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Tag Archives: forecast
April 2013 Leading Economic Index Forecasts Continuing Economic Expansion
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. improved 0.6% in April to 95.0 (2004 = 100). Overall, the index value has been slowly trending up, and one month is not a trend. This … Continue reading
Posted in LEI, aa syndication
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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March 2013 Leading Economic Index Forecasts Slowing Economic Growth
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.1% in March to 94.7 (2004 = 100). Overall, the index value has been slowly trending up, and one month is not a trend. This … Continue reading
Posted in LEI, aa syndication
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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What About a Market Correction?
Written by Steven Hansen This week, Marc Faber (aka Dr. Doom) stated on CNBC: I don’t think the market is as overbought as it was in ’87, so I don’t expect a crash. But I think for the time being, … Continue reading
Posted in Weekly Economic Summary, aa syndication
Tagged correction, Economy, equities, forecast, GDP, markets, recovery, Steven Hansen, unemployment, weekly review
1 Comment
Underlying Trends Say The Economy Is Growing Faster
Written by Steven Hansen Last week, my weekend “think piece” showed that the unadjusted data was not (yet) confirming an economic expansion. This week I shift to Econintersect‘s economic forecast which was published today: The index is now forecasting a … Continue reading
Posted in Weekly Economic Summary, aa syndication
Tagged Economy, existing home sales, forecast, GDP, rail, recovery, Steven Hansen, unemployment, weekly review
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February 2013 Leading Economic Index Continues to Forecast Economic Expansion
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. rose 0.5% in February to 94.8 (2004 = 100). Overall, the index value continues to slowly trend up. This index is designed to forecast the economy … Continue reading
Posted in LEI, aa syndication
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
1 Comment
January 2013 Leading Economic Index Points to a Slow Economic Expansion
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. rose 0.2% in January to 94.1 (2004 = 100). Overall, the index value has been slowly trending up. This index is designed to forecast the economy … Continue reading
Posted in LEI, aa syndication
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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December 2012 Leading Economic Index Suggests Economic Growth Might Improve
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. rose 0.5% in December to 93.9 (2004 = 100). Overall, the index value has been in a tight range for most of 2012 until this growth … Continue reading
Posted in LEI, aa syndication
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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November 2012 Leading Economic Index Projects Weak Growth
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.2% in November to 95.8 (2004 = 100). Overall, the index value has been in a tight range for most of 2012 implying growth is … Continue reading
Posted in LEI, aa syndication
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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October 2012 Leading Economic Index Rises Slightly
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. improved 0.2% in October to 96.0 (2004 = 100). Please note this improvement is based on revised values for September which were originally stated at 95.9 … Continue reading
Posted in LEI, aa syndication
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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September 2012 Leading Economic Index Forecasting a Weak Economy
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. improved 0.6% in September to 95.9 (2004 = 100). Please note this improvement is based on revised values for August which were originally stated at 95.7 … Continue reading
Posted in LEI, aa syndication
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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August 2012 Leading Economic Index Softens
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.1% in August to 95.7 (2004 = 100). This index is designed to forecast the economy six months in advance – and is still forecasting … Continue reading
Posted in LEI, aa syndication
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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July 2012 Leading Economic Index Recovers Projecting Economic Growth
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. grew 0.3% in July (reversing last month’s decline) to 95.8 (2004 = 100). This index is designed to forecast the economy six months in advance. The … Continue reading
Posted in LEI, aa syndication
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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June 2012 Leading Economic Indicator Forecasting Softening Economy
Written by Steven Hansen Warning: This post contains more soft economic forecast news. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.3% in June to 95.6 (2004 = 100), following a 0.1% increase in May. This index … Continue reading
Posted in LEI, aa syndication
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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May 2012 Leading Economic Indicator Forecasts No Downturn In 2012
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.1% in April to 95.8 (2004 = 100), following a 0.1% increase in April. This index is designed to forecast the economy six months in … Continue reading
Posted in LEI
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
2 Comments
Leading Economic Indicator Falters in April 2012
Written by Steven Hansen The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.1% in April to 95.5 (2004 = 100), following a 0.3% increase in March, and a 0.7% increase in February. The market was expecting an … Continue reading
Posted in LEI
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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Leading Economic Indicator Improves in March 2012
Written by Steven Hansen This is the fourth month of the “new and improving” Leading Economic Index from The Conference Board, and might prove to be a viable real time long range forecasting tool. Only in hindsight years from now … Continue reading
Posted in LEI
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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ECRI: Warns Against a Buy-and-Hold Mentality
by Lakshman Achuthan, ECRI Chief Operations Officer Editor’s Note: This is Lakshman’s presentation notes and slides from the Bloomberg Sovereign Debt Conference held this past week in Frankfurt, Germany. Lakshman has advised Econintersect: “By the way, at the conference in … Continue reading
Posted in economic predictions, macroeconomics
Tagged bull whip, decoupling, economic cycles, Economy, ECRI, forecast, Lakshman Achuthan, recessions, yo-yo
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February 2012 LEI Says Economy Will Improve At Least Through Summer
Written by Steven Hansen This is the third month of the “new and improving” Leading Economic Index from The Conference Board, and might end up being a very viable real time long range forecasting tool. The Conference Board Leading Economic … Continue reading
Posted in LEI
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
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January 2012 Leading Economic Index Forecasts Improving Economy
This is the second month of the “new” Leading Economic Index from The Conference Board, and after a month of review this index appears to be a significant tool useful for long-range outlook economic forecasts. The Conference Board Leading Economic … Continue reading
Posted in LEI
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
4 Comments
Big Changes Come to the December 2011 Leading Economic Index
Based on criticisms of their “rocket ship” index, the Conference Board made sweeping changes to their Leading Economic Index. The changes are as dramatic as night-and-day. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.4 percent in … Continue reading
Posted in LEI
Tagged CEI, Conference Board, economic indicator, Economy, ECRI, forecast, LEI, recovery, Steven Hansen
2 Comments
