Written by Steven Hansen January 2014 wholesale sales and inventories data was soft. This data series is very noisy, and has been on a roller coaster of one good month / one bad month. The three month rolling averages for sales is decelerating.
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board’s Employment Trends Index for February 2014 – which forecasts employment for the next 6 months – strengthened. What the author’s of this index are not telling you is that the growth rate of this index is decelerating.
Written by Steven Hansen Econintersect analysis is that total consumer credit growth decelerated 0.1% month-over-month, and the year-over-year growth is 5.9%. The seasonally adjusted consumer credit headlines are showing a growth of 5.25%. The underlying dynamics are very interesting this month as all the growth can be attributed to student loans – all while student …
Written by Steven Hansen Even after the good gains shown for personal consumer income in January 2014, this factor continues to constrain economic expansion.
Written by Steven Hansen A quick recap to the January 2014 trade data released today shows a mixed picture of the economy – with the unadjusted data saying import growth decelerated month-over-month.