is the seventh week of improving data.

A summary of the data:

Seven of the 10 carload commodity groups posted increases compared with the same week in 2012, led by motor vehicles and parts with 14,951 carloads, up 21.9 percent. Commodities showing a decrease compared with the same week last year included farm and food products, excluding grain, with 14,710 carloads, down 8.6 percent.

For the first 36 weeks of 2013, U.S. railroads reported cumulative volume of 10,059,348 carloads, down 1.0 percent from the same point last year, and 8,749,141 intermodal units, up 3.6 percent from last year. Total U.S. traffic for the first 36 weeks of 2013 was 18,808,489 carloads and intermodal units, up 1.1 percent from last year.

USA coal production is up 1.1% same week year-over-year, has become a neutral to positive dynamic on rail.

This Week
CarloadsIntermodalTotal
This week Year-over-Year2.2%6.7%4.2%
Ignoring coal and grain3.9%
Year Cumulative to Date-1.0%3.6%1.1%

[click on graph below to enlarge]

Current Rail Chart

/images/z rail1.png

From EIA.gov:

For the week ended September 07, 2013:

  • U.S. coal production totaled approximately 20.2 million short tons (mmst)
  • This production estimate is 3.6 percent lower than last week’s estimate and 1.1 percent higher than the production estimate in the comparable week in 2012
  • Coal production east of the Mississippi River totaled 7.9 mmst
  • Coal production west of the Mississippi River totaled 12.3 mmst
  • U.S. year-to-date coal production totaled 686.3 mmst, 2.5 percent lower than the comparable year-to-date coal production in 2012
  • Steven Hansen

    Source: AAR

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