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NY Fed Says Consumer Credit Fell $60 Billion in 3Q2011

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11월 29, 2011
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Econintersect: According to a New York Fed report on  Household Debt and Credit, third quarter aggregate consumer debt fell approximately $60 billion or 0.6% quarter-over-quarter.

“The decline in outstanding consumer debt reveals that households continue to try and deleverage in the wake of a challenging economic environment and large declines in home values,” said Andrew Haughwout, vice president in the Research and Statistics Group at the New York Fed. “However, our findings also provide evidence that consumer credit demand continues to increase, a positive sign for consumer sentiment.”

This is interesting as well as seemingly contradictory to the Federal Reserves own press releases which have stated consumer credit:

  • expanded 6% in July 2011
  • contracted 4.5% in August 2011
  • increased 3.5% in September 2011

The reason is that the NY Fed includes mortgages as part of its consumer loan reporting.

Mortgage balances on consumer credit reports fell by approximately $114 billion or 1.3 percent over the third quarter while home equity lines of credit balances increased by roughly $14 billion or 2.3 percent.

Other highlights from the report:

  • Non-real estate indebtedness now stands at $2.62 trillion, about 1.3 percent above its Q2 level.
  • Aggregate credit card limits declined by about $25 billion slightly offsetting increases from earlier this year.
    • Open credit card accounts declined by 6 million to 383 million in the third quarter and credit card borrowing limits fell again, partially offsetting some gains seen earlier in the year.
    • Open credit card accounts for third quarter were approximately 23 percent below the peak in second quarter 2008 and balances on those cards were nearly 20 percent below their highest levels in fourth quarter 2008.
    • Credit account inquiries within six months, an indicator of consumer credit demand, increased for the second quarter in a row.
  • Overall delinquency rates increased to 10 percent as of the end of September, compared with 9.8 percent at the end of June.
    • Approximately $1.2 trillion of consumer debt is delinquent with $834 billion being seriously delinquent (more than 90 days).
    • About 2.5 percent of current mortgage balances transitioned into delinquency in the third quarter, reversing a recent trend of reductions in this measure.
  • New foreclosures decreased 7 percent quarter over quarter and bankruptcies declined 18.8 percent year over year.


source: NY Fed

 

 

 

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