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What We Read Today 19 August 2013

admin by admin
8월 19, 2013
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Econintersect: Click Read more >> below graphic to see today’s list.


The top of today’s reading list points out the spurt in copper prices in China this month …….. and the last article is a 20-year old classic by a Nobel economist about business fraud.

  • China importers set for higher term-copper premiums after 2-year dip (Reuters) Price premiums for copper have suddenly shot up to four-year highs in China. Does this mark the end of the 17-month PPI deflation in that country?
  • The roots of metropolitan collapse (R.A., The Economist) The author suggests that the economic pinnacle for cities has passed. This view does not line up with a McKinsey story earlier this year about the rising economic strength of cities as economic centers rather than countries.
  • The CAPE of Less Hope (JohnAuters, FT Long Short) Stocks overvalued but not distressed?  See also Jeremy Siegel’s Financial Times article which argues that price/earnings data is biased by accounting changes and stocks are not overvalued.

Click on chart for larger image.Shiller-CAPE-Auters-FT-Long-Short-2013-aug-14

  • China moves towards market remedy for bad loans (Paul J. Davies, Financial Times) China looks to “bad banks” to unload non-performing debt at deep discounts in the global market, reducing bail out exposures.
  • Soon To Be Disrupted Industry Enjoys Margins Multiples Of That Of Cocaine Dealers! (Reggie Middleton, Boom Bust Blog) One of the reasons healthcare costs are out of control.
  • Fed tapering doesn’t equal bond market exit (Keith Bliss, New York Financial Press) Click image below to watch video.

bond-market-fed-taper-video

  • ‘Hindenburg Omen’ portends fiery crash (Tracy Alloway and Arash Massoud, Financial Times) “…since 1980, we’ve never had a significant market sell-off without a Hindenburg Omen.” But there have lots of omens without a crash.  See GEI Investing article today.
  • How the Pending Trans-Pacific Partnership and EU-US Trade Deals Will Gut National Regulations, Hurt Budgets, and Undermine Sovereignity (Yves Smith, Naked Capitalism)
  • Consolidation or Exhaustion? (J.C. Parets, All Star Charts) Hat tip to The Big Picture. There is a significant divergence (see below) and also an incipient head and shoulders top (see article).

new-highs-price-divergence-all-star-charts

Looting: The Undersworld of Bankruptcy for Profit (George A. Akerlof and Paul M. Romer, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2:1993, Stern.nyu.edu) Hat tip to Roger Erickson. This is a primary reference in many writings by Global Economic Intersection contributor William K. Black. This 20-year old paper is a must read. The comments at the end by Robert E. Hall, N. Gregory Mankiw, James Tobin and the authors are also must reads.

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