Summary of Major Economic Indicators Up to 25 October 2011

October 29th, 2011
in econ_news

Econintersect:  The USA Department of Treasury produces a summary of indicators which are included in this post.  But as a warning, Econintersect does not see most of these indicators as important in the current New Normal economy - and sees only Industrial Production (IP) and employment as primary pulse points to gauge economic health.

In addition, the Philly Fed produces a US Leading Index which is based on its forecast of the six-month growth rate of each state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill.   This leading index is improving, and not in recession territory.

Follow up:

Source: Treasury, Philly Fed

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