Export and Import Prices Continue to Deflate in July 2012

Written by Steven Hansen July 2012 is the third month of the unusual event of both import and export prices showing year-over-year deflation. Export / Import prices have deflated several times without a recession occurring – however, deflation is a recession warning flag. There is only marginal correlation between economic activity, recessions and export / …

Export and Import Prices In Full Deflation Mode in June 2012

Written by Steven Hansen There is only marginal correlation between economic activity, recessions and export / import prices. Prices can be rising or falling going into a recession. Econintersect follows this data series to adjust economic activity for the effects of inflation where there are clear relationships. However, in June 2012 – the unusual event …

Deflation Underway? Export and Import Prices Contract in May 2012

Written by Steven Hansen There is only marginal correlation between economic activity, recessions and export / import prices. Prices can be rising or falling going into a recession. Econintersect follows this data series to adjust economic activity for the effects of inflation where there are clear relationships. However, in May 2012 – the unusual event …

Export and Import Prices Continue to Moderate in April 2012

Written by Steven Hansen There is absolutely no correlation between economic activity, recessions and export / import prices. Prices can be rising or falling going into a recession. Econintersect follows this data series to adjust economic activity for the effects of inflation where there are clear relationships. The story remains the continually moderating year-over-year inflation …

Import-Export Prices Moderates Year-over-Year in March 2012

Written by Steven Hansen There is absolutely no correlation between economic activity, recessions and export / import prices. Prices can be rising or falling going into a recession. Econintersect follows this data series to adjust economic activity for the effects of inflation where there are clear relationships. The story remains the continually moderating year-over-year inflation …