Downfall of GDP Growth

February 28, 2014 – BEA Revises 4th Quarter 2013 GDP Growth Down to 2.37% Annual Rate by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute In their second estimate of the US GDP for the fourth quarter of 2013, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the economy was growing at a 2.37% annualized rate, down -.85% …

March 2014 Economic Forecast: A Whiff of Economic Deceleration

Written by Steven Hansen Our March 2014 Economic Forecast continues to show a growing economy – but the rate of growth now is declining. Many portions of our economic model are showing expansion, but several are now contracting. There may be a weather component involved in some of the data.

Putting the ‘F’ Back in Federal Reserve

Age of Wisdom, Age of Foolishness (15) Written by Adam Whitehead, They’re back and this time it’s for real!!! Regular readers of the funny papers will be familiar with the following cover page from, the day in September 2013, when President Putin and Janet Yellen joined the Committee to Save the World.

CFNAI Super Index Shows Economy Slowed, But Remains Above Normal Growth Trend Rate In January 2014

Written by Steven Hansen The economy was growing in January 2014 based on the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3 month moving (3MA) average. This was the fifth month in a row that the economy was expanding above the historical trend rate of growth.

Clarifying the Debate about Deflation Concerns

by Mickey Levy, A popular view among economic commentators is that rich countries face a serious risk of deflation, and should adopt aggressive macroeconomic stimulus policies to ward it off. This column argues that despite similar headline inflation rates, the US, Europe, and Japan in fact face very different macroeconomic conditions. In the US, …