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Week Ending 09 February 2013: Data Reset

admin by admin
2월 14, 2013
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Econintersect: Week 06 of 2013 ending February 09 shows same week total rail traffic above 2012 levels according to data released by the Association of American Railroads (AAR). The AAR completely changed their methodology on reporting total rail traffic – so this is a data reset week.

  • Four week rolling average is degrading;
  • 13 week rolling average is degrading;
  • 52 week rolling average is improving.

 

A summary of the data:

“Six of the ten carload commodity groups posted increases compared with the same week in 2012, with petroleum products, up 65 percent, and nonmetallic minerals and products, up 14 percent. The groups showing a decrease in weekly traffic included grain, down 17.3 percent, and metallic ores and metals, down 13.5 percent. ”

USA coal production is down 9.3% same week year-over-year, and the cumulative effect on rail carloads continues to drag traffic down.

 

This Week
CarloadsIntermodalTotal
This week Year-over-Year-2.2%7.5%2.2%
Year Cumulative to Date-5.6%5.5%-0.7%

 

[click on graph below to enlarge]

Current Rail Chart

/images/z rail1.pn

From EIA.gov:

For the week ended February 02, 2013:

  • U.S. coal production totaled approximately 18.6 million short tons (mmst)
  • This production estimate is 0.2 percent higher than last week’s estimate and 9.3 percent lower than the production estimate in the comparable week in 2012
  • Coal production east of the Mississippi River totaled 8.2 mmst
  • Coal production west of the Mississippi River totaled 10.4 mmst
  • U.S. year-to-date coal production totaled 88.5 mmst, 13.2 percent lower than the comparable year-to-date coal production in 2012
  • As of week ending December 15, third quarter 2012 production estimates have been revised to match actual third quarter 2012 Mine Safety and Health Administration (MSHA) production. These revised values can be found under the “Revisons/Archives” section, and are also included in any year to date totals and 52 weeks ended totals that contain 2012 data in the “Current Weekly Estimates” and “Current Monthly Estimates” data tables. The “1st week in 2002- current week” and “January 2002- current month” original estimates spreadsheets are not revised.
  • Steven Hansen

    Source: AAR

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