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Tag Archives: depression
Joe Sixpack’s Recession – Part II
Written by Steven Hansen Last week I presented a picture of Joe’s portion of the economy being in a recession. Richjoy403 wondered: ….. do you suppose there could be relevant factors affecting Joe’s ‘world’ that are not reflected in your … Continue reading
Posted in GDP, Weekly Economic Summary
Tagged depression, equity, GDP, housing, income, Joe Sixpack, recession, Steven Hansen, unemployment, weekly review
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Joe Sixpack’s Economy Is Already in a Recession
Written by Steven Hansen It comes as no surprise to me that many believe we are in a recession. Joe Sixpack’s portion of the economy sucks (e.g. not good, for those who are uncertain what “sucks” means). The metric used … Continue reading
Posted in GDP, Weekly Economic Summary
Tagged depression, equity, GDP, housing, income, Joe Sixpack, recession, Steven Hansen, unemployment, weekly economic summary, weekly review
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The Great Debate©: Will the U.S. Mirror Japan?
by Guest Author Robert Huebscher, Advisor Perspectives Larry Summers (left) and Paul Krugman (right) may share ideological leanings, but they disagree sharply about our economic prospects. Both agree that political gridlock is responsible for the failure to grow our economy, … Continue reading
Economy: Sick but not Dying
Last week I stated that “other than a horribly weak economy, there are no major signs indicating an outright contraction.“ This needs to be expanded as an economy is not a homogeneous mechanism that ebbs and flows in unison. There … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Forecast, Weekly Economic Summary
Tagged depression, ECRI, employment, recession, Steven Hansen, survey, transport, unemployment, WLI
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April 2011 Economic Forecast: Likely At Sub-Cycle Peak
The economy will continue to expand in April 2011, but there is every indication that the rate of growth will be nearly flat. Continue reading
March 2011 Economic Forecast: GDP Is Disconnected from the Real Economy
The “real” economy – the economy of Joe Sixpack continues to expand. The strength of this growth is considered moderate with positive underlying trend lines. Putting this into perspective – the economy is likely improving on a per capita basis. Continue reading
Posted in Economic Forecast, GDP
Tagged depression, economic forecast, economic growth, economic indicator, GDP, gross domestic product, recession
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Normalized GDP is the “Real” Growth
Normalizing GDP to population gives a much more meaningful description of the business cycle, especially for the recovery phase. Continue reading
Business Cycle Drivers
The primary driver of recovery and expansion is demand. There are many traps related to monetary issues in the down portion of the business cycle, but ultimately monetary factors are symptoms of depression and not the primary drivers. Continue reading
Posted in Business News and Analysis
Tagged business cycle, depression, Derryl Hermanutz, recession, recovery
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Depression: The Forgotten Part of the Business Cycle
Economic robustness is reflected by the strength of recovery. In the business cycle, recession plus recovery defines a depression of economic activity below prior levels. Continue reading
Posted in Business News and Analysis, GDP
Tagged business cycle, depression, expansion, GDP, recession, recovery
8 Comments
“Slow Economic Growth for Years” Forecasts Will Prove Too Optimistic
The vast majority of economists, market professionals and other commentators currently believe that we will be experiencing a long period of slow economic growth. Will this consensus scenario actually happen? My analysis indicates that it will not, unfortunately.
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Posted in Business News and Analysis
Tagged depression, Gary Shilling, recession, recovery, Ted Kavadas
4 Comments
Economy and GDP
Economic releases w/e 27 August 2010 continue to paint an economy with slowing but positive growth. GDP for 2Q2010 was revised downward to 1.6% annualized. Continue reading
Posted in ECRI WLI, Federal Reserve, GDP, Weekly Economic Summary
Tagged bank failures, bankruptcies, depression, double dip, GDP, government spending, NIPA, personal income, private investment, recession
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