Rail Traffic Up Year-Over-Year in 2010

January 6th, 2011
in econ_news

Econintersect: Rail traffic according to RailFax for w/e 31 December ended the year lower week-over-week.  Early in 2010, rail's performance YoY was growing.  It stabilized in the middle of the 2Q - and early in the 4th quarter began trending down.  After last weeks expansion, traffic was down this week.  YoY growth decreased this week from approximately 27.6% last week to 8.7%.

Follow up:

Four week rolling average growth decreased slightly from 11.7% to 11.4%.

The takeaway from this data is that the rail traffic has a 10% higher baseline to beat for YoY gains in 2011.

Total US Rail Traffic

Major Commodity Groups Total Grain Chemicals Food Forest Metals Coal Autos Intermodal
Current Week
Vs. 2009 8.1% 3.1% 11.9% 3.5% 21.0% 28.4% (2.0%) 8.2% 11.9%
Vs. 2008 7.9% 6.2% 31.8% 13.1% 29.4% 48.4% (13.2%) 65.8% 13.9%
4 Week Rolling Avg.
Vs. 2009 11.4% 11.4% 11.8% 1.6% 12.9% 23.9% 8.6% (3.1%) 13.1%
Vs. 2008 11.1% 27.6% 27.7% 11.0% 9.2% 36.3% (7.2%) 25.4% 18.5%
Quarter to Date
Vs. 2009 9.9% 6.0% 8.0% (0.2%) 6.5% 30.8% 5.4% (4.2%) 12.9%
Vs. 2008 1.5% 14.6% 13.4% 3.4% (9.6%) 13.3% (9.7%) (3.8%) 7.0%
Year to Date
Vs. 2009 10.2% 11.0% 9.0% 2.4% 4.4% 38.1% 1.2% 17.3% 14.2%
Vs. 2008 (6.7%) (5.0%) (1.8%) (5.1%) (21.2%) (14.0%) (9.8%) (22.1%) (1.9%)

Total Rail Traffic

source: railfax

 










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