Employment: Seasonal Adjustment Woes

The Real Deal on Jobs – The BLS Is Just Catching Up With Massive Undercounting in Seasonally Adjusted Estimates by Lee Adler, The Wall Street Examiner October 5, 2012 – The BLS today reported a gain of 114,00 in nonfarm payrolls. That compares with a gain of 574,000 in the actual, not seasonally adjusted number. In …

Conspiracy at the BLS?

by Menzie Chinn, Econbrowser Reader rjs writes in defense of Noel Sheppard’s mis-reading of a BLS release: … with the benchmark revision & 3 different adjustments, i cannot have confidence in anything in this report…absent the seasonal adjustment, the actual number for january non-farm payrolls was a loss of 2,689,000 jobs; knowing that the BLS …