Category Archives: LEI

September 2011 Leading Economic Index Shows Growth to Continue

The September 2011 release The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) values show the economy is and will be growing. Yet, using unseen analysis – the originators of the index continue to talk it down. Continue reading

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Leading Economic Indicator Up – But Risks Growing in August 2011

The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index is growing yet the economists who author this index are reading coming risks into the index’s values. Continue reading

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Conference Board: Indicators Rising and Economy Slowing (?!!?)

The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) continues its ever improving rise in July 2011, yet the Conference Board continues to try to rationalize that the economy is slowing. Continue reading

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The Conference Board: Economic Indicator Continues to Rise in June 2011

The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) continues its ever improving rise in June 2011, and, through innovative interpretation techniques, suggests growth will be slower through the Fall. Continue reading

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Leading Economic Indicator Is Higher?? in May 2011

Bucking all other leading indicators, the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicator for May 2011 rose indicating the future will be better than today. Continue reading

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Leading Economic Index® Rocketship Ride Ends

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) has taken a break from its ballistic two year path – nothing remains ballistic forever. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.3 percent in April to 114.0 (2004 = 100), following a 0.7 percent increase in March, and a 0.9 percent increase in February. Continue reading

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Leading Economic Indicator: Going Up Like a Rocket Ship

It is confusing why The Conference Board does not comment on monetary measures which are creating a questionable forward looking ability. Continue reading

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Leading Economic Index Still Climbing in February

The LEI from the Conference Board is at a record high and still climbing steeply. The index is overly weighted to financial measurements. Continue reading

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Leading Economic Index Upward Movement Continues

The Leading Economic Index is measuring the economic gains for the rich – and is not measuring well the real economy of Joe Sixpack. Continue reading

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Leading Economic Indicator Up for Last Five Months

The LEI is weighted too heavily on monetary issues which have been distorted by the Federal Reserve’s great experiments in monetary policy. Continue reading

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December Economic Outlook Slightly Improved

The consensus (or average) of economic indicators is for continued slow growth, with Main Street factors lagging Wall Street. Continue reading

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Leading Economic Indicator Points to Spring 2011 Economic Improvement

Because of new factors such as QE and unprecedented deficit spending, the LEI in October 2010 continues to look like it is a rocket ship headed for lunar orbit. Other indicators are suggesting a more gradual economic improvement. Continue reading

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Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicator Rises

Nothing in the leading or current economic indicators from the Conference Board indicates that a return to recession is imminent. Continue reading

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Leading Economic Index Increases Slightly in August 2010

Latest data from the U.S. LEI suggest little change in economic conditions over the next few months. Expect more of the same – a weak economy with little forward momentum through 2010 and early 2011. Continue reading

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