Please Change Your Feed URL and Bookmarks

Econintersect has changed the feed URL tohttp://feeds.feedburner.com/GlobalEconomicIntersection. Please bookmark and visit our new analysis blog at http://econintersect.com/a/blogs/blog1.php. Here is what we posted today in analysis: Analysis Blog February 2014 Pending Home Sales Data Again Bad Third Estimate 4Q2013 GDP Revised to 2.6%

Please Change Your Feed URL and Bookmarks

Econintersect has changed the feed URL tohttp://feeds.feedburner.com/GlobalEconomicIntersection. Please bookmark and visit our new analysis blog at http://econintersect.com/a/blogs/blog1.php. Here is what we posted today in analysis: Analysis Blog Durable Goods Mixed in February 2014 Eccles, Conant, Foster, Hobson and Mandeville for the 21st Century EU’s Latest Nail In Its Own Coffin

Business Cycle Forecasting: The First-Rate Results of Robert F. Dieli

by Jeff Miller This article is probably the most exhaustive and challenging piece I have written.  It was worth the effort because understanding the business cycle is crucial to making great investment decisions.  To get the full benefit, I urge readers to spend some time reading the background links and watching the videos. I am …

Can ECRI’s Weekly Leading Index be Trusted?

By Georg Vrba, P.E., Advisor Perspectives, dshort.com [Editor’s Note: In forecasting the economy, no proven dynamic forecasting model exists.  Econintersect has a benign opinion of leading indices – and views them like ground hogs – a concoction of logical and illogical data points which somehow provide forecasts better than opinion.] I provide examples of indicators from …

Economy Continues to Grow Under the Shadow of Recession

Written by Steven Hansen This past week I have continued to ponder my friend Lakshman Achuthan’s renewed recession call where he stated: For the past three months, year-over-year real personal income growth has stayed lower than it was at the start of each of the last ten recessions.