Stratfor: Elections Don’t Matter, Institutions Do

by Robert D. Kaplan, Chief Geopolitical Analyst for Stratfor Many years ago, I visited Four Corners in the American Southwest. This is a small stone monument on a polished metal platform where four states meet. You can walk around the monument in the space of a few seconds and stand in four states: Arizona, New …

Stratfor: What to Expect After Germany’s Elections

from Stratfor Much of Europe is eagerly anticipating the results of Germany’s Sept. 22 parliamentary elections, but this anticipation may be somewhat misplaced. Of course, Germany’s importance to Europe is well founded. It is Europe’s largest economy and its main bailout creditor to struggling eurozone countries, so Germany’s economic health is vital to the economic …

Stratfor: Foreign Policy Impact of Iran’s Presidential Election

by Michael Nayebi-Oskoui and Kamran Bokhari,¬†Stratfor Iranians went to the polls Friday to elect outgoing President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s successor. Candidates reported few serious problems with the process, and the losers sent congratulations to the eventual winner, Hassan Rouhani. Compared to the political instability that followed Ahmadinejad’s 2009 re-election, this process was relatively boring. But however …

Stratfor: Regrouping American Foreign Policy

By George Friedman President Barack Obama has won re-election. However, in addition to all of the constraints on him that I discussed last week, he won the election with almost half the people voting against him. His win in the Electoral College was substantial¬†— and that’s the win that really matters — but the popular …

Stratfor: Elections, Gridlock and Foreign Policy

By George Friedman The United States held elections last night, and nothing changed. Barack Obama remains president. The Democrats remain in control of the Senate with a non-filibuster-proof majority. The Republicans remain in control of the House of Representatives. The national political dynamic has resulted in an extended immobilization of the government. With the House …