Second Estimate 4Q2013 GDP Revised Down to 2.4%

Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The second estimate of fourth quarter 2013 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is now a positive 2.4%. The market expected GDP at 2.2% to 2.8% (consensus 2.5%). This data point was 3.2% in the advance GDP estimate.

Clarifying the Debate about Deflation Concerns

by Mickey Levy, Voxeu.org A popular view among economic commentators is that rich countries face a serious risk of deflation, and should adopt aggressive macroeconomic stimulus policies to ward it off. This column argues that despite similar headline inflation rates, the US, Europe, and Japan in fact face very different macroeconomic conditions. In the US, …

Why Hasn’t Japan’s Massive Government Debt Wreaked Havoc (Yet)?

by Charles Yuji Horioka, Takaaki Nomoto and Akiko Terada-Hagiwara Originally posted in Voxeu.org 21 January 2014 Japan’s sovereign debt-to-GDP ratio is higher than any country in Europe and more than twice the OECD average. This column explains why Japan’s massive government debt did not wreak havoc in the past. Robust domestic saving and a temporary …