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Tag Archives: growth
Update: Greece, Eurozone and the IMF
by Elliott Morss Earlier, I noted there were two parts to IMF Stand-By Program for Greece: austerity and increasing its competitiveness. However, by the beginning of 2012, the IMF had concluded that the austerity part of its plan for Greece … Continue reading
Posted in Eurozone, macroeconomics
Tagged default, deficit, Elliott Morss, EU, Eurozone, Greece, growth, haircut, IMF, sovereign debt
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Comparing U.S. and Euro Crises
by Elliott Morss Introduction The best weather forecast comes from watching the trends: if the chance of rain increases as you get closer to the day of interest, it will probably rain…. So I start by looking at what has … Continue reading
Posted in Banking News, Eurozone, macroeconomics
Tagged austerity, default, deficit, Elliott Morss, EU, Eurozone, growth, haircut, sovereign debt, unemployment
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Tax Policy to Aid Recovery and Growth
by Guest Author Christopher Heady, Professor of Economics, University of Kent Originally posted at VoxEU 14 March 2011 and reposted here with written permission. Have governments been cutting the right taxes? And are they choosing the best taxes to increase … Continue reading
Posted in Studies, macroeconomics
Tagged Christopher Heady, growth, income redistribution, recovery, regressive tax, tax policy, taxes
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CMI: Tales from Sector Charts
Growth in CMI indexes is high but still 10% below the sales levels of 2005. Weak demand remains a problem. However, some sectors are stronger than others. Continue reading
China: Unsustainable Rise in Debt?
An unsustainable rise in debt is, for me, one of the key indicators that the investment-driven model has passed its useful life and is generating negative growth while posting positive growth numbers. Examples of this are the financing of the copper import trade, real estate financing and local government asset transfers that force haircuts on private bond holders. Continue reading
Posted in China
Tagged bonds, China, copper, debt, government asset transfers, growth, hot money, real estate
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China: Handling Hot Money Like a Hot Potato
China continues with interest rate hikes to fight inflation but they will be reversed quickly when growth slows. FDI ($105 billion in 2010) is likely partly disguised domestic hot money flows. Continue reading
Posted in China
Tagged China, FDI, growth, hot money, inflation, interest rates, National Bureau of Statistics
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China: Continued Attempts to Grow through Investment Likely
China’s GDP growth rates in 2011 will be likely continue to be strong as high investment continues. By the end of the year there will be much more concern about rebalancing processes. Continue reading
Will India GDP grow by more than 10% in this Financial Year?
It would not be surprising if double digit growth is reached this financial year. Sanjeev Kulkarni runs the numbers.
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World Economy – Suffering from Acute Dis-Ease?
The world is too easily accepting major structural problems that need to be addressed. Continue reading
Posted in Business News and Analysis, China, Government, India, International Economic data
Tagged China, currencies, growth, India, population
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FOMC Meeting Participants See QE2 Devaluing the Dollar
The Fed sees several years of persistent economic growth with subdued inflation. However, some governors believe devaluation of the dollar is likely. Years of gradual employment improvement is forecast. Continue reading
Thinking Through an Economy Without Stimulus
Slow growth with a risk of recession remains the economic theme again this week. Continue reading
