Tag Archives: wholesale

January 2012 Advance Retail Sales Disappoint But Still Growing

Pundits are throwing out various reasons (including some apparent incorrect auto sales data) for reasons why January 2012 advance retail sales are improving at a weak rate.  The expectations were for retail sales improvement 2 to 3 times higher than … Continue reading

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December 2011 Advance Retail Sales Disappoints Christmas Pundits

Christmas retail has to disappoint the pundits who were forecasting a big jump of sales in December 2011.   Although the Census adjusted numbers say there was a slight improvement month-over-month, the Econintersect analysis sees the numbers down almost 1%. … Continue reading

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November 2011 Advance Retail Sales Just Ok, Not Great

Inflation adjusted retail sales year-over-year growth rates have remained between 2% and 4% for the last 8 months.  In November 2011, the year-over-year growth was 2.4%. US Census Headlines: sales up 0.2% month-over-month, up 6.7% year-over-year Econintersect Analysis: sales down … Continue reading

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October 2011 Advance Retail Sales Shows Slowing Growth

Inflation adjusted October 2011 retail sales growth rates (advance release) resumed its previous downward trend channel.  Sales continue to grow but an ever slowing rate. US Census Headlines: sales up 0.5% month-over-month, up 15.6% year-over-year Econintersect Analysis: sales down 3.0% … Continue reading

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September 2011 Retail Sales Remain Strong but Growth is Slowing

Inflation adjusted retail sales growth rates (advance release) may have slightly broken out of the previous downward trend channel – but still remain in a downward trend. Sales continue to grow but at an ever slowing rate. Continue reading

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Retail Sales Better Than Headlines in August 2011

Inflation adjusted retail sales remains in a downward trend channel, but is now positioned at the upper end of the channel – and not recessionary in August. Continue reading

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July 2011 Retail Sales Much Weaker Than Headlines Suggest

The headline improvement in advanced retail sales for July 2011 is up 0.5% month-over-month, and 8.5% year-over-year. But when the data is viewed critically the inflation adjusted month-over-month change is down over 2%, and the year-over-year improvement is only 2.9%. Continue reading

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Retail Sales Show Strength in June 2011

No matter how we analyze the data, retail sales improved in June 2011. The headlines say the increase was 0.1% (which is microscopic and below the margin of error), but Econintersect’s analysis suggests the growth is a larger 0.5%. Continue reading

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Retail: Sales Holding or Improved in May 2011

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), retail sales fell 0.2% in May 2011. Econintersect believes retail sales have improved over April – even on an inflation adjusted basis. Continue reading

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April 2011 Advance Retail Sales: Not Bad, Not Good

US Census’ advance data shows retail sales for April 2011 is up a solid 7.6% year-over-year (YoY) and 0.5% month-over-month (MoM) using seasonally adjusted data. Econintersect’s analysis confirms that retail sales were strong – but sales may actually be down MoM. Add some analysis of the effects of inflation, holidays, and where the increases occurred – and good data becomes only mediocre.
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Overall December 2010 Was a Pretty Good Month for Business

With the release of overall business sales data for December 2011 – manufacturing + wholesale + retail, it is concluded that December was a pretty good month. Continue reading

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Solid Improvement for Business Sales in November 2010

The combined business community including manufacturing shows a solid 1.3% sales sales increase – although not at record levels. Continue reading

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October 2010 Business Sales Likely Were Flat Month-over-Month

The seasonally adjusted data on business (manufacturing, wholesale and retail) for October 2010 suggests sales increased – the unadjusted data says otherwise. Continue reading

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