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Tag Archives: disposable personal income
Happy New Year? Not in GDP Numbers
by Rick Davis In their third estimate of the third quarter 2011 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the headline growth number downward once again to an annualized growth rate of 1.81%. This revision represents a drop in … Continue reading
Posted in Consumer Metrics Institute, GDP
Tagged CMI, consumer durables, Consumer Metrics Institute, consumers, disposable personal income, Economy, GDP, Rick Davis
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October 2011 Personal Consumption Increased, but Income Increased More
Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) – the spending of consumers – rose an inflation and seasonally adjusted 0.1% month-over-month in October 2011. This follows the September PCE which showed the largest monthly increase since December 2009. Inflation and seasonally adjusted Disposable … Continue reading
GDP Coal-Mine Canary: Per-Capita Disposable Income
by Rick Davis In their second estimate of the third quarter 2011 GDP, the estimate moved downward by over a half percent to an annualized growth rate of 2.01%. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the headline growth number … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged CMI, consumer durables, Consumer Metrics Institute, consumers, disposable personal income, Economy, GDP, Rick Davis
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Good Gain For Personal Consumption Expenditures in September 2011
Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) – the spending of consumers – rose an inflation and seasonally adjusted 0.5% month-over-month in September 2011. This was the largest monthly increase since December 2009. Inflation and seasonally adjusted disposable income fell 0.1% month-over-month. For … Continue reading
Personal Income and Expenditures Data Should be Ignored in August 2011
In August 2011 month-over-month, real (inflation adjusted) income is down slightly 0.3% while real spending was unchanged. Not recessionary but not good. Continue reading
July 2011 Personal Income Expenditures: Economic Expansion Signal
What a difference one month makes. June 2011 data had us talking about a recession with three straight months of inflation adjusted PCE contraction. Now the July 2011 data comes out with the largest increase since December 2009. Continue reading
June 2011 Personal Consumption Expenditures Data Not Good
We know from last Friday’s 2Q2011 GDP that the consumer was not expanding in GDP quarter-over-quarter. In terms of real spending (inflation adjusted) expressed as PCE – it appears the consumer was cutting back the whole second quarter. Continue reading
Ugly Data Continues: No Life In the Consumer Sector
Inflation adjusted expenditures are clearly in a downtrend – and the data has been contracting for the last three months. Again, GDP is calculated on expenditures, the consumer is over 60% of GDP – and the consumer spending growth is slowing. Continue reading
Personal Income and Expenditures Growth Frozen in April 2011
Consumer Income and Consumption can be viewed many ways. Econintersect has cut through this data from several angles providing the best overview on the internet. Looking at the April 2011 data alone, it is is difficult to figure out where the economy is headed.
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March 2011 Personal Income & Consumption Expenditures Good Until Cost Increases Considered
The March 2011 Personal Income and Outlays seems the consumer is back – until you start analyzing that most of the increases are due to rising prices. It seems that the consumer is only modestly supporting this recovery. With government expenditures being cut back, the robustness of recovery appears dependent of business investment improving. Continue reading
The Disposable Income Per Capita Squeeze
Bottom line, the consumer is spending more but with fewer real dollars. Continue reading
February 2011 Personal Income & Expeditures Improve
Personal / consumer economic expansion shows moderate and relatively steady improvement in February 2011 according to Econintersect’s analysis of income & PCE. Continue reading
Personal Income & Expenditures January 2011: One Anomaly
In the January 2011 Personal Income and Outlays data – the anomaly is a decline in personal consumption expenditures (PCE) using chained (equal value) dollars. Continue reading
Personal Income and Expenditures Show Joe Sixpack Sliding Back into Recession
December 2010 Personal Income and expenditures (PCE) presentation is wrong. This is an economic expansion of the rich, while the Joe Sixpack is getting poorer. Continue reading
