Tag Archives: NFIB

BLS Jobs Situation Just OK in April 2013

Written by Steven Hansen The April 2013 BLS jobs report was above expectations. There was nothing in this data that was very good or very bad. But if you were expecting a bad report, this report was excellent. the real … Continue reading

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BLS Jobs Situation Bad and Confusing in March 2013

Written by Steven Hansen The March 2013 BLS jobs report was unexpectedly weak. the real unadjusted non-farm private jobs gain comparing the changes between February and March was low historically for periods were the economy was expanding. economic intuitive sectors … Continue reading

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BLS Jobs Situation Unexpectedly Strong in February 2013

Written by Steven Hansen The February 2013 BLS jobs report was unexpectedly strong. the real unadjusted non-farm private jobs gain comparing the changes between January and February was the best growth since 1999. economic intuitive sectors of employment showed the … Continue reading

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BLS Jobs Situation Mixed in January 2013

Written by Steven Hansen The January 2012 BLS jobs report was mixed.  This was not a report to break out the champagne. the real unadjusted jobs lost comparing the changes between December and January appears to be average historically – … Continue reading

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BLS Jobs Report Ok in December 2012, Nothing Exciting

Written by Steven Hansen The December 2012 BLS jobs report was just ok. the real unadjusted jobs loss comparing the changes between November and December appears to be average historically – and the loss is more than 2011. economic intuitive … Continue reading

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BLS Jobs Report Much Better than Expectations in November 2012

Written by Steven Hansen The November 2012 BLS jobs report was better this month. the real unadjusted jobs loss comparing the changes between October and November was above average historically – and the best gain since 2006. economic intuitive sectors … Continue reading

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BLS Jobs Growth More Consistent With a Growing Economy in October 2012

Written by Steven Hansen The October 2012 BLS jobs report was better this month. the real unadjusted jobs loss comparing the changes between September and October was above average historically. economic intuitive sectors of employment gave a positive picture of … Continue reading

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BLS Jobs Situation Disturbing in September 2012

Written by Steven Hansen The September 2012 BLS jobs report was a little disturbing because the data was mixed and inconsistent. the real unadjusted jobs loss comparing the changes between August and September was average historically. economic intuitive sectors of … Continue reading

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BLS Jobs Situation in August 2012 Disappoints

Written by Steven Hansen The August 2012 BLS jobs report was better than a sharp stick in the eye. the real unadjusted jobs gain comparing growth June to August was average historically. economic intuitive sectors of the economy had a … Continue reading

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BLS Jobs Situation in July 2012 Good and Better than Expected

Written by Steven Hansen The July BLS jobs report was better than expected. the real unadjusted jobs gain comparing growth June to August was good historically. economic intuitive sectors of the economy had good growth A summary of the employment … Continue reading

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BLS Jobs Situation in June 2012 Remains Mediocre

Written by Steven Hansen The June BLS jobs report was mediocre. the real unadjusted jobs gain comparing growth May to June was below last years growth, and low historically. regardless of any interpretation – mediocre jobs growth is what one … Continue reading

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BLS Jobs Growth of 69,000 Is Better than Headlines in May 2012

Written by Steven Hansen The May BLS jobs report – although not excellent – is likely better than you or the pundits believe. the real unadjusted jobs gain comparing May to April is actually the largest since the end of … Continue reading

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April 2012 Jobs Report: Not Pretty but Shows Expanding Economy

Written by Steven Hansen The BLS jobs report was simply not good. the real jobs gain comparing April to March is actually smaller than either 2011 or 2011. regardless on any interpretation – the big picture is that jobs growth … Continue reading

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March 2012 BLS Jobs: An Alternate View

Written by Steven Hansen The BLS jobs report never fails to add excitement.  The headline data was sure to disappoint everyone, and the Econintersect view of the data is more like Goldilocks view of the bears porridge. the real jobs … Continue reading

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February 2012 BLS Headline Jobs Growth Good, But Lacks Perspective

Written by Steven Hansen A summary of the February 2012 employment situation: BLS reported: 227K (non-farm) and 233K (non-farm private). Unemployment = 8.3% (unchanged) ADP reported: 216K (non-farm private) Market expected: 150K to 206K (non-farm), 8.3% unemployment Econintersect‘s Forecast: 95K … Continue reading

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January 2012 BLS Jobs Up 243,000, Unemployment Down to 8.3%

If you thought December 2011 employment was good, you will love January 2012.  A summary of the January 2012 BLS employment situation: BLS reported: 243K (non-farm) and 257K (non-farm private). Unemployment = 8.3% ADP reported: 170K (non-farm private) Market expected: … Continue reading

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BLS Reports Job Growth of 200,000 in December 2011

A summary of the December 2011 BLS employment situation: BLS reported: 200K (non-farm) and 212K (non-farm private). Unemployment = 8.5% ADP reported: 325K (non-farm private) Market expected: 150K to 165K (non-farm), 8.7% unemployment Econintersect‘s Forecast: 100K (non-farm private) 200,000 is … Continue reading

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BLS Employment Rises 120,000 in November 2011, Unemployment 8.6%

A summary of the November 2011 BLS employment situation: BLS reported: 120K (non-farm) and 140K (non-farm private).  Unemployment = 8.6% ADP reported: 206K (non-farm private) Market expected: 110K to 141K (non-farm) Econintersect‘s Forecast: 125K (non-farm private) 120,000 is subject to … Continue reading

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BLS Jobs Growth Not Recessionary but Weak in October 2011

Ho Hum.  Another mediocre month in employment land.  A summary of the October 2011 BLS employment situation: BLS reported: 80K (non-farm) and 104K (non-farm private) ADP reported: 110K (non-farm private) Market expected: 88K to 100K (non-farm) Econintersect‘s Forecast: 145K (non-farm … Continue reading

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Recession Still Likely Despite Bump In GDP

by Guest Authors Lance Roberts of Streettalk Live

Consumers Gone Wild! I have this image in my head of shoppers running about frantically over the last quarter shelling out dollars at everything that isn’t nailed down to the floor. That was the general consensus Friday after the GDP report came out showing a lift from 1.3% to 2.5% primarily on the back of the consumer, as shown in the chart. However, the real question is where did the money come from? Continue reading

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