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Category Archives: International Economic data
Stratfor: Beyond the Post-Cold War World, Balancing Economic and Military Power
By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor An era ended when the Soviet Union collapsed on Dec. 31, 1991. The confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union defined the Cold War period. The collapse of Europe framed that … Continue reading
Stratfor: Disturbing Precedent in the Cyprus Bailout
By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor The European economic crisis has taken different forms in different places, and Cyprus is the latest country to face the prospect of financial ruin. Overextended banks in Cyprus are teetering on the brink … Continue reading
Posted in Banking News, Eurozone, aa syndication
Tagged banking, banks, Cyprus, deposits, EU, George Friedman, profit, russia, shareholders, Stratfor, Tax, usa
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The Euro Mess Gets Messier
by Elliott Morss, Morss Global Finance Introduction I have not written about problems in the Eurozone and surrounding areas since last October since nothing had changed. The Eurozone is in the process of falling apart because what I called the … Continue reading
Posted in Eurozone, macroeconomics, money
Tagged banking, Cyprus, Cyprus banks, Elliott Morss, Eurozone, money, money and banking, weak sisters
3 Comments
Stratfor: The New Reality in U.S.-Israeli Relations
By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor U.S. President Barack Obama is making his first visit to Israel. The visit comes in the wake of his re-election and inauguration to a second term and the formation of a new Israeli … Continue reading
Posted in Middle East
Tagged egypt, George Friedman, iran, israel, palestinians, Stratfor, syria, usa
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The Great Portuguese Hollowing Out
by Edward Hugh, Euro Watch With every passing day Portugal has less and less economy left, while fewer and fewer people remain to try to pay down the debt. As Portuguese President Aníbal Cavaco Silva once put it, “A country without … Continue reading
Stratfor: Europe, Unemployment and Instability
By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor The global financial crisis of 2008 has slowly yielded to a global unemployment crisis. This unemployment crisis will, fairly quickly, give way to a political crisis. The crisis involves all three of the major … Continue reading
Posted in Eurozone
Tagged employment, EU, Europe, France, George Friedman, Germany, Italy, Stratfor, UK, unemployment, usa
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Designing A Federal Bank
by Harold James, Voxeu Do economists and policymakers know how to design a federal bank for Europe? Is there a template? This column explores the history of the US Federal Reserve, gleaning lessons for the future of the European banking … Continue reading
Posted in Banking News, Eurozone, Government
Tagged banks, Central banks, Economy, Harold James, money and banking
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A Brief History of the Chinese Growth Model
by Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets As regular readers know I have often argued that the Chinese development model is an old one, and can trace its roots at least as far back as the “American System” of the 1820s … Continue reading
Posted in China, Economics, International Economic data, money
Tagged China, China development model, Economy, GDP, michael pettis
1 Comment
Stratfor: Tolerating Aggressive Chinese Behavior
By Rodger Baker, Stratfor Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has warned Beijing that Tokyo is losing patience with China’s assertive maritime behavior in the East and South China seas, suggesting China consider the economic and military consequences of its actions. … Continue reading
Posted in China, Japan
Tagged cyber, Japan, Rodger Baker, south china sea, Stratfor, usa
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Panic-driven Austerity in the Eurozone and Its Implications
by Paul De Grauwe and Yuemei Ji, Voxeu.org Eurozone policy seems driven by market sentiment. This column argues that fear and panic led to excessive, and possibly self-defeating, austerity in the south while failing to induce offsetting stimulus in the … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Eurozone, Government, International Economic data
Tagged consumer confidence, Economy, Federal Reserve, GDP, Paul De Grauwe, recovery, Yuemei Ji
1 Comment
Root Causes of Currency Wars
by Simon Evenett, Voxeu.com Discussion of currency wars has broken out again in the run-up to this week’s G20 finance ministers’ meeting in Moscow. This column points to the underlying policy choices responsible for the recurring currency disputes and the … Continue reading
Posted in G-20, macroeconomics, money
Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, GDP, recession, Simon J. Evenett
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The 2013 Economic Outlook – Bright Sunshine for the U.S., Periods of Cloud Abroad
by Paul Kasriel, The Econtrarian Author’s Warning: Do not attempt reading the entirety of this commentary without the aid of your stimulant of choice. I apologize for the length of the commentary, but believed it necessary in order to inform … Continue reading
Stratfor: U.S. – Iranian Dialogue in Obama’s Second Term
By Reva Bhalla, Vice President of Global Affairs As U.S. President Barack Obama’s second-term foreign policy team begins to take shape, Iran remains unfinished business for the U.S. administration. The diplomatic malaise surrounding this issue over the past decade has … Continue reading
Stratfor: The North Korean Strategy Is Ferocious, Weak and Crazy
By George Friedman, Stratfor Founder and Chief Executive Officer North Korea’s state-run media reported Sunday that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has ordered the country’s top security officials to take “substantial and high-profile important state measures,” which has been … Continue reading
Posted in China, Japan, Uncategorized
Tagged bomb, Japan, north korea, nuclear, usa, war
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Eurozone Crisis: It Ain’t Over Yet
by Paolo Manasse, Voxeu.org All G7 economies are struggling in the post-crisis climate, but US GDP has recovered to pre-crisis levels, while the Eurozone simply hasn’t. This column portrays the global crisis as a transitory shock for the US, but … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Eurozone, money
Tagged Economy, eu crisis, Federal Reserve, fiscal cliff, GDP, Paolo Manasse, unemployment
2 Comments
China – the Next Economic Superpower? Better Hedge Your Bets
Written by Elliott Morss, Morss Global Finance Introduction In earlier postings, I have examined global power from both “empire” and “fragmentation” perspectives. Empire implies concentrated power, usually for economic gain – not just for the acquisition of power per se. In … Continue reading
Posted in China, Economics
Tagged China, consumer confidence, Economy, Elliott Morss, GDP
2 Comments
Stratfor: UK Moving Away from the European Union?
By George Friedman, Stratfor Founder and Chief Executive Officer British Prime Minister David Cameron will deliver a speech in London on Jan. 23, during which he will discuss the future of the United Kingdom’s relationship with the European Union. Excerpts … Continue reading
Posted in Eurozone, UK, aa syndication, macroeconomics
Tagged common market, David Cameron, euro, Europe, export, George Friedman, imports, Stratfor, UK
8 Comments
Confuse the Cat: Baltic Data
by Dirk Ehnts, Econoblog101 I found Google Public Data Explorer and I like it tremendously. Remember those discussion about the Baltics and how they do under austerity? You now can fact check any commentators claims quite rapidly. Let’s try it … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Employment, Eurozone, International Economic data, macroeconomics
Tagged austerity, Dirk Ehnts, Economy, Federal Reserve, GDP, inflation, recession
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The Appreciating Renminbi
by Philippe Bacchetta, Kenza Benhima and Yannick Kalantzis, voxeu.org China is perennially accused of currency manipulation. Yet, this article argues that a weak currency value doesn’t necessarily reflect currency manipulation. China is a fast growing economy with strong financial frictions … Continue reading
Recognizing the Need for Economic Adjustment
by Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets In China, I have argued many times, high growth is no longer compatible with a strengthening balance sheet. If China is growing at a rate that approaches or exceeds five or six percent, it … Continue reading
Posted in Business News and Analysis, China, GDP
Tagged China, Economy, GDP, michael pettis
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