Tag Archives: summary

China, India: A Hard Landing Is Very Unlikely

I continue to be a skeptic of the pundits rhetoric that a European recession could lead to a true contraction of the economies of China and India. This is unlikely, and bordering on impossible. China has a “command” (top down) … Continue reading

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2012 Predictions: Just a Dice Roll

Looking back at Econintersect’s 2011 predictions, I was rather pleased with their accuracy.  Predictions are not to be taken that seriously as they are an extrapolation of today’s knowledge – and introduce significant opinion to reach a particular conclusion. The … Continue reading

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USA: Headwinds for 2012 and Beyond

A rather frightening and somber forecast for the USA in the years to come was published by Econintersect this past week – USA in 2012/2016: An Insolvent and Ungovernable Country. In a nutshell, the European think tank LEAP/Europe 2020 sees: … Continue reading

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Arguing For the Coming Recession

No data in the grouping of economic indicators which historically lead the economy (and which Econintersect follows) is predicting an economic downturn. I considered listing the folks who think a recession is coming (including ECRI and John Hussman) with those … Continue reading

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Fixing the Eurozone – Old Fashioned Inflation and Deflation

For the past two weeks, my weekend summaries have focused on Europe.  The reason is simple – events in Europe are and will continue to affect the global business, financial and economic systems. Most economic theory subscribes to the notion … Continue reading

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