econintersect.com
       
  

FREE NEWSLETTER: Econintersect sends a nightly newsletter highlighting news events of the day, and providing a summary of new articles posted on the website. Econintersect will not sell or pass your email address to others per our privacy policy. You can cancel this subscription at any time by selecting the unsubscribing link in the footer of each email.



>> Click Here for Historical Wall Post Listing <<

What We Read Today 15 August 2014

Econintersect: Every day our editors collect the most interesting things they find from around the internet and present a summary "reading list" which will include very brief summaries (and sometimes longer ones) of why each item has gotten our attention. Suggestions from readers for "reading list" items are gratefully reviewed, although sometimes space limits the number included.

  • Rosneft asks Moscow for $42bn (Jack Farchy and Kathrin Hille, Financial Times) The crunch of sanctions is starting to show as the huge government owned energy company Rosneft asked the government for $42 billion to offset losses resulting from the western action. One of Putin's most trusted economic advisors has said sanctions would cost Russia "at least" $200 billion over the next three years.

  • Putin's Ukraine gamble hastens exodus of Russian money and talent (Guy Faulconbridge, Shadi Bushra and Jack Stubbs, Reuters) Russia is paying a big price for Russian President Vladimir Putin's adventures in Ukraine. Reuters reports that capital outflows are as much as 3-4 times normal and may reach amounts as high as 10% of the country's GDP in 2014. And capital inflows which normally somewhat balance outflows have gone to zero. And some of the top talent in Russia is fleeing as well. From Lev Gudkov, director of the independent Moscow-based Levada Centre pollster:
"We are losing the most educated, most active, most entrepreneurial people."

But the exodus from Russia is more likely Putin in general than Ukraine related in particular. Before Putin's election in May, 2012 emigration from Russia was 33,578 in 2010 and 36,774 in 2011. It then jumped to 122,751 in 2012 and 186,382 in 2013. Probably not leaving are the people who know how to grow potatoes and make vodka which may be needed more than ever.

  • Indonesia Clamps Down on ISIS Support, ‘Alumni’ Jihadi Threat (Kate Lamb, Voice of America) ISIS Spreads to Indonesia. Econintersect: Ideology is probably much less important for building this movement than is high youth unemployment. Until the world figures out how to make use of hundreds of millions of idle youth, there will be Al Qaeda, ISIS and a myriad of other "extremist" organizations. The human soul requires meaningful function in life; when meaning is not provided then restless youth will define their own.
  • Low-Salt Diets Shown to Pose Health Risks (Ron Winslow, The Wall Street Journal) A new study of more than 100,000 people from 17 countries found that those consuming less than 3,000 milligrams of sodium per day had a 27% higher incidence of death from heart attack or stroke compared to those who consumed 3,000 - 6,000 milligrams. Above 6,000 milligrams the death rate increased again. Critics say that there were insufficient controls to prove any causation. But these results do corroborate a study last year that found not evidence that cutting sodium intake below 2,300 milligrams a day reduced the risk of heart disease. See Low-Salt Benefits Questioned (Jennifer Corbet Dooren, The Wall Street Journal).

salt-health


There are 10 articles discussed today 'behind the wall'.

Today we include discussion of three articles about the "Japanification" of Germany.

Please support all that we do at Global Economic Intersection with a subscription to our premium content 'behind the wall'.

There are between 75 and 100 articles reviewed most weeks. That is in addition to the 140-160 articles of free content we provide.

You get a full year for only $25.


  • The map that shows the real problem (N.B., The Economist) Amtrak keeps losing big bucks. The map below shows where it has a chance to make money ( some of the areas inside red ellipses). The traffic for the rest of the country is insufficient turning the wide open spaces into a huge money pit.

amtrak-traffic-the-econ-2014-jul-18-annotated

  • Molecular shuttle speeds up hydrogen production (R&D) The ultimate clean energy storage, highly portable and energy dense is .... hydrogen. This article describes a new process that improves the efficiency of solar photovoltaic hydrogen production from water, which also replaces expensive platinum catalysts with nickel.
  • Junk stabilises after recent sell-off (Vivianne Rodrigues, Financial Times) Investors have started breathing again this week and have started buying high yioield bonds again at a healthy rate. Last week saw record outflows from junk bond funds and had a lot of people talking about black swans. We have discussed that in WWRT in previous days and pointed out that the statistics applied to characterize the events were simply incorrect. Any way, things are looking more "normal" this week.

