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Tag Archives: GDP
Austerity and Growth Perspectives: Europe, the IMF, China, and the US (Part: 2)
by Elliott Morss, Morss Global Finance Note: A version of this article was published by Deutsche Welle, 23 May 2013. Introduction Part. 1 of this report highlighted the positions of the IMF and Europe on the austerity/growth trade-off as reflected … Continue reading
Posted in China, Economics, Eurozone, macroeconomics
Tagged China, consumer confidence, Economy, Elliott Morss, employment, Federal Reserve, GDP, IMF, inflation, recession, recovery, unemployment
1 Comment
Is the USA Facing a Labor Shortage?
Written by Steven Hansen The difficulty filling positions that some employers are already experiencing can be seen in the rising number unfilled job openings at the end of each month. The latest BLS survey reveals that there were 3,844,000 job … Continue reading
Posted in Employment, Weekly Economic Summary, aa syndication
Tagged Economy, employment, GDP, labor shortage, recovery, Steven Hansen, unemployment, weekly review
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The Great “American” Divide
by Lance Roberts, Streetalk Live I have often spoken of the disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street. While asset prices are inflated by continued interventions of monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, boosting Wall Street profits and widening the … Continue reading
Posted in Employment, Federal Reserve, GDP, Home Sales and Home Prices, Personal Income and Consumption, Prices - PPI, CPI and More, Retail & Business Sales, Trade Data, stock markets
Tagged consumer confidence, Economy, employment, Federal Reserve, GDP, housing, inflation, Lance Roberts, PPI, recession, recovery, unemployment
6 Comments
On the Imposition of the German Export-led Growth Model on the Eurozone
by Dirk Ehnts, Econoblog101 Martin Wolf had an article in the FT yesterday about the German growth model being applied to the whole euro zone. He notes that because of the flawed analysis that ‘government debt did it’ there is … Continue reading
Posted in Eurozone, GDP, macroeconomics
Tagged consumer confidence, Dirk Ehnts, Economy, exports, GDP, Germany, inflation, recession, recovery, trade balance
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Housing Smoke and Mirrors (7) – “Get Out of Jail”
Written by Adam Whitehead, KeySignals.com In Housing Smoke and Mirrors (4)[i] and (5),[ii] to confront the threat of the deteriorating bad mortgage vintages – “the Federal Reserve and the Federal Government were observed to be running swiftly into the housing … Continue reading
Escaping Liquidity Traps: Lessons from the UK’s 1930s Escape
by Nicholas Crafts This article was originally published by Voxeu.org on May 12, 2013 The UK escaped a liquidity trap in the 1930s and enjoyed a strong economic recovery. This column argues that what drove this recovery was ‘unconventional’ monetary … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Government, UK, macroeconomics, money
Tagged consumer confidence, Economy, GDP, home sales, housing, inflation, Nicholas Crafts, recession, recovery, trade balance, Voxeu
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Terminal Velocity (9) – “Helicopter Take-off”
Written by Adam Whitehead, KeySignals.com From Terminal Velocity (3) – “The Pyramid Scheme”[i]: Reading between the lines, it is clear that the Fed intends to maintain a large balance sheet of assets for some time; even after interest rates have … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Federal Reserve, macroeconomics, money, money and banking
Tagged Adam Whitehead, BEA, China, consumer confidence, Economy, Federal Reserve, GDP, inflation, recovery
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Japan: Exporting Deflation
by John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline The evils of this deluge of paper money are not to be removed until our citizens are generally and radically instructed in their cause and consequences, and silence by their authority the interested … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Government, Japan, Trade Data, macroeconomics, money, money and banking, stock markets
Tagged consumer confidence, Economy, exports, GDP, industrial production, inflation, Japan, John Mauldin, recovery, trade balance
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Should You Tell Your Kid to Drop Out of High School?
