All You Need to Know About the U.S. Unemployment Problem

by Elliott Morss Introduction One of the favorite financial media activities is to report on every shred of employment data – unemployment claims, unemployment rate changes, employment changes, etc. And then pundits guess what it means. This is nonsense. The pundits are trying to analyze “noise”. So where is the US recovery? What do you …

BLS: Jobs Up Strongly in April 2011

With 268,000 private non-farm employment gains, it blew the socks off of all the pessimistic pundit predictions including Econintersect’s forecast of 150,000. Because an increased number of people reentered the labor force the unemployment rate actually increased to 9.0%, up from 8.8% last month. The ratio of number employed to adult civilian population remained virtually unchanged.

Looking Forward Into BLS Jobs Numbers

Econintersect will never be the first out with analysis of jobs data. It takes time to go through the statistics and make some sense of the data. Looking at jobs data is a backwards view of the economy, and what should be important is the direction we are going. A quick look at the jobs …