junk-bonds-flows-ft-2014-aug-14

  • China’s Savers Put Record $2.1 Trillion in Wealth Products (Jun Luo, Bloomberg) Chinese households increased investments in "wealth management products" by 24% in the first half of 2014, pushing the total value of such assets to $2.1 trillion. The average annual returns for the savings vehicles was 5.2% compared to 3% on traditional one-year deposits with banks. In 4 1/2 years the value of assets in the shadow banking savings products has increased 12x. The products have been criticized for having ill-defined risks and lack of transparency.
  • Germany 10-Year Bond Yield Drops Below 1% as GDP Shrinks (Lukanyo Mnyanda and Neal Armstrong, Bloomberg) According to this article (and every other one we found) the 10-year German government bond saw a yield less than 1% briefly Thursday (14 August) as markets reacted to the country's 0.2% GDP contraction for the second quarter. But we have not found a chart anywhere or a trading range summary that shows that. See German yield below 1%: 4 takeaways (Ben Eisen and William Watts, MarketWatch) for the following graph:

german-10-year-market-watch-2014-aug-14

  • German yield below 1%: 4 takeaways (Ben Eisen and William Watts, MarketWatch) The article quotes Kit Juckes, global macro strategist at Société Générale (emphasis added by Econintersect):
"Put it another way, at this point, I can see 10-year bunds breaking 1% before EUR/USD breaks %1.3333: and that just highlights Draghi's problem. Too little growth to stop the debt snowball, a vicious cycle of fiscal austerity and lack of aggregate demand staying in place and dooming Europe to Japanification."

euro-japan-deflation-marketwatch-eisen-watts-2014-aug-14-600x360

  • Compare Germany 2011 to Japan 1990 GDP Growth (Trading Economics) Let's add a note of caution to the observations below and from the preceding article discussion: Just because historical comparisons look similar that does not necessarily mean the eventual outcomes will be the same (or even similar). Similarities do create the occasions where one should be on the lookout for whether economic performance patterns do or do not run parallel from now on.

japan-gdp-1990-1993-annotated

Germany-gdp-2011-2014-annotated

  • Limits on fundamental limits to computation (Igor L. Markov, Nature) Subscription required to read full article. Ultimately the current technology for semiconductor functions is limited by atomic dimensions and speeds of electrons' movement. But that is the theoretical limit. The practical limits will be defined by just how defect free atomic scale materials can be produced. Because there will always be multiple orders of redundancy required which greatly increases dimensions theoretically achievable. Beyond the atomic and molecular scale limits for computing is an further "dimension" of quantum effects that might be exploitable with smaller amounts of material than we conceive of using today.

productivity-wages-australia-199702014-billy-blog-2014-aug-14
Australia


Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted.  As the internet is a "war zone" of trolls, hackers and spammers - Econintersect must balance its defences against ease of commenting.  We have joined with Livefyre to manage our comment streams.

To comment, just click the "Sign In" button at the top-left corner of the comment box below. You can create a commenting account using your favorite social network such as Twitter, Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn or Open ID - or open a Livefyre account using your email address.






Econintersect Behind the Wall



search_box

Print this page or create a PDF file of this page
Print Friendly and PDF


The growing use of ad blocking software is creating a shortfall in covering our fixed expenses. Please consider a donation to Econintersect to allow continuing output of quality and balanced financial and economic news and analysis.


Take a look at what is going on inside of Econintersect.com
Main Home
Analysis Blog
Slow Economic Growth Will Be Around For A Long Time
The Job Guarantee, Wage-Price Inflation And Alternative Solutions: Part 2
News Blog
Why New Jets Could Destroy Airlines
March 2017 Texas Manufacturing Survey Continues to Expand
Wage Growth After The Great Recession
Is OPEC Losing Its Ability To Influence Oil Prices?
Many Worry That The Great Recession And Mounting Student Debt Have Stunted Millennials' Financial Development
Infographic Of The Day: Visualizing The Shifting Income Distribution Of American Jobs
Early Headlines: Asia Stocks, Dollar, Oil All Down, Gold Up, Border Wall Obstacles, US To 'Fix' Gov With Business Ideas, ACA Death Spiral, US C-I Lending Down, Merkel Election Boost, And More
Most Read Articles Last Week Ending 25 March
Funded By The Crowd
U.S. Top Source Of DDoS Attacks In Q4 2016
How Artificial Intelligence And The Robotic Revolution Will Change The Workplace Of Tomorrow
Amazon's Alexa Is A Fast Learner
What We Read Today 26 March 2017
Investing Blog
Market And Sector Analysis 25 March 2017
Earnings: A Lot Less Than Meets The Eye
Opinion Blog
Is The 20th Century Still The 'Hayek Century'?
Yellen's Dangerous Glass-Steagall Repression
Precious Metals Blog
These Gold Stocks Will Produce Much Bigger Gains Than Gold Itself
Live Markets
27Mar2017 Market Close: US Dollar Falls Into The 98 Range, WTI Crude Slips Into The 47 Handle, Wall Street Generally Sour And Down
Amazon Books & More






.... and keep up with economic news using our dynamic economic newspapers with the largest international coverage on the internet
Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government































 navigate econintersect.com

Blogs

Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day
Weather

Newspapers

Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government
     

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed
Google+
Facebook
Twitter
Digg

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution

Contact

About

  Top Economics Site

Investing.com Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2017 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved