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Tag Archives: economic activity
CFNAI Super Index Mixed In April 2013
Written by Steven Hansen The economy was almost statistically unchanged in April 2013 – and this index is suggesting the economy is expanding just below the historical trend rate of growth – with the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) … Continue reading
CFNAI Super Index Shows Slowing Economy In March 2013
Written by Steven Hansen The economy was “less good” in March 2013 – and this index is suggesting the economy is expanding just below the historical trend rate of growth – with the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3 … Continue reading
CFNAI Super Index Shows An Expanding Economy In February 2013
Written by Steven Hansen The economy was “less good” in February 2013 – but still expanding above historical trend rate of growth – with the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3 month moving (3MA) average falling to the lowest … Continue reading
CFNAI Super Index Improves Again In January 2013
Written by Steven Hansen The economy strengthened marginally in January 2013 with the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3 month moving (3MA) average rising to the highest level since January 2012. The 3MA has been in positive territory (for … Continue reading
CFNAI Super Index Improves Marginally In December 2012
Written by Steven Hansen The economy strengthened marginally in December 2012 with the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3 month moving (3MA) average rising to the highest level since March 2012. The 3MA remains in negative territory (for the … Continue reading
CFNAI Super Index Jumps to Six Month High in November 2012
Written by Steven Hansen The economy strengthened in November 2012 with the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3 month moving (3MA) average rising to the highest level since February 2012. The 3MA remains in negative territory (for the last … Continue reading
CFNAI Super Index Sinks to Near Recession Levels in October 2012
Written by Steven Hansen The economy weakened in October 2012 with the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3 month moving (3MA) average falling to the lowest level since October 2009. The 3MA has remained in negative territory for the … Continue reading
CFNAI Super Index Improves in September 2012
Written by Steven Hansen The economy improved in September 2012 with the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3 month moving (3MA) average improving from the 2012 low water mark last month. The 3MA has remained in negative territory for … Continue reading
CFNAI Super Index Shows Economy Hit the Brakes in August 2012
Written by Steven Hansen The economy weakened considerably in August 2012 with the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3 month moving (3MA) average declining significantly. The 3MA has remained in negative territory for the last 6 months – indicating … Continue reading
CFNAI Super Index Shows Economy Just Muddling Along In July 2012
Written by Steven Hansen The economy did not fall of a cliff in July. It turns out it was not great either. The July 2012 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) release shows the 3 month moving average declined marginally … Continue reading
CFNAI Super Index Says Economy Improved Somewhat in June 2012
Written by Steven Hansen The economy did not fall of a cliff in June. The June 2012 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) release shows the 3 month moving average improved somewhat but has remained for the last 4 months … Continue reading
CFNAI Indicates Economy Weakened in May 2012
Written by Steven Hansen The May 2012 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) release shows the 3 month moving average degraded significantly into negative territory – indicating national economic activity was moderately below its historical trend. The index is clearly … Continue reading
CFNAI Shows Economic Potential Degraded in April 2012
Written by Steven Hansen The April 2012 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) release shows the 3 month moving average of -0.06 — a decrease from March’s originally reported +0.05 — indicating national economic activity was slightly below its historical … Continue reading
March 2012 CFNAI Shows Economic Expansion Less Good
Written by Steven Hansen The March 2012 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) release shows the 3 month moving average of +0.05 — a decrease from February’s 0.30 — but still indicating national economic activity was slightly above its historical … Continue reading
February 2012 CFNAI Down, But Index Up – Economy Still Good
Written by Steven Hansen The February 2012 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) release shows the 3 month moving average of +0.30 —its highest level since May 2010 – indicating national economic activity was slightly above its historical trend. The … Continue reading
January 2012 CFNAI Shows Economy Expanding Above Historical Trend
The January 2012 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) release shows the 3 month moving average of +0.14 – indicating national economic activity was slightly above its historical trend. The index is approximately equal to the levels one year ago, … Continue reading
Economic Boiler Lit Says CFNAI in December 2011
The December 2011 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) release shows the 3 month moving average of -0.08 – almost indicating the economy was expanding at potential. The index is higher than the levels one year ago, and has broken … Continue reading
November 2011 CFNAI Super Index Remains Subdued
The November 2011 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) release shows the 3 month moving average of -0.24 (which is neither recessionary nor good). The index is higher than the levels one year ago, has been range bound for the … Continue reading
CFNAI Continues to Show Weak Economy in October 2011, Not Recessionary
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is Econintersect’s primary coincident indicator tool as it provides a summary quantitative value for all the economic data being released. The data is not spun or explained – it is what it is. … Continue reading
CFNAI Rises in September 2011 – Is this Data Reliable?
The CFNAI is Econintersect’s primary “rear window” (coincident indicator) tool as it provides a summary quantitative value for all the economic data being released. The data is not spun or explained – it is what it is. The index is … Continue reading
