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EIA: Increased U.S. Nat Gas Production Through 2040

admin by admin
4월 17, 2013
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Econintersect:  The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has issued a report that shows projections for growing natural gas production and consumption for at least the next 27 years.  This is in direct contradiction with a report by GEI News two days ago that called the U.S. natural gas boom a “Ponzi scheme“.  The EIA indicates the spike in consumption in 2012 is not sustainable and only occurred because of historically low prices; but overall for the 29 year period from 2011 to 2040 natural gas consumption will grow by 21% in the U.S.   U.S. production is projected to increase by 33% over the same 29 years, with the excess production being exported.

Click on picture for larger image of solar powered gas well.

Gas-Well-solar-powered-380px

The EIA projections are based on a medium estimate for oil prices (50% rise) over the time interval.  The  the price increase for natural gas is estimated to be approximately 100%.  Both production increases and prices will be greater for natural gas if oil prices rise faster than 50% and lower if oil prices rise more slowly.

Following are some of the graphics from the EIA report.

nat-gas-eia-2013-april-consumtionto2040

nat-gas-eia-2013-april-production-to-2040

nat-gas-eia-2013-april-production-to-2040

nat-gas-eia-2013-april-sources-to-2040

nat-gas-eia-2013-april-price-to-2040

John Lounsbury

Sources:

  • Market Trends — Natural Gas (U.S. Energy Information Agency, 15 April 2013)
  • Engdahl: Shale Energy is a Ponzi Scheme (GEI News, 15 April 2013)

Hat tip to Sig Silber.

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