The U.S. Business Cycle in the Context of the Yo-Yo Years

by Lakshman Achuthan, Co-Founder and Chief Operations Officer, ECRI Economic cycles are an inherent part of how every market-oriented economy in the world operates, and what happens around cycle turning points has always been ECRI’s primary focus. From this perspective, with the onset of the Great Recession – even before the Lehman Brothers collapse – …

Economic Forecast March 2013: Improves But Not Great Yet

Written by Steven Hansen Last month, our economic forecast was degraded by supply chain shortcomings – and this has now been alleviated in the last 30 days causing the March 2013 Economic Index to improve relative to the previous month. The index is continuing to forecast weak economic expansion for Main Street – and stills …

Economic Forecast January 2013: Weak Expansion but Hints of Improvement

Written by Steven Hansen Econintersect continues to forecast a “less good” economy using real time non-monetary pulse points. The index is forecasting weak economic expansion for Main Street – and remains clearly in a declining growth trend (positive growth, negative acceleration). Having said that, there are several indications in the data of strengthening – and …

Economic Forecast December 2012: Main Street Continues to Cool

Written by Steven Hansen Econintersect continues to forecast a  “less good” economy. Econintersect‘s Index utilizes real time non-monetary pulse points.  It is our position that the data we use for forecasting was not effected by Hurricane Sandy. The indicators Econintersect uses to forecast remain mixed. The index is forecasting weak economic expansion for Main Street …

Economic Forecast November 2012: Still Predicts Moderate Growth but …

Written by Steven Hansen The Econintersect November 2012 economic forecast outlook recovered slightly following last month’s free fall. The indicators Econintersect uses to forecast remain mixed, and several are at 2012 low points. The index is barely forecasting moderate economic expansion – but remains in the growth channel seen so far in 2012. Even last …