Stratfor: Syrian Civil War

By Reva Bhalla, Vice President of Global Analysis, Stratfor International diplomats will gather Jan. 22 in the Swiss town of Montreux to hammer out a settlement designed to end Syria’s three-year civil war. The conference, however, will be far removed from the reality on the Syrian battleground. Only days before the conference was scheduled to …

Stratfor: The U.S.-European Relationship, Then and Now

By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor I am writing this from Greece, having spent the past week in Europe and having moved among various capitals. Most discussions I’ve had in my travels concern U.S. President Barack Obama’s failure to move decisively against Syria and how Russian President Vladimir Putin outmatched him. Of course, the …

Stratfor: Strategy, Ideology and the Close of the Syrian Crisis

By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor It is said that when famed Austrian diplomat Klemens von Metternich heard of the death of the Turkish ambassador, he said, “I wonder what he meant by that?” True or not, serious or a joke, it points out a problem of diplomacy. In searching for the meaning behind every gesture, …

Stratfor: Analytic Guidance for the Syria Crisis

Editor’s note: Periodically, Stratfor publishes guidance produced for its analysis team and shares it with readers. This guidance sets the parameters used in our own ongoing examination and assessment of events surrounding Syria’s use of chemical weapons as the crisis evolves into a confrontation between the United States and Russia. Given the importance we ascribe …

Stratfor: Syria, America and Putin’s Bluff

By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor In recent weeks I’ve written about U.S. President Barack Obama’s bluff on Syria and the tightrope he is now walking on military intervention. There is another bluff going on that has to be understood, this one from Russian President Vladimir Putin. Putin is bluffing that Russia has emerged as a major …