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Tag Archives: expansion
Economic Forecast May 2013: Stable Growth But ….
Written by Steven Hansen Our May 2013 Economic Forecast continues to say the economy will be expanding at a rate similar to April. This month the forecast is accompanied by some economic concerns – and although many data points are … Continue reading
Economic Forecast April 2013: Light At End of the Tunnel?
Written by Steven Hansen Our April 2013 Economic Forecast says we are at the end of the tunnel, and in the coming months should begin to see real economic expansion IF current trends continue. The index is now forecasting a … Continue reading
Economic Forecast March 2013: Improves But Not Great Yet
Written by Steven Hansen Last month, our economic forecast was degraded by supply chain shortcomings – and this has now been alleviated in the last 30 days causing the March 2013 Economic Index to improve relative to the previous month. … Continue reading
Economic Forecast January 2013: Weak Expansion but Hints of Improvement
Written by Steven Hansen Econintersect continues to forecast a “less good” economy using real time non-monetary pulse points. The index is forecasting weak economic expansion for Main Street – and remains clearly in a declining growth trend (positive growth, negative … Continue reading
Economic Forecast December 2012: Main Street Continues to Cool
Written by Steven Hansen Econintersect continues to forecast a “less good” economy. Econintersect‘s Index utilizes real time non-monetary pulse points. It is our position that the data we use for forecasting was not effected by Hurricane Sandy. The indicators Econintersect … Continue reading
Economic Forecast November 2012: Still Predicts Moderate Growth but …
Written by Steven Hansen The Econintersect November 2012 economic forecast outlook recovered slightly following last month’s free fall. The indicators Econintersect uses to forecast remain mixed, and several are at 2012 low points. The index is barely forecasting moderate economic … Continue reading
Economic Forecast October 2012: Huge Decline, Fundamentals Degrading
Written by Steven Hansen Econintersect‘s October 2012 economic forecast is relatively nasty after September’s upbeat forecast. Let me start by saying one month is not a trend, but the degradation in the indicators Econintersect believes are intuitive were very large … Continue reading
Economic Forecast September 2012: Actually Improving
Written by Steven Hansen The economy is always in a state of flux. Writing this summary forces a review of the economic dynamics once a month. This September forecast even surprised me to a degree – as the Econintersect Economic … Continue reading
Is it Possible the Jobs Cavalry Will Ride to the Rescue?
There are growing pains in the economy (employment, housing and personal income) and Joe Sixpack is at the center of all the pain. Continue reading
Posted in Weekly Economic Summary
Tagged ADP, BLS, employment, expansion, GDP, housing, Joe Sixpack, population growth, private sector, recovery, unemployment
4 Comments
Economic Forecast for February 2011 – Black Swan Uncertainty
By some technical metrics the recovery has turned to expansion, but realistically much of the economy remains under the influence of the recession. Continue reading
Posted in Economic Forecast
Tagged black swan, economic forecast, economic index, energy cost, expansion, GDP, oil crisis, oil price, recession, recovery
4 Comments
Officially Out of Recovery and into Expansion – NOT
When GDP is normalized for population growth, the new high in real GDP in 4Q/2010 is seen to be only about half way to recovery. Continue reading
Depression: The Forgotten Part of the Business Cycle
Economic robustness is reflected by the strength of recovery. In the business cycle, recession plus recovery defines a depression of economic activity below prior levels. Continue reading
Posted in Business News and Analysis, GDP
Tagged business cycle, depression, expansion, GDP, recession, recovery
8 Comments