Written by Steven Hansen There have been several posts over the past few weeks discussing college / university education. Goldman Sachs economist Jan Hatzius stated: [T]he faster job growth among college graduates is entirely due to faster growth in the … Continue reading
Posted in Employment, Weekly Economic Summary, aa syndication
Tagged college, dropout, Economy, employment, GDP, high school, recovery, Steven Hansen, unemployment, university, weekly review
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Initial Claims Not Great but Not as Bad as Claimed
by Lee Adler, Wall Street Examiner The media exhibited much consternation today as economists’ consensus guess on first time unemployment claims turned out to be way too optimistic this week. That raised two questions in my mind. Was the number … Continue reading
Posted in Employment
Tagged dol, Economy, employment, Federal Reserve, GDP, Lee Adler, recession, recovery, unemployment
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Schizophrenic U.S. Housing Market
Housing Smoke and Mirrors (Part 6) “It was the best of times, it was the worst of times.” Written by Adam Whitehead, KeySignals.com Click to enlarge We thought it would be amusing to start this discussion with the latest “Smoke … Continue reading
Self-defeating Austerity Shocks
by Reda Cherif and Fuad Hasanov, Voxeu.org This article was originally published by Voxeu.org (May 3, 2013) Europe’s austerity-first approach has triggered research-based efforts to evaluate the effectiveness of debt-reduction strategies. This column, based on a US empirical study, suggests … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, International Economic data, macroeconomics
Tagged austerity, consumer confidence, Economy, Federal Reserve, Fuad Hasanov, GDP, inflation, recession, recovery, Reda Cherif
1 Comment
What Do Weekly Unemployment Claims Tell us About Recession Risk?
by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com Note from dshort: I’ve updated this commentary to include the latest labor force data in May’s release of the April employment report. Every Thursday I post an update on weekly unemployment claims shortly after the … Continue reading
Posted in Employment, GDP
Tagged Doug Short, Economy, employment, Federal Reserve, GDP, recession, recovery, unemployment
3 Comments
Retail Sales Stay Right on Trend but Economists Get It Wrong Again
by Lee Adler, Wall Street Examiner Retail sales grew modestly and on trend in April. There was no evidence of either a slowing economy or one that is overheating and about to cause conventional inflation measures to move higher. At … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Retail & Business Sales, macroeconomics
Tagged consumer confidence, CPI, Economy, Federal Reserve, gasoline, GDP, Lee Adler, retail sales, trade balance
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Housing Smoke and Mirrors (5) – “Zombie Fed”
Written by Adam Whitehead, KeySignals.com In Housing Smoke and Mirrors (4), it was suggested that the bad eggs in the 2005 and 2009 Mortgage Vintages were hatching; and creating a growing systemic threat. Click to enlarge The Federal Reserve and … Continue reading
Investment and Consumption
by Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets I have been arguing for several years that once China begins the adjustment process, which I expect to characterize the ten-year period of the current administration, growth rates must slow significantly. My expectation for long-term growth … Continue reading
Posted in China, Economics, macroeconomics
Tagged China, consumer confidence, Economy, Federal Reserve, GDP, inflation, michael pettis, PPI, recession, recovery
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US Consumers Keep Spending Despite Reduced Pay
by Warren Mosler This article was originally published by Mosler Economics (Apr. 29, 2013) This is the current thinking, but the pieces don’t add up? Hoping I’m being too negative here… Comments below:
The Liquidity Trap In the IS/MY Model (“Sitges Equation”)
by Dirk Ehnts, Econoblog101 I have recently built a small model which builds on the “Sitges” balance of payments identity. “Sitges” – originally a little town close to Barcelona – helps me to remember that the change in debt of … Continue reading
Posted in Government, Studies, macroeconomics
Tagged consumer confidence, Dirk Ehnts, Economy, Federal Reserve, GDP, government spending, inflation
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Bubbly Stock Prices Running Away From Improving Jobless Claims
by Lee Adler, Wall Street Examiner The trend toward fewer initial unemployment claims continued this week at a pace near the best levels of the past several years. However, spurred on by QE, bubbling stock prices are increasingly ahead of … Continue reading
Posted in Employment, stock markets
Tagged Economy, employment, Federal Reserve, GDP, Lee Adler, unemployment
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Country Income Shares in PPP
by Jayati Ghosh, Triplecrisis.com The UNDP’s latest Human Development Report 2013 (entitled “The rise of the South”) has one particularly striking chart that it uses to make the point about the recent growing economic significance of some “emerging” nations. In … Continue reading
Posted in China, GDP, India, International Economic data, Personal Income and Consumption
Tagged Brazil, China, consumer confidence, Economy, GDP, global gdp, India, Jayati Ghosh, ppp
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