Econintersect: Rail traffic YoY growth rose slightly year-over-year in week twenty of 2011 ending 21 May 2011 according to Railfax.
Performance year to date for 2011 has been weakening, however the four week trendline is holding steady between 3% to 4% YoY improvement. This week’s 5.0% increase is above trend.
Last week rail traffic was up 3.6% year-over-year, while this week it is up to 5.0% YoY. The four week moving average improved from 2.9% YoY to 3.8%. Year-to-date gains remained unchanged at 5.6%.
Total US Rail Traffic
Major Commodity Groups | Total | Grain | Chemicals | Food | Forest | Metals | Coal | Autos | Intermodal |
Current Week | |||||||||
Vs. 2010 | 5.0% | 12.2% | 3.6% | (0.9%) | (0.8%) | 1.1% | 1.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% |
Vs. 2009 | 17.2% | 35.4% | 9.1% | (4.3%) | 3.4% | 65.8% | 2.6% | 57.6% | 22.7% |
4 Week Rolling Avg. | |||||||||
Vs. 2010 | 3.8% | 12.6% | 4.5% | (0.7%) | (0.6%) | 4.0% | (2.2%) | (2.6%) | 8.5% |
Vs. 2009 | 18.5% | 32.0% | 15.6% | (0.8%) | 7.9% | 79.6% | 4.2% | 40.7% | 23.5% |
Quarter to Date | |||||||||
Vs. 2010 | 3.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | (1.3%) | (1.7%) | 3.1% | (2.6%) | 4.1% | 8.9% |
Vs. 2009 | 19.0% | 32.4% | 15.8% | 1.0% | 7.8% | 78.4% | 4.0% | 46.6% | 24.3% |
Year to Date | |||||||||
Vs. 2010 | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | (3.8%) | 3.8% | 8.3% | 1.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% |
Vs. 2009 | 14.2% | 24.0% | 18.2% | 1.8% | 7.5% | 56.3% | (0.9%) | 45.5% | 20.1% |