Tag Archives: housing bubble

BubbleOmiX Predicts US Employment Will Climb By 5-Million Over Next 18-Months

by Guest Author Andrew Butter

The essential theory of BubbleOmix is that Ying follows Yang or in other words What Goes-Around Comes Around.

Putting aside all the doom and gloom about the recently released unemployment figures, there may be a silver line…tarnished but silver all the same.

The important number is employment, that’s the demand side of the equation which is broadly independent of the supply side. Companies (and the government too but they are never a good marker for free-enterprise), look to buy services, The fact that there may be a lot of unemployed (and unemployable) people doesn’t change the numbers of jobs on offer; it just changes the wages the jobs pay…slightly. Continue reading

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GSEs and the Housing Crisis: Studies Ignored

by Guest Author Fabius Maximus Summary: Among our most serious problems is the success of well-funded engines of propaganda at manipulating public opinion, making effective public policy reforms almost impossible. Here we examine one example, convincing Americans that the government … Continue reading

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Six Rebuttals to the Argument that Congress or Fannie and Freddie Caused the Crisis

by Guest Author Mike Konczal

Sigh. Mayor Bloomberg:

“It was not the banks that created the mortgage crisis. It was, plain and simple, Congress, who forced everybody to go and give mortgages to people who were on the cusp… But they were the ones who pushed Fannie and Freddie to make a bunch of loans that were imprudent, if you will. They were the ones that pushed the banks to loan to everybody.”

It seems there are people who can’t accept that some markets, particularly financial ones, are disastrous when completely unregulated — and thus find any far-fetched excuse to blame the government instead. Since this line of argument continues to pop up, how should one respond to the idea that Congress and Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac caused the housing crisis? Here are six facts to back you up: Continue reading

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Lenders Put the Lies in Liar’s Loans and Bear the Principal Moral Culpability

By William K. Black

A reader has asked several important questions about liar’s loans that are critical to understanding the causes of the ongoing U.S. crisis. By 2006, half of all loans called “subprime” were also liar’s loans. Roughly one-third of all home loans made in 2006 were liar’s loans. The crisis was originally called a “subprime” crisis, but it was always a liar’s loan crisis. The reader is correct to inquire about causation and moral culpability… Yes, “liar’s” loans are what the industry called “stated income” and “alt-a” loans when they were talking among themselves. Income was the primary category that was “stated” – i.e., listed without any verification as to accuracy – in a liar’s loans. Some liar’s loans, however, also “stated” employment, assets, and liabilities. “Stated income” is a euphemism for a liar’s loans, but it is at least honest about its insanity. Readers get it right immediately – they understand that no honest mortgage lender would make loans on this basis. (I expand on this point below.) Continue reading

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This Time Had Better Be Different: House Prices and the Banks

Steve Keen looks at 130 years of home value, mortgage debt, total debt and bank stock history. He finds this time is different for the Australian housing bubble, but not in a good way: the effects now could be worse. Continue reading

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Unemployment and Foreclosures

There seem to be some weak and also some fairly good correlations between foreclosures and unemployment. However, there seem to be other factors as well. States with the largest housing bubbles all fall in the group of states with the biggest foreclosure problems. Perhaps a combination of size of bubble and high unemployment could explain which states have the biggest foreclosure problems. Continue reading

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Explaining the Housing Bubble

In the simplest terms, the housing bubble was caused by a flood of liquidity chasing mispriced risk. Continue reading

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Fannie and Freddie Acquitted

The government sponsored enterprises (now government owned) Fannie and Freddie have been castigated as being a significant cause of the housing bubble and mortgage crisis by pushing low income housing. The facts do not support that conclusion. Continue reading

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Is This your Grandfather’s Mortgage Crisis?

There are important parallels between the housing and mortgage markets in the 1920s and 1930s with the 1990s and 2000s. Continue reading

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