Stratfor: Next Steps for the U.S. – Iran Deal

What was unthinkable for many people over many years happened in the early hours of Nov. 24 in Geneva: The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran struck a deal. After a decadelong struggle, the two reached an accord that seeks to ensure that Iran’s nuclear program remains a civilian one. It is a preliminary …

Economic Forecast July 2013: Economy Still Showing Decelerating Growth

Written by Steven Hansen Our June 2013 Economic Forecast continues to say the economy will be expanding at a modest rate. The concern is that many portions of our economic model are barely positive, and even a small black swan could cause contraction.  On the other hand, the portions of our model which are negative …

Stratfor: Azerbaijan and America

By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor There is a point where three great powers — Russia, Turkey and Persia — meet: the Caucasus. At the moment they converge in a country called Azerbaijan. That fact makes Azerbaijan a battleground for these three great powers, which have competed with each other along various borders for …

Economic Forecast June 2013: Expecting Some Moderation of Consumer Spending

Written by Steven Hansen Our June 2013 Economic Forecast continues to say the economy will be expanding at a modest rate. But indications of an expected growth spurt are still not showing up in the tea leaves. Main Street does not have the sectors in sync – and as one strengthens, another starts a weakening …

Stratfor: The Decline of the Colorado River

An amendment to a standing water treaty between the United States and Mexico has received publicity over the past six months as an example of progress in water sharing agreements. But the amendment, called Minute 319, is simply a glimpse into ongoing mismanagement of the Colorado River on the U.S. side of the border. Over-allocation of the …