What Would It Take to Ignite Inflation?

Written by Gene Balas We see a few signs of budding inflation.  But will it bloom? Survey data point to businesses’ higher costs in recent months.  The key question is whether those cost increases are temporary or persistent, and whether they will be passed on to their customers in higher prices.  That, in turn, depends …

Who is Confused: Consumers or Consumer Observers?

Written by Gene Balas Most of the time, consumers of economic data look at broad indicators to determine a basic question: “is economy activity growing or contracting?” Based on the answer to this question, investors may alter their asset allocation or businesses may adjust their investments in the basic ingredients of capital and labor. Too …