Tag Archives: survey

Economy: Sick but not Dying

Last week I stated that “other than a horribly weak economy, there are no major signs indicating an outright contraction.“    This needs to be expanded as an economy is not a homogeneous mechanism that ebbs and flows in unison.  There … Continue reading

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Philly Fed Business Outlook “Less Good” in May 2011

This month’s Philly Fed business outlook survey has reverted to almost exact values of one year ago using unadjusted data. Early evidence is accumulating that the current recovery sub-cycle may be peaking, a call made by Econintersect’s economic activity indicator in late March. Continue reading

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Philly Fed Business Survey Slightly Less Good in April 2011

The Philly Fed Business Survey quantitatively was less good in April 2011 – but this is a quantification of opinion, and changes may be real, or not. Continue reading

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Philly Fed Business Survey Record High

The economy is improving but the record high opinion of improving new orders is not a credible measurement of great strength. Continue reading

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NY Fed and Philly Fed Business Surveys Are For Different Universes

The businesses surveyed by the NY Fed and the Philadelphia Fed reside in different universes. One says conditions have collapsed, the other says they improved. Continue reading

Posted in Manufacturing | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment