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Tag Archives: usa
Stratfor: The Decline of the Colorado River
An amendment to a standing water treaty between the United States and Mexico has received publicity over the past six months as an example of progress in water sharing agreements. But the amendment, called Minute 319, is simply a glimpse into … Continue reading
Economic Forecast May 2013: Stable Growth But ….
Written by Steven Hansen Our May 2013 Economic Forecast continues to say the economy will be expanding at a rate similar to April. This month the forecast is accompanied by some economic concerns – and although many data points are … Continue reading
Stratfor: The Ferocious, Weak and Crazy North Korean Strategy
By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor Note: George Friedman originally wrote this Geopolitical Weekly on North Korea’s nuclear strategy on Jan. 29. More than two months later, the geopolitical contours of the still-evolving crisis have become more clear, so … Continue reading
Stratfor: Beyond the Post-Cold War World, Balancing Economic and Military Power
By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor An era ended when the Soviet Union collapsed on Dec. 31, 1991. The confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union defined the Cold War period. The collapse of Europe framed that … Continue reading
Economic Forecast April 2013: Light At End of the Tunnel?
Written by Steven Hansen Our April 2013 Economic Forecast says we are at the end of the tunnel, and in the coming months should begin to see real economic expansion IF current trends continue. The index is now forecasting a … Continue reading
Stratfor: Disturbing Precedent in the Cyprus Bailout
By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor The European economic crisis has taken different forms in different places, and Cyprus is the latest country to face the prospect of financial ruin. Overextended banks in Cyprus are teetering on the brink … Continue reading
Posted in Banking News, Eurozone, aa syndication
Tagged banking, banks, Cyprus, deposits, EU, George Friedman, profit, russia, shareholders, Stratfor, Tax, usa
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Stratfor: The New Reality in U.S.-Israeli Relations
By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor U.S. President Barack Obama is making his first visit to Israel. The visit comes in the wake of his re-election and inauguration to a second term and the formation of a new Israeli … Continue reading
Posted in Middle East
Tagged egypt, George Friedman, iran, israel, palestinians, Stratfor, syria, usa
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Stratfor: Departure in North Korea’s Strategy?
By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor On Jan. 29, I wrote a piece that described North Korea’s strategy as a combination of ferocious, weak and crazy. In the weeks since then, three events have exemplified each facet of that … Continue reading
Stratfor: Europe, Unemployment and Instability
By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor The global financial crisis of 2008 has slowly yielded to a global unemployment crisis. This unemployment crisis will, fairly quickly, give way to a political crisis. The crisis involves all three of the major … Continue reading
Posted in Eurozone
Tagged employment, EU, Europe, France, George Friedman, Germany, Italy, Stratfor, UK, unemployment, usa
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Economic Forecast March 2013: Improves But Not Great Yet
Written by Steven Hansen Last month, our economic forecast was degraded by supply chain shortcomings – and this has now been alleviated in the last 30 days causing the March 2013 Economic Index to improve relative to the previous month. … Continue reading
Stratfor: Tolerating Aggressive Chinese Behavior
By Rodger Baker, Stratfor Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has warned Beijing that Tokyo is losing patience with China’s assertive maritime behavior in the East and South China seas, suggesting China consider the economic and military consequences of its actions. … Continue reading
Posted in China, Japan
Tagged cyber, Japan, Rodger Baker, south china sea, Stratfor, usa
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Stratfor: Slippery Slope for USA of Drone Aerial Vehicle Strikes
By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor Airstrikes by unmanned aerial vehicles have become a matter of serious dispute lately. The controversy focuses on the United States, which has the biggest fleet of these weapons and which employs them more … Continue reading
Posted in Government, aa syndication
Tagged drones, George Friedman, Hellfire, jihadists, kill, Predator, Stratfor, terrorist, usa
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Stratfor: U.S. – Iranian Dialogue in Obama’s Second Term
By Reva Bhalla, Vice President of Global Affairs As U.S. President Barack Obama’s second-term foreign policy team begins to take shape, Iran remains unfinished business for the U.S. administration. The diplomatic malaise surrounding this issue over the past decade has … Continue reading
Stratfor: The North Korean Strategy Is Ferocious, Weak and Crazy
By George Friedman, Stratfor Founder and Chief Executive Officer North Korea’s state-run media reported Sunday that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has ordered the country’s top security officials to take “substantial and high-profile important state measures,” which has been … Continue reading
Posted in China, Japan, Uncategorized
Tagged bomb, Japan, north korea, nuclear, usa, war
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Stratfor: Avoiding the Wars That Never End
By George Friedman, Stratfor Founder and Chief Executive Officer Last week, U.S. President Barack Obama announced that the United States would transfer the primary responsibility for combat operations in Afghanistan to the Afghan military in the coming months, a major … Continue reading
Posted in Middle East, aa syndication, macroeconomics
Tagged Afghanistan, al Qaeda, France, George Friedman, mali, Stratfor, usa
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Stratfor: Crisis of the Middle Class and American Power
By George Friedman, Stratfor Founder and Chief Executive Officer Last week I wrote about the crisis of unemployment in Europe. I received a great deal of feedback, with Europeans agreeing that this is the core problem and Americans arguing that … Continue reading
Posted in aa syndication, macroeconomics
Tagged america, crisis, George Friedman, middle class, Stratfor, unemployment, usa
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Economic Forecast January 2013: Weak Expansion but Hints of Improvement
Written by Steven Hansen Econintersect continues to forecast a “less good” economy using real time non-monetary pulse points. The index is forecasting weak economic expansion for Main Street – and remains clearly in a declining growth trend (positive growth, negative … Continue reading
China and the US: What the Future Holds
by Elliott Morss, Morss Global Finance Introduction Matthew Nimetz, an eminent scholar, lawyer, venture capital executive, and former senior US/UN diplomat, recently presented a thought-provoking paper at a joint meeting the National Committee on American Foreign Policy and the China … Continue reading
Posted in Business News and Analysis, China, Trade Data, macroeconomics
Tagged China, Elliott Morrs, exports, Federal Reserve, GDP, imports, industrial production, manufacturing, usa
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Economic Forecast December 2012: Main Street Continues to Cool
Written by Steven Hansen Econintersect continues to forecast a “less good” economy. Econintersect‘s Index utilizes real time non-monetary pulse points. It is our position that the data we use for forecasting was not effected by Hurricane Sandy. The indicators Econintersect … Continue reading
Economic Forecast November 2012: Still Predicts Moderate Growth but …
Written by Steven Hansen The Econintersect November 2012 economic forecast outlook recovered slightly following last month’s free fall. The indicators Econintersect uses to forecast remain mixed, and several are at 2012 low points. The index is barely forecasting moderate economic … Continue reading
