Forecasts: What and How Do Business Economists Think?

The WSJ and Philadelphia Fed surveys of economists were released a couple of weeks ago. It’s of interest to consider what they imply for the macro outlook, and additionally, how they believe inflation will evolve as a function of other variables. As these economists are, on average, a fairly conservative group, it may surprise some that about 50% felt that federal budget cuts would hurt the economy over the next two years.