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Tag Archives: Doug Short
Preliminary May 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Highest Since July 2007
by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary number for May came in at 83.7, a major advance over the April final reading of 76.4. This is the highest level since July of 2007, prior to … Continue reading
April 2013 CPI Moderates to 1.1% Year-over-Year Inflation
by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The April 2013 Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year inflation rate fell from 1.5% to 1.1% . Core inflation (CPI less food and energy) fell slightly also from 1.9% to 1.7%. The dynamics were large … Continue reading
What Do Weekly Unemployment Claims Tell us About Recession Risk?
by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com Note from dshort: I’ve updated this commentary to include the latest labor force data in May’s release of the April employment report. Every Thursday I post an update on weekly unemployment claims shortly after the … Continue reading
Posted in Employment, GDP
Tagged Doug Short, Economy, employment, Federal Reserve, GDP, recession, recovery, unemployment
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April 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Big Improvement, But Still Not Good
Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The March 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index had a strong showing after last month’s decline – and still remains at recessionary levels. The market expected this index to come in at 61.0 … Continue reading
Final April 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Is Down From Last Month, But Still Up
by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final number for April came in at 76.4, a welcome improvement over the preliminary reading of 72.3, but below the March final of 78.6. The Briefing.com consensus was for … Continue reading
Advance Estimate 1Q2013 GDP Is 2.5%
Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The advance estimate of first quarter 2013 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is positive 2.5% – up from 0.2% in 4Q2012. The market expected the advance estimate 1Q2013 GDP at +2.8% to 3.2%. … Continue reading
March 2013 CPI Moderates to 1.5% Year-over-Year Inflation
by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The March 2013 Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year inflation rate fell from 1.7% to 1.5% . Core inflation (CPI less food and energy) fell slightly also from 2.0% to 1.9%. The dynamics were large … Continue reading
Preliminary April 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Has Sharp Downturn
by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary number for April came in at 72.3, a hefty drop from the March final reading of 78.6. The Briefing.com consensus was for 78.0. The latest number takes us … Continue reading
Final March 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Improves Bounces Back
by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final number for March came in at 78.6, a substantial bounce from the March preliminary reading of 71.8. Today’s number is one point above the 77.6 February final. The … Continue reading
Third Estimate 4Q2012 GDP Is Economic Expansion of 0.4%, Corporate Profits Up
Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The third estimate of fourth quarter 2013 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is now a positive 0.4%. The market expected the third estimate 4Q2012 GDP at +0.3%. If one wants to pick a … Continue reading
March 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Back to Bad
Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The March 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index has sunk after last month’s improvement – and still remains at recessionary levels. The market expected this index to come in at 65.0 to 66.9 … Continue reading
Demographic Trends in Employment
by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) have a wealth of employment data, much of which stretches back to 1948. My focus was the Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR) with some specific attention to gender and … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Employment
Tagged demographics, Doug Short, Economy, employment
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Preliminary March 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Falls to 14 Month Low
by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary number for March came in at 71.8, a substantial decline from the February final reading of 77.6. The Briefing.com consensus was for no change. Briefing.com’s on estimate was … Continue reading
February 2013 CPI Rises to 2.0% Year-over-Year Inflation
by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The February 2013 Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year inflation rate rose from 1.7% to 2.0% – with the largest month-over-month jump in over a year. Core inflation (CPI less food and energy) rose slightly … Continue reading
Final February 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Again Better than Expected
by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final number for February came in at 77.6, up from February preliminary 76.3 and the January final reading of 73.8. The Briefing.com consensus was for 76.3. See the chart … Continue reading
Second Estimate 4Q2012 GDP Is Economic Expansion of 0.1%
Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The second estimate of fourth quarter 2013 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is now a positive 0.1%. The market expected the second estimate 4Q2012 GDP at +0.1% to 0.5%. If one wants to … Continue reading
February 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Rebounds
Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The February 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index has rebounded from several bad months of data – but still remains at recessionary levels. The market expected this index to come in at 62.0 … Continue reading
January 2013 CPI Moderates to 1.6% Year-over-Year Inflation
by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The January 2013 Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year inflation rate fell modestly from 1.7% to 1.6%. Core inflation (CPI less food and energy) remained at 1.9%. The dynamics are moderate increase from services, but … Continue reading
Preliminary February 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Better than Expected
by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary number for February came in at 76.3, up from the January final reading of 73.8. The Briefing.com consensus was for 73.5. See the chart below for a long-term … Continue reading
Final January 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Reverses the Preliminary’s Dip
by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final number for January came in at 73.8, reversing the dip to 71.3 in the preliminary reading and rising slightly above the December final of 72.9. The Briefing.com consensus … Continue reading
