Tag Archives: Advisor Perspectives

May 2013 CPI Movement Continues to be Moderate – 1.4% Year-over-Year Inflation

by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The May 2013 Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year inflation rate rose moderately from 1.1% to 1.4% . Core inflation (CPI less food and energy) was unchanged at 1.7%. The dynamics were mixed but most … Continue reading

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Preliminary June 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Down Fractionally

by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary number for June came in at 82.7, down from the 84.5 final reading for May. Today’s number was below Briefing.com consensus of 83.0 and Investing.com’s more optimistic forecast … Continue reading

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Final May 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Remains Highest Since July 2007

by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final number for May came in at 84.5, up from the 83.7 preliminary reading and a major advance over the April final reading of 76.4. This indicator remains at … Continue reading

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Second Estimate 1Q2013 GDP Revised Down to 2.4%, Corporate Profits Down

Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The second estimate of first quarter 2013 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is now a positive 2.4%. The market expected the second estimate 1Q2013 GDP at +2.5% to 2.7%. If one wants to … Continue reading

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May 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence at 5 Year High

Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The May 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index had a second strong showing in a row. The market expected this index to come in at 72.5 (versus the 76.2 reported). This index remains … Continue reading

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Preliminary May 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Highest Since July 2007

by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary number for May came in at 83.7, a major advance over the April final reading of 76.4. This is the highest level since July of 2007, prior to … Continue reading

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April 2013 CPI Moderates to 1.1% Year-over-Year Inflation

by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The April 2013 Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year inflation rate fell from 1.5% to 1.1% . Core inflation (CPI less food and energy) fell slightly also from 1.9% to 1.7%. The dynamics were large … Continue reading

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April 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Big Improvement, But Still Not Good

Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The March 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index had a strong showing after last month’s decline – and still remains at recessionary levels. The market expected this index to come in at 61.0 … Continue reading

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Final April 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Is Down From Last Month, But Still Up

by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final number for April came in at 76.4, a welcome improvement over the preliminary reading of 72.3, but below the March final of 78.6. The Briefing.com consensus was for … Continue reading

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Advance Estimate 1Q2013 GDP Is 2.5%

Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The advance estimate of first quarter 2013 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is positive 2.5% – up from 0.2% in 4Q2012. The market expected the advance estimate 1Q2013 GDP at +2.8% to 3.2%. … Continue reading

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March 2013 CPI Moderates to 1.5% Year-over-Year Inflation

by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The March 2013 Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year inflation rate fell from 1.7% to 1.5% . Core inflation (CPI less food and energy) fell slightly also from 2.0% to 1.9%. The dynamics were large … Continue reading

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Preliminary April 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Has Sharp Downturn

by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary number for April came in at 72.3, a hefty drop from the March final reading of 78.6. The Briefing.com consensus was for 78.0. The latest number takes us … Continue reading

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Final March 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Improves Bounces Back

by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final number for March came in at 78.6, a substantial bounce from the March preliminary reading of 71.8. Today’s number is one point above the 77.6 February final. The … Continue reading

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Third Estimate 4Q2012 GDP Is Economic Expansion of 0.4%, Corporate Profits Up

Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The third estimate of fourth quarter 2013 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is now a positive 0.4%. The market expected the third estimate 4Q2012 GDP at +0.3%. If one wants to pick a … Continue reading

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March 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Back to Bad

Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The March 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index has sunk after last month’s improvement – and still remains at recessionary levels. The market expected this index to come in at 65.0 to 66.9 … Continue reading

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Preliminary March 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Falls to 14 Month Low

by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary number for March came in at 71.8, a substantial decline from the February final reading of 77.6. The Briefing.com consensus was for no change. Briefing.com’s on estimate was … Continue reading

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February 2013 CPI Rises to 2.0% Year-over-Year Inflation

by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The February 2013 Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year inflation rate rose from 1.7% to 2.0% – with the largest month-over-month jump in over a year. Core inflation (CPI less food and energy) rose slightly … Continue reading

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Final February 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Again Better than Expected

by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final number for February came in at 77.6, up from February preliminary 76.3 and the January final reading of 73.8. The Briefing.com consensus was for 76.3. See the chart … Continue reading

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Second Estimate 4Q2012 GDP Is Economic Expansion of 0.1%

Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The second estimate of fourth quarter 2013 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is now a positive 0.1%. The market expected the second estimate 4Q2012 GDP at +0.1% to 0.5%. If one wants to … Continue reading

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February 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Rebounds

Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen The February 2013 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index has rebounded from several bad months of data – but still remains at recessionary levels. The market expected this index to come in at 62.0 … Continue reading

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