Econintersect: Moody’s downgraded Italian government bond rating from A3 to Baa2 with negative outlook. Moody’s posted on their website the reasons for the downgrade:
1. Italy is more likely to experience a further sharp increase in its funding costs or the loss of market access than at the time of our rating action five months ago due to increasingly fragile market confidence, contagion risk emanating from Greece and Spain and signs of an eroding non-domestic investor base. The risk of a Greek exit from the euro has risen, the Spanish banking system will experience greater credit losses than anticipated, and Spain’s own funding challenges are greater than previously recognized.
2. Italy’s near-term economic outlook has deteriorated, as manifest in both weaker growth and higher unemployment, which creates risk of failure to meet fiscal consolidation targets. Failure to meet fiscal targets in turn could weaken market confidence further, raising the risk of a sudden stop in market funding.
Reference Posts:
Rating Action: Moody’s downgrades Italy’s government bond rating to Baa2 from A3, maintains negative outlook
Read all the reasons for the downgrade including potential future actions which can be of further effect.
Other Eurocrisis Headlines:
Eurozone: Heading Toward 22 Million Unemployed
– https://econintersect.com/
A just published ILO report warns that unless Eurozone changes its policies unemployment in Eurozone could reach 22 million. According to the news release:
“Jobs losses have been especially acute in Southern Europe, but even Austria, Belgium, Germany, Luxembourg and Malta — the only countries where employment has risen since 2008 — are seeing signs that the labour market situation may no longer be improving.”
The corresponding number in the U.S. would be about 20.7 million unemployed, based on total population ratios. This would produce a U-3 unemployemnt rate about 13.4% and a U-6 underemployment rate above 20% (assuming the number for part-time for economic reasons would be unchanged).
Fund manager sees investment opportunities in Europe
– http://www.latimes.com/
New Project to Save Greece: ‘For a Donation of 3,000 Euros, Every Greek Can Buy Freedom’
– http://www.spiegel.de/
Euro-Zone Banks Cut Back Lending
– http://online.wsj.com/
Dilemma for Greek youth: Fight or flee
– http://cnn.com/
Daily Economic Overview: Stocks hit by rising risk aversion amid global growth worries
– http://www.markit.com/
Quantitative easing: QE, or not QE?
– http://www.economist.com/
Boeing, Airbus get $52 billion in orders at Europe air show
– http://www.latimes.com/
Dollar rises to 2-year high as Fed hopes fade
– http://english.cntv.cn/
IMF says Greece ‘missed’ some bailout targets
– http://news.yahoo.com
Ireland shows signs of resilience amid Eurozone crisis
– http://www.markit.com/
A Very Heavy Legacy: Strong Head Winds for Air Berlin
– http://www.spiegel.de/
Italy borrowing costs fall sharply in bond auction
– http://news.yahoo.com
Europe firms affecting U.S. death penalty
– http://cnn.com/
Interest rates: The fog of LIBOR
– http://www.economist.com/
‘Fear and Uncertainty’: The Euro Endangers German Economy
– http://www.spiegel.de/
Moody’s downgrades Italian government debt
– http://news.yahoo.com
Metal thieves in Germany: Stealing steel
– http://www.economist.com/
‘No Measurable Effect’: ECB Interest Rate Cut Inspires Little Hope
– http://www.spiegel.de/
Off the Charts: As Bad as It May Be Here, It’s Worse in Europe
– http://www.nytimes.com/
Daily Economic Overview: Stocks break losing run as China worries ease
– http://www.markit.com/
Week ahead economic calendar [16 – 20 Jul]: Inflation to cool but UK set for weak retail sales and labour market stats
– http://www.markit.com/
Daily Economic Overview: Equities continue to slide on growth worries but Eurozone tensions ease
– http://www.markit.com